eastbay wrote:lowem wrote:Good pics. Would be better to see some kind of before/after over time to do any meaningful comparison. See if the ships are generally moving or just staying put.
Possibly OT : it's a bit like money velocity. Doesn't do any good just sitting there, it's when it moves that all the interesting things happen.
A few years ago we stayed a few nights at a beach front chalet on the south coast of Singapore within sight of many, many, anchored cargo vessels which we gazed at while sitting on the beach. There were so many it looked like the sea itself was lit up during the evening hours as these ships sat silently and motionless waiting to load, unload, get customs clearance, or simply waiting for a job or a final resting place in a scrap yard.
Keep in mind that the lifespan of a seagoing cargo vessel is short. 20 to 30 years. http://www.reference.com/browse/wiki/Ship
With that in mind, and I could be wrong, but I suspect at least some of the recent increase in idle seagoing cargo vessels stems from the collapse in demand for scrap metal. Remember, in 'normal' times, on any given year 4 or 5% of all oceangoing cargo vessels (freshwater vessels last decades longer) would be converted into scrap metal. But now many are simply sitting anchored near busy sea lanes waiting to get scrapped.
Apparently new rules inside India are reversing this trend for breaking yards like Alang.
Thursday, 17 Sep 2009
It is learnt from the market sources that imports of steel scarp have become unaffordable for the domestic furnace owners owing to slackness in demand of downstream long products. The dilapidated demand has left them in a situation with compounding costs thereby obliterating the margins. Rubbing salt to the injury the recent regulations restricting the import of scrap only to end users has proved a dampener curtailing the supplies significantly.
It is learnt that rolling mills in vital centers of West and North have cartelized to gloss over the grim situation by attempting to push prices regardless of subnormal demand. Ship breaking scrap prices have soared as supplies partially assuage the demand from starved rolling mills.
Above from something called the Steel Guru you can find HERE!