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Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

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Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby rockdoc123 » Wed 29 Aug 2018, 20:23:42

Well Trump did warn the Snow Mexicans what was coming. Perhaps they have learned a lesson here.


there is a wealth of opinion out there from trade lawyers and politicians both in Canada and the US who argue that no matter what Trump says he only has approval from Congress to negotiate a tri-lateral agreement not a bi-lateral agreement.
There are specific waiting periods on all of these approvals from Congress. If he asked for permission to negotiate a bi-lateral agreement it has to be made 90 days (I'm quoting this from memory so the time period may be incorrect) prior to approval (and that happening before the negotiation can start).
If he wants to cancel NAFTA and do something else then there is a 6 month notice period to Congress regarding that.
So even if you believe that everyone in Congress will agree with cutting out the most important trading partner the US has from an agreement that has actually resulted in a trade surplus for the US the timelines will not work prior to when the new Mexico government takes power. The new President of Mexico has been pretty adamant that he would only accept a change to NAFTA, not an entirely new agreement which is exactly why the US gov't has been trying to push through an agreement so quickly.
Can Trump get everyone in Congress on his side to change all the existing rules? Given most Republican members were dead set against leaving Canada out of an agreement months ago I can't see how that would happen now.
The part I find telling is that during the Trump/Neto phone call Trump continually tried to refer to the deal as the US-Mexico trade agreement whereas whenever he would let Pena Neto speak Neto always referred to the deal as NAFTA and said they looked forward to Canada joining in.
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Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Cog » Wed 29 Aug 2018, 21:43:54

Perhaps trump will wait until Canada has a more agreeable prime minister. I hear Justin is not very popular.
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Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby careinke » Thu 30 Aug 2018, 00:07:08

Perhaps Canada will rethink imposing tariffs on the U.S.
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Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Thu 15 Nov 2018, 18:20:35

Apparently US exports to China have fallen about 25% due to Trump tariffs while Chinese IMPORTS have RISEN 5%-10%.

I don’t know how much that has to do with soy and if that is still at play.

https://gcaptain.com/maersk-ceo-says-da ... ith-china/
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Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby dissident » Thu 15 Nov 2018, 20:25:13

Newfie wrote:Apparently US exports to China have fallen about 25% due to Trump tariffs while Chinese IMPORTS have RISEN 5%-10%.

I don’t know how much that has to do with soy and if that is still at play.

https://gcaptain.com/maersk-ceo-says-da ... ith-china/


Both the USA and the EU are totally dependent on China for consumer goods production and electronics manufacturing. Some tariff war is not going to change this on any time scale that matters to politicians. If US politicians were serious about maintaining domestic manufacturing they would have done something about it starting in the 1980s (this implies Reagan and Bush Sr.). Instead, the drank the globalism koolaid and Trump is flailing trying to move this legacy mountain.

American are going to have to vote for Trump in two years and someone like Trump for the following 8 year and longer to change things. Given the gains by the Democrats during the mid-terms I don't think such consistency is possible. Too many sheep following the fake stream media.
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Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 16 Nov 2018, 05:29:00

On the other hand China is dependent on outside food. Trump is trying to exploit that. I don’t know how deeply that’s effecting China.
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Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 16 Nov 2018, 06:01:38

Here is an interesting read on food in China and how it compares globally.

Pretty good report that touches a number of issues.

Chinese have 0.19 acres of areaboe land per capita.

https://chinapower.csis.org/china-food-security/
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Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby dissident » Sat 17 Nov 2018, 11:22:26

Newfie wrote:On the other hand China is dependent on outside food. Trump is trying to exploit that. I don’t know how deeply that’s effecting China.


American soybean farmers are losing their shirts with their crops rotting in storage. Meanwhile Russian farmers are getting into the soybean business on a large scale. China does not depend on the "west" exclusively for its food. China is engaged in various strategic farming initiatives around the world (including in Africa) to secure its food supply.

Another detail that is often forgotten is that China's GDP growth is due to domestic demand and not banana republic style commodity exports.
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Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Cid_Yama » Mon 18 Feb 2019, 08:17:17

Japan nominated Trump for Nobel Peace Prize after White House request
Japan’s daily newspaper, Asahi Shimbun, citing government sources, reported Sunday that the country’s prime minister, Shinzo Abe, nominated Trump for the prestigious award after the White House asked him to.

“I’m not saying (the claim) is untrue,” Abe said during a government budget session meeting on Monday.

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Trump, what a putz. :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Cog » Mon 18 Feb 2019, 14:52:19

Obama got a Nobel peace prize for accomplishing nothing. A de-nuclearized and peaceful North and South Korea would be something no American president has accomplished in decades.
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Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby lpetrich » Mon 18 Feb 2019, 19:07:39

Cog wrote:Obama got a Nobel peace prize for accomplishing nothing. A de-nuclearized and peaceful North and South Korea would be something no American president has accomplished in decades.

There are more things in Heaven and Earth, Cog, than are dreamt of in Fox News.

All that Trump has done is make a deal that would have made Neville Chamberlain proud. I'm sure that Kim Jong Un and his friends are laughing among themselves at what an easily manipulated dotard he is.
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Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Plantagenet » Mon 18 Feb 2019, 21:34:24

lpetrich wrote:Trump has done is make a deal that would have made Neville Chamberlain proud.


Your ignorance of history is showing.

Neville Chamberlain signed a treaty that allowed Hitler to seize another country and incorporate it into Germany.

Trump signed a deal that has resulted in North Korea stopping its nuclear missile testing.

The two deals are quite different. If you don't understand why, then I suggest you take a moment to educate yourself further about the two treaties.

Cheers!
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Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Cog » Mon 18 Feb 2019, 22:21:36

Is there any country, besides Iran, that the left doesn't want to go to war with?
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Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby lpetrich » Tue 19 Feb 2019, 14:48:58

Cog wrote:Is there any country, besides Iran, that the left doesn't want to go to war with?

How is that supposed to be the case? Who is "the left", anyway?

I also must say that I find right-wing pacifist posturing very unconvincing, since the right wing is fond of claiming that opponents of wars are unpatriotic and traitorous.
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Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Tue 19 Feb 2019, 15:58:41

Well it seems you two agree on pulling back on our global military presence.

I’ll throw my hat into that ring, I alsonthink we are over extended and generally much things up more than we fix.
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Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 01 Mar 2019, 12:00:15

A little humor.

AA9FA865-BDA0-4A9F-9412-9182781BFD10.jpeg
AA9FA865-BDA0-4A9F-9412-9182781BFD10.jpeg (54.01 KiB) Viewed 6857 times
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Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Wed 13 Mar 2019, 17:26:49

. By Jonathan Saul and Parisa Hafezi LONDON/DUBAI, March 13 (Reuters) – Iran is running short of options to replace its aging fleet of tankers and keep oil exports flowing because renewed U.S. sanctions are making potential sellers and flag registries wary of doing business with Tehran, Western and Iranian sources said.

Since U.S. President Donald Trump reimposed sanctions in November, exploratory talks with South Korea for up to 10 new supertankers have stalled and Panama has also removed at least 21 Iranian tankers from its registry forcing Tehran to put the vessels under its own flag, the sources said.


https://gcaptain.com/irans-oil-tanker-f ... ions-bite/
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Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Tanada » Mon 13 May 2019, 09:00:24

Cog wrote:US Ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley delivered the following remarks on Thursday before a UN General Assembly vote to condemn President Trump’s recognition of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel.


A year after opening the Jerusalem embassy: On the right side of history



On May 14, 2018, the United States finally opened its embassy in Israel’s eternal capital, Jerusalem. In making the courageous decision to take this historic step, President Donald Trump not only fulfilled a 23-year-old mandate from the United States Congress but he also recognized a 3,000-year-old truth that Israel’s enemies have long sought to erase.

America has been fascinated by Jerusalem since the early days of our republic. In 1844, Warder Cresson, the first consul general, announced after his appointment by the secretary of state that the United States was thereby extending its protection to the Jews of Jerusalem. The first permanent consular presence opened just inside the Jaffa Gate in 1857, and diplomatic presence has remained constant in and around the Old City ever since. President Abraham Lincoln, just before his death, told his wife how he longed to visit Jerusalem. And President Ulysses Grant and Mark Twain both visited Jerusalem in the mid-19th century and wrote extensively about their experiences.

Neither Grant nor Twain were all that impressed with Jerusalem in those days. It was poor, inhospitable and undeveloped. The Old City of Jerusalem remained that way well into the 20th century, whether under the rule of the Ottoman Empire until 1917, the British Mandate until 1948, or the Kingdom of Jordan until 1967.

In 1967, Jerusalem was reunified as a single city under Israeli rule. Almost immediately, Jerusalem began to bloom, to flourish and to become, for the first time in its history, a free city open to the worshipers of all three Abrahamic faiths. Many in the United States took notice and, in 1995, Congress, by overwhelming majority votes, passed the Jerusalem Embassy Act, recognizing Jerusalem as the capital of the State of Israel and requiring the relocation of the U.S. Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.

Presidents Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Obama all found reasons to avoid the implementation of this law. All in all, more than 40 presidential waivers were signed delaying the move of the Embassy. And then came President Trump.

Trump recognized the truth – that Jerusalem was, is and will always be the capital of Israel. He saw the dishonest and shameful efforts of UNESCO and the United Nations Security Council to deny Israel’s biblical, historical and practical connection to Jerusalem. And he refused to pursue a foreign policy based upon anything short of the truth. President Trump, like other Republican and Democratic candidates before him, had promised during his campaign to move the Embassy. Unlike his predecessors, Trump kept his promise.

The United States Embassy in Jerusalem has now been open a full year. We have a beautiful campus in the Arnona suburb and magnificent facilities on Agron Street in downtown Jerusalem. Well more than 100 American diplomats come to work every day, working hand in hand with Israelis and Palestinians, and American and foreign tourists visit every day just to take a picture or say a prayer. Contrary to all the negative predictions, the Jerusalem embassy has been an extraordinary success, advancing peaceful coexistence, bilateral cooperation and cultural exchange between and among Israelis, Palestinians and Americans.

Most of all, the United States Embassy in Jerusalem stands for the truth – the bedrock of all successful policies. Moving our embassy places the United States firmly on the right side of history.


LINK
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Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Thu 16 May 2019, 08:49:31

Financial Times article on US trade relations etc. with China. I think they are missing the big picture.

https://www.ft.com/content/9317cc0e-766 ... 8435cd42d9
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Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby KaiserJeep » Fri 17 May 2019, 06:50:10

Newfie, that whole article was fairly hawkish and alarmist. What "big picture" is being missed?
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