Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

For discussions of events and conditions not necessarily related to Peak Oil.

Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby rockdoc123 » Wed 29 Aug 2018, 20:23:42

Well Trump did warn the Snow Mexicans what was coming. Perhaps they have learned a lesson here.


there is a wealth of opinion out there from trade lawyers and politicians both in Canada and the US who argue that no matter what Trump says he only has approval from Congress to negotiate a tri-lateral agreement not a bi-lateral agreement.
There are specific waiting periods on all of these approvals from Congress. If he asked for permission to negotiate a bi-lateral agreement it has to be made 90 days (I'm quoting this from memory so the time period may be incorrect) prior to approval (and that happening before the negotiation can start).
If he wants to cancel NAFTA and do something else then there is a 6 month notice period to Congress regarding that.
So even if you believe that everyone in Congress will agree with cutting out the most important trading partner the US has from an agreement that has actually resulted in a trade surplus for the US the timelines will not work prior to when the new Mexico government takes power. The new President of Mexico has been pretty adamant that he would only accept a change to NAFTA, not an entirely new agreement which is exactly why the US gov't has been trying to push through an agreement so quickly.
Can Trump get everyone in Congress on his side to change all the existing rules? Given most Republican members were dead set against leaving Canada out of an agreement months ago I can't see how that would happen now.
The part I find telling is that during the Trump/Neto phone call Trump continually tried to refer to the deal as the US-Mexico trade agreement whereas whenever he would let Pena Neto speak Neto always referred to the deal as NAFTA and said they looked forward to Canada joining in.
User avatar
rockdoc123
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 6610
Joined: Mon 16 May 2005, 02:00:00

Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Cog » Wed 29 Aug 2018, 21:43:54

Perhaps trump will wait until Canada has a more agreeable prime minister. I hear Justin is not very popular.
User avatar
Cog
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 12098
Joined: Sat 17 May 2008, 02:00:00
Location: Northern Kekistan

Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby careinke » Thu 30 Aug 2018, 00:07:08

Perhaps Canada will rethink imposing tariffs on the U.S.
Cliff (Start a rEVOLution, grow a garden)
User avatar
careinke
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3583
Joined: Mon 01 Jan 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Pacific Northwest

Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Thu 15 Nov 2018, 18:20:35

Apparently US exports to China have fallen about 25% due to Trump tariffs while Chinese IMPORTS have RISEN 5%-10%.

I don’t know how much that has to do with soy and if that is still at play.

https://gcaptain.com/maersk-ceo-says-da ... ith-china/
User avatar
Newfie
Forum Moderator
Forum Moderator
 
Posts: 12071
Joined: Thu 15 Nov 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Between Canada and Carribean

Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby dissident » Thu 15 Nov 2018, 20:25:13

Newfie wrote:Apparently US exports to China have fallen about 25% due to Trump tariffs while Chinese IMPORTS have RISEN 5%-10%.

I don’t know how much that has to do with soy and if that is still at play.

https://gcaptain.com/maersk-ceo-says-da ... ith-china/


Both the USA and the EU are totally dependent on China for consumer goods production and electronics manufacturing. Some tariff war is not going to change this on any time scale that matters to politicians. If US politicians were serious about maintaining domestic manufacturing they would have done something about it starting in the 1980s (this implies Reagan and Bush Sr.). Instead, the drank the globalism koolaid and Trump is flailing trying to move this legacy mountain.

American are going to have to vote for Trump in two years and someone like Trump for the following 8 year and longer to change things. Given the gains by the Democrats during the mid-terms I don't think such consistency is possible. Too many sheep following the fake stream media.
User avatar
dissident
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5430
Joined: Sat 08 Apr 2006, 02:00:00

Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 16 Nov 2018, 05:29:00

On the other hand China is dependent on outside food. Trump is trying to exploit that. I don’t know how deeply that’s effecting China.
User avatar
Newfie
Forum Moderator
Forum Moderator
 
Posts: 12071
Joined: Thu 15 Nov 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Between Canada and Carribean

Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 16 Nov 2018, 06:01:38

Here is an interesting read on food in China and how it compares globally.

Pretty good report that touches a number of issues.

Chinese have 0.19 acres of areaboe land per capita.

https://chinapower.csis.org/china-food-security/
User avatar
Newfie
Forum Moderator
Forum Moderator
 
Posts: 12071
Joined: Thu 15 Nov 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Between Canada and Carribean

Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby dissident » Sat 17 Nov 2018, 11:22:26

Newfie wrote:On the other hand China is dependent on outside food. Trump is trying to exploit that. I don’t know how deeply that’s effecting China.


American soybean farmers are losing their shirts with their crops rotting in storage. Meanwhile Russian farmers are getting into the soybean business on a large scale. China does not depend on the "west" exclusively for its food. China is engaged in various strategic farming initiatives around the world (including in Africa) to secure its food supply.

Another detail that is often forgotten is that China's GDP growth is due to domestic demand and not banana republic style commodity exports.
User avatar
dissident
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5430
Joined: Sat 08 Apr 2006, 02:00:00

Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Cid_Yama » Mon 18 Feb 2019, 08:17:17

Japan nominated Trump for Nobel Peace Prize after White House request
Japan’s daily newspaper, Asahi Shimbun, citing government sources, reported Sunday that the country’s prime minister, Shinzo Abe, nominated Trump for the prestigious award after the White House asked him to.

“I’m not saying (the claim) is untrue,” Abe said during a government budget session meeting on Monday.

link

Trump, what a putz. :lol: :lol: :lol:
"For my part, whatever anguish of spirit it may cost, I am willing to know the whole truth; to know the worst and provide for it." - Patrick Henry

The level of injustice and wrong you endure is directly determined by how much you quietly submit to. Even to the point of extinction.
User avatar
Cid_Yama
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 7169
Joined: Sun 27 May 2007, 02:00:00
Location: The Post Peak Oil Historian

Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Cog » Mon 18 Feb 2019, 14:52:19

Obama got a Nobel peace prize for accomplishing nothing. A de-nuclearized and peaceful North and South Korea would be something no American president has accomplished in decades.
User avatar
Cog
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 12098
Joined: Sat 17 May 2008, 02:00:00
Location: Northern Kekistan

Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby lpetrich » Mon 18 Feb 2019, 19:07:39

Cog wrote:Obama got a Nobel peace prize for accomplishing nothing. A de-nuclearized and peaceful North and South Korea would be something no American president has accomplished in decades.

There are more things in Heaven and Earth, Cog, than are dreamt of in Fox News.

All that Trump has done is make a deal that would have made Neville Chamberlain proud. I'm sure that Kim Jong Un and his friends are laughing among themselves at what an easily manipulated dotard he is.
User avatar
lpetrich
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 245
Joined: Thu 22 Jun 2006, 02:00:00

Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Plantagenet » Mon 18 Feb 2019, 21:34:24

lpetrich wrote:Trump has done is make a deal that would have made Neville Chamberlain proud.


Your ignorance of history is showing.

Neville Chamberlain signed a treaty that allowed Hitler to seize another country and incorporate it into Germany.

Trump signed a deal that has resulted in North Korea stopping its nuclear missile testing.

The two deals are quite different. If you don't understand why, then I suggest you take a moment to educate yourself further about the two treaties.

Cheers!
User avatar
Plantagenet
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 21989
Joined: Mon 09 Apr 2007, 02:00:00
Location: Alaska (its much bigger than Texas).

Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Cog » Mon 18 Feb 2019, 22:21:36

Is there any country, besides Iran, that the left doesn't want to go to war with?
User avatar
Cog
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 12098
Joined: Sat 17 May 2008, 02:00:00
Location: Northern Kekistan

Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby lpetrich » Tue 19 Feb 2019, 14:48:58

Cog wrote:Is there any country, besides Iran, that the left doesn't want to go to war with?

How is that supposed to be the case? Who is "the left", anyway?

I also must say that I find right-wing pacifist posturing very unconvincing, since the right wing is fond of claiming that opponents of wars are unpatriotic and traitorous.
User avatar
lpetrich
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 245
Joined: Thu 22 Jun 2006, 02:00:00

Re: Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Tue 19 Feb 2019, 15:58:41

Well it seems you two agree on pulling back on our global military presence.

I’ll throw my hat into that ring, I alsonthink we are over extended and generally much things up more than we fix.
User avatar
Newfie
Forum Moderator
Forum Moderator
 
Posts: 12071
Joined: Thu 15 Nov 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Between Canada and Carribean

Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 01 Mar 2019, 12:00:15

A little humor.

AA9FA865-BDA0-4A9F-9412-9182781BFD10.jpeg
AA9FA865-BDA0-4A9F-9412-9182781BFD10.jpeg (54.01 KiB) Viewed 3362 times
User avatar
Newfie
Forum Moderator
Forum Moderator
 
Posts: 12071
Joined: Thu 15 Nov 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Between Canada and Carribean

Re: D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Wed 13 Mar 2019, 17:26:49

. By Jonathan Saul and Parisa Hafezi LONDON/DUBAI, March 13 (Reuters) – Iran is running short of options to replace its aging fleet of tankers and keep oil exports flowing because renewed U.S. sanctions are making potential sellers and flag registries wary of doing business with Tehran, Western and Iranian sources said.

Since U.S. President Donald Trump reimposed sanctions in November, exploratory talks with South Korea for up to 10 new supertankers have stalled and Panama has also removed at least 21 Iranian tankers from its registry forcing Tehran to put the vessels under its own flag, the sources said.


https://gcaptain.com/irans-oil-tanker-f ... ions-bite/
User avatar
Newfie
Forum Moderator
Forum Moderator
 
Posts: 12071
Joined: Thu 15 Nov 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Between Canada and Carribean

Previous

Return to Geopolitics & Global Economics

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 11 guests