gollum wrote:Outcast_Searcher wrote:AdamB wrote:Polybius wrote:Day 1 of 2022, Russia takes Ukraine while China takes Taiwan
NATO gets pushed out of Europe and US carriers all sunk in the Asia Pacific
Brandon gets sacrificed by the Deep State
is.gd/USAcamps
Oh the first will be wonderful to revisit in 7 days, the others we can chalk up for later. If this kind of overly specific, doom-centric all channels, all the time claptrap doesn't look like StarvingPuttyTat, I don't know what does.
Especially the decades long track record of such (endless) specific doomer predictions on this site, for decades.
Doomers might be off on their timing but the trend line is that things are getting worse.
Some things are getting worse. Other things are clearly getting better. Doomers tend to only focus on what's getting worse and pretend that what's getting better doesn't matter, or be in denial that anything can get better because it doesn't fit the doom mantra. (Same as it ever was).
For example, the internet objectively makes LOTS of things better re daily life. Look at all the driving miles saved and time saved, re procuring what is needed for daily life, thanks to the internet. And so much more ability to work remotely, along the same line. And the power to communicate and get things done and get access to information between the internet and smart .phones. And the power to easily navigate almost anywhere due to modern GPS NAV systems which are dirt cheap and very portable (if you buy them stand-alone). Think how much WORSE Covid-19 would have been if the internet didn't exist. What a nightmare, and how fortunate we are that this didn't hit in, say, the 70's. And of course, modern vaccine tech, despite all the whining and science denial from the anti-vaxxer crowd, since vaccines are far from perfect. (No human endeavor is perfect, but that doesn't make them all bad).
All my stock trades are now free at my choice of many fine brokers (except for the occasional very tiny exchange fee). All my stock option trades are dirt cheap with the same brokers. They could be free (plus the tiny exchange fees) at a broker like Robinhood, but I don't trust them, given their reputation, re competence, customer service, etc. In the 80's when I started trading stocks and options regularly, negotiated trading fees at a significant volume discount at a competent full service broker were roughly $30 or so per trade, on average. That's for 100 shares of stock or one option. Large amounts of money or many options, and the fees got MUCH, MUCH higher. And I had to call a broker or go downtown and sit at a green screen terminal. And every trade had to be made on paper, and I had to wait for a wire operator to send it to the exchanges. Then I had to deal with humans running away from the trades, front running, screwing up, etc.
Today trading is from the comfort of a PC or phone, anywhere there's reliable WIFI, and it's nearly instantaneous on a human time scale. It's all electronic and errors are few, as long as one uses limit orders to prevent issues with fast markets (like the May 6, 20010 flash crash, which crushed many market orders). So there's an example which has improved SEVERAL orders of magnitude in recent decades, and continues to improve.
EV's are objectively better than ICE's and bound to improve significantly for decades. Performance. Pollution. Total cost of ownership. And hell, ICE's are now so good that every time I buy a middle class car, the reliability, durability, efficiency, inflation adjusted cost, comfort, convenience, and safety -- I am just DELIGHTED by any car I buy from a quality maker, as long as I'm not stupid about choosing needless expensive add-ons or luxury models.
Lighting, re modern light bulbs, have improved a good two orders of magnitude in recent decades. A modern LED bulb lasts MUCH longer, consumes about a fifth the power for the same lumens, runs much cooler, is far more versatile, is massively more reliable with the right engineering (using many small bulbs vs. a single large one, so a bulb going out no longer means a failure for, say, traffic lights). Furnaces and Air conditioning has gotten MUCH more efficient and far cleaner overall.
The primary negatives re resources available per human is driven primarily by population growth, which humans COULD control easily with modern science -- if they'd just make that a priority. But they choose not to.
But MANY things you look at like crop yields over time, etc. have grown MASSIVELY over time, primarily due to science. And with modern financial instruments like futures and modern insurance, producing outfits can protect themselves from risk (for a price) like never before, for a huge proportion of commodities produced.
Pluses and minuses, same as it's been since, say, the industrial era once the steam engine was a thing. I know it's fashionable for most around here to only focus on the negative -- but another great thing about the internet is that now fact checking is really easy for multiple credible sources -- despite how easy it ALSO is to try and spread misinformation, which is blindingly obvious in modern politics, for example.
But if you ONLY focus on resources per human, population, and the effects on things like geopolitics, then yes, lots of things are getting worse. But that's no more "everything" in the life of the typical first world person than the earth is flat because flat-earthers who yammer a lot exist.