timmac wrote:Well I think its ok to say if we are heading in the right or wrong direction, doesn't really mean it as a prediction or fact, just ones opinion.
My opinion is that we are on the wrong path and have little time before its to late to change that path before we end up as a 3rd world nation..
I guess that was directed to me? If so, like I just mentioned in the post above, I tend towards Shell's Scenario Planning Methods.davep wrote:How about giving your prognosis to set the ball rolling?
timmac wrote:How would a farming area be the worse place to be past Peak Oil ??, I would think Vegas would be the 1st to go..
JustaGirl wrote:Same Phildo from LATOC?
I have children close to the same ages (5 and 1), which is why i'm interested in peak oil at all.
I'm very interested to hear more about electric farming, something i've been told over and over again can't be done. It's nice to have you here!
Bas wrote:Welcome Phildo.
reading what you wrote already I think you should be a fine addition to the forum
BlisteredWhippet wrote:Hi there Phildo.
Shell's scenarios don't include any choices that would negatively impact Shell's core business model.
For Shell, this is all a massive PR stunt. Their scenarios are concerned with Shell and Shell's business sector and continuity as it applies to Shell.
Shell's core business, oil discovery and exploitation, is shrinking. They are being pushed out of deals all over the world as remaining reserves are being nationalized. The fact is that without broad support, their business evaporates by 2020.
Their outlook is to diversify into CO2 trading and possible sequestration, discovery and exploitation of remaining reserves, and eventually transition more heavily into energy markets.
Looking over their website scenarios, several things come to mind. They are advocating a strong NGO and government hand in creating markets through regulation and legislation. Since they are part of a cabal of wealthy multinationals, and have been running their sectors via the government for 20 years, it seems guaranteed to continue. All you need to do is buy the latest products, and vote for one of the two leading candidates. Apparently everything else will work itself out.
Phildo wrote:But if I sort of understand what you are saying -- culture, economics, class, and social structure all tie together in the world around as sort of a self-forming networked inter-related system?
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