Gold is still climbing! Breaking new records every other day. Either it's still playing catchup with the inflation of the last couple of years, or the inflation hasn't abated, or their is big demand because it's telegraphing something?
Let's look at a few stories off the web.
Gold vs. Bitcoin: Why "Digital Gold" is Losing Ground to Physical Precious MetalsGold prices have surged past $2,500 per ounce, overshadowing Bitcoin, which struggles to break the $60,000 mark. This shift comes as investors anticipate the Federal Reserve may soon cut interest rates, boosting gold’s appeal as a safe haven.
For the first time in history, gold prices surpassed $2,500/oz on speculation that the Fed is getting closer to a rate cut. The previous high for spot gold, set last month, was surpassed on Friday afternoon when prices soared beyond $2,500/oz. Following dismal US housing statistics, which has bolstered predictions of quicker and larger cutbacks from the Fed, the index increased.
This comes when Bitcoin has been unable to breakthrough $60,000 and is fast losing its shine as the "digital gold."
https://www.blockhead.co/2024/08/21/gol ... -metals-2/I don't think much of this interest rate theory, when interest rates went up in the 70's so did the gold price, when interest rates went up in the latter 2000's Gold went up again. And with rates going up after Covid, the Gold price went up again. Analysts look everywhere and their conclusions are not always valid. The one thing they typically fail to recognize is Gold's consistent rise with inflation, beyond any commodity index. Simply put, Gold is Money. Real money that tracks the cost of things, land, food, whatever. It doesn't get watered down like paper money.
Bitcoin claims to be this too, "Digital Gold" but that was just a marketing ploy and as we have seen it's failed miserably. Oh it's up massively since it's inception but that has nothing to do with tracking inflation or being a hedge against money printing. It's just a measure of how stupid people became, like the Beanie Baby craze. It's limited to 20 million!! So what? It's infinitely divisible and there are thousands of others just like it. There is nothing stopping anyone creating an identical digital system and calling it BitGold and hiding 20 million on the web's servers. What's the difference? The difference is tens of millions of people aren't already hodling BC tight in the hope it will go to the moon. It's a captured market, there is no industry demanding BC, no natural demand, just greed in the minds of a select group of people and that group has now reached critical mass. There is no great cadre of people "Wanting in" like there was.
Today I read that Blackrock is going to take a big stake in BC because of fears over the $35T debt the US has. If that doesn't push the price over $70 nothing will, but I doubt it will, just like I doubt Blackrock is serious. You don't make money by telling people you're going to buy something then join the rush. You make it by buying in early and selling INTO the rush.
BlackRock Reveals It’s Quietly Preparing For A $35 Trillion Federal Reserve Dollar Crisis With Bitcoin—Predicted To Spark A Sudden Price Boom https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-as ... rice-boom/BlackRock has $10 trillion in assets under management, it described bitcoin as a "unique diversifier" to hedge against economic and political risk. Talk, it's just Talk, Talking heads from a global octopus that has it's filthy hands in every unsavory activity on the Planet. Take it for what it's worth.
Investors Against Genocide engaged extensively with BlackRock regarding the need for genocide-free investing. Ultimately, that engagement failed. BlackRock was interested in ESG investing, but not in avoiding investments tied to genocide. Investors Against Genocide is no longer engaging BlackRock.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-as ... rice-boom/Now this is a good recent analysis on Gold I believe.
Why Gold Is Breaking Records: The Story Of The 1970sOn April 9 2024, the price on an ounce of gold exceeded $2,350, reaching an all-time high after a series of recent record highs, and the upward trend continues!
As a reminder, an ounce weighing 31.1 grams was worth $35 on August 15, 1971, when Richard Nixon decided to leave the Bretton Woods Agreement, then $280 on January 1, 2000, before soaring again. Should we welcome the remarkable rise in the price of gold, or should we consider the collapse in the value of the dollar? Both, and investors who have bet on gold, particularly since the early 2000s, have done very well.
But why is gold rising at a time when inflation is falling in the United States and Europe, and central banks are celebrating, reassuring and announcing interest rate cuts? Inflation has been brought under control without sinking into recession, so isn't everything working out for the best?
If gold is still rising, it means it doesn't believe in this scenario. As we know, the yellow metal has flair: it began a long climb in the early 2000s, in response to the Fed's accommodating monetary policy, which began to reduce interest rates following the crash of technology stocks in January 2000 and the attacks of September 11, 2001. Anticipating "asset inflation" (limited to real assets such as real estate, equities and art), gold perfectly protected its holders. More recently, gold has been climbing since the end of 2019, heralding the inflation (this time in consumer goods) that took off in mid-2020.
Inflation has eased, undoubtedly, but remains at a significant level, higher than during the Covid period. Above all, the astronomical budget deficits in the United States and several European countries, including France, could force central banks to start printing money again. The announced rate cuts are likely to be hasty. As a result, inflation is likely to pick up again. Western countries experienced a similar situation in the 1970s, with an initial surge in prices in 1973-1974, which was quickly contained. At the time, many people thought the worst was over. However, inflation rose again in 1978-1980, peaking at 13.5% in the United States.
Gold prices had anticipated this second wave by starting to rise in September 1976, after a period of decline. The Fed's governor at the time, Paul Volcker, was forced to raise the key rate to 20% in order to significantly reduce inflation. Even half that would be inconceivable today, given the scale of public and private debt. The whole economy would collapse! So, how will we get out of a second wave if it happens? Nobody really knows…
The two waves of inflation in the 1970s were triggered by the oil shocks of 1973 (following the Yom Kippur War) and 1979 (linked to the Iranian revolution). Today, there is no real major shock, but energy remains expensive, especially for Europe (few resources, costly energy transition, boomerang sanctions against Russia). What's more, the price of a barrel of oil is rising again, and has just passed the $90 mark…
It's still too early to know whether a second wave of inflation will occur, but gold seems to suspect it...
https://goldbroker.com/news/why-gold-br ... 1970s-3329A good view in my opinion because it's a long term view. If you think of Gold in terms of quarters you're an Idiot! That's the paper gold contract cycle and everyone playing it gets burned. For the last 20 years and more the big buyers of Gold have been China and Russia and Saudi Arabia and India. Massive Gold buyers!
10 Largest Producers of Gold by Country (Updated 2024)
China. Gold production: 370 metric tons. ...
Australia. Gold production: 310 metric tons. ...
Russia. Gold production: 310 metric tons. ...
Canada. Gold production: 200 metric tons. ...
United States. Gold production: 170 metric tons. ...
So China and Russia have not only been hoarding a lot of their native gold production but have been active buyers on the world markets. Why? Oh Dear... Need I say it, again! There are two competing New World Orders. The bankrupt west with it's desire to go "Digital" currency and wipe out it's debts in a great transition, where YOU will be stripped of your pension and anything you have tied to debt. And the BRICS system which is clearly planning a switch to a stable Gold backed currency.
They have the Lions share of Gold, the OIL, the minerals and the food. In other words all the things that matter to life on earth. The WEST has nothing but Debts and a printing press. That's why I reject shitcoin out of hand, along with shares and bonds and all the other manmade investment vehicles. It's smoke and mirrors, it's value dependent on hopium that it will be worth more in the future. And that's not my opinion, the very definition of Fiat currency spells it out. It's the trust and belief that the government will guarantee all these things that gives them value, it's the belief of the people in them that keeps them afloat. Tesla is the classic example of this, rising in paper book value (not real value) to be worth more than the 5 leading auto makers on the Planet combined! Why? Because idiots believed in it
How it's looking today? It's a disaster but still worth 3/4 of a Trillion on paper, why? Because people still believe in it, and more importantly, because corrupt private pension funds refuse to sell it that's why. They know it's worthless, it was always in the Red, but it's too big to fail, too much a part of the confidence game. When the Reset comes you'll see it fall like a stone and it will all be blamed on Russia or the Jews or someone. And Guess what? You'll believe it too
Thousands of Shares and Currencies, manmade financial instruments, have collapsed into oblivion over the centuries but Gold and Silver have stayed the course. Maintaining their value not only in the nations that defaulted or collapsed but in every other nation on the Planet, for all time. Looking around the World today I see that same intrinsic value playing out as always. It's only the dying West, with America as its mouthpiece that is claiming things are fine. But all that's just talk to keep the
citizens consumers of the West fully invested in the worthless paper. The rulers of the West don't believe it for a moment and have spread their own wealth into tangible assets, much of which is no doubt outside of the US. The continental US will not be a nice place to live in the decades to come just as Mexico is not a nice place now. Hawaii perhaps, the virgin Islands, places like that may well be ok.
The 'peak oil' story is not over by any means. Fracking was a desperate and ruinous sort of pause, which has been used to crank up demand.