Baduila wrote:With new data for the years 2014-2020 the HG diagram looks this way:
-- revised chart --
Remember: The HG price projection has been set up in 2014.
Congratulations -- with the revised chart you've shown that shorty's projections have COMPLETELY broken down from being anything approaching a smooth curve following ANYTHING he projected at all.
Which makes the whole ETP thing, same as it ever was, ABSOLUTE NONSENSE.
So since there IS no "curve" to follow, and only a wildly, random, oscillating price history based on things like news, technology, supply and demand, etc. -- WHAT ARE YOU PROJECTING NOW? And WHY should anyone listen to whatever your newly manufactured guess is NOW?
Oh, and only discussing and focusing on the 29% line, where shorty referenced only the 38% line in his bogus predictions / defense of the ETP form 2015 on, tries to buy you another decade.
Why not, say, get a life? The world and crude oil will go on after COVID-19. And WTI is doing JUST FINE even in the middle of COVID-19.
And currently, the WTI futures (WTI was the reference price ETP used in shorty's "paper") are projecting significantly higher prices as a trend, over the next decade. Not exactly forecasting global economic collapse.
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy ... crude.html