I feel the spirit of MOS somewhere just beyond my screen scowling at my pathetic attempts at adapting ...
Anyway, I agree, pstar, it is all the same thing but I think many peakers are so caught up in the
We'll Freeze • We'll Starve! • We'll Walk! • We'll all go Max!angle of PO to see that the real world effects will likely be hidden in their personal economy.
I could easily see the exact same situation we have today stretching out for years with no new headlines, just a continuing, flat or downhill trend in all areas of the economy as everyone retrenches and no one has the cajones to put anything on the line. The 'Pubs take over the congress and with their recently rediscovered commitment to austerity firmly waffle their way to Hoverizing the economy, the various wars wind down, vastly reducing another sector of the economy; the municipalities and states default on bonds and/or are forced to actually prune masses of union work-rule protected dead wood ...
I mean, look at the Dow Jones, all the usual puffers are puffing as hard as they can to make believe that it's all ahead full because the markets are up. Well what is to be expected? Utilization is far from 100%, payrolls are way down, no one is spending money on capital expansion projects or presumably R&D either. I saw that Alcoa had a great showing on their reporting period and their stock did well - but their R&D and capital outlays are in the toilet, you can only downsize your way to profitability so long.
In short, the economy here and abroad simply muddles into decline for the foreseeable future.
In which case demand for fossil fuels will continue to erode at or perhaps even faster than depletion and so energy prices may not move much at all. Of course that would stifle any push into alternatives just as the worldwide drilling boom of the '80s depressed oil prices in the '90s.
So yea, I agree with your synopsis, but what good is trading-in the Silverado 4x4 on a plug-in EV if the price of diesel isn't going to double or triple for 10 or 15 years but your job is gonna crash?
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)