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Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby Tanada » Tue 01 Jan 2019, 08:43:14

dohboi wrote:Devastating Storm Usman Leaves 68 Dead in the Philippines

https://amp.theguardian.com/world/2018/ ... evastating

The death toll from Storm Usman that struck the Philippines shortly after Christmas rose to 68 with the number of fatalities expected to climb even higher, civil defence officials said Monday.

Fifty-seven people died in the mountainous Bicol region, southeast of Manila, while 11 were killed in the central island of Samar, mostly due to landslides and drownings, the officials said.

While it did not have powerful winds it brought heavy rains that caused floods and loosened the soil, triggering landslides in some areas.

One official told AFP news agency that people did not take precautions as it was not classed as a typhoon under the government's alert system.


an MIT study has given an estimate based on model simulations and observations: With every 1 degree Celsius rise in temperature, the study finds, tropical regions will see 10 percent heavier rainfall extremes, with possible impacts for flooding in populous regions

Unfortunately, the results of the study suggest a relatively high sensitivity of tropical extreme rainfall to global warming.
https://m.phys.org/news/2012-09-intensi ... lobal.html
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby jawagord » Mon 28 Jan 2019, 14:03:34

To put in perspective, extreme weather related deaths have dropped dramatically in the last 100 years. Human adaptability and technology trump climate change again!

https://www.facebook.com/bjornlomborg/p ... =3&theater
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Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby dohboi » Sat 23 Feb 2019, 18:25:43

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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby Tuike » Tue 19 Mar 2019, 15:48:57

Cyclone Idai: 'Massive disaster' in Mozambique and Zimbabwe -bbc

Cyclone Idai has triggered a "massive disaster" in southern Africa affecting hundreds of thousands if not millions of people, the UN says. The region has been hit by widespread flooding and devastation affecting Mozambique, Zimbabwe and Malawi. Mozambique President Filipe Nyusi has called it "a humanitarian disaster of great proportion". He said more than 1,000 people may have been killed after the cyclone hit the country last week. Cyclone Idai made landfall near the port city of Beira in Sofala province on Thursday with winds of up to 177 km/h (106 mph).

Floods of up to six metres deep had caused "incredible devastation" over a huge area in Mozambique, World Food Programme regional chief Lola Castro said. "This is shaping up to be one of the worst weather-related disasters ever to hit the southern hemisphere, if the report by [Mozambique's] president and other agencies are confirmed, in terms of the causality toll," Clare Nullis from the UN's weather agency told the BBC. At least 1.7 million people were in the direct path of the cyclone in Mozambique and 920,000 have been affected in Malawi, the UN said.
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby dohboi » Sat 27 Apr 2019, 20:05:59

An unprecedented event for northern Mozambique

In records going back 50 years, far northern Mozambique has no record of storms of even minimal hurricane strength, much less a system as powerful as Kenneth.

The landfall location (12°S) is quite close to the equator, in a latitude range where it becomes more difficult for cyclones to gather enough atmospheric spin to develop. Only a couple of tropical depressions and tropical storms have made landfall this far north in Mozambique or in Tanzania in the several decades of satellite coverage.

Kenneth ranks among the strongest landfalls on record for the entire African mainland.

Cyclone Leon-Eline struck Mozambique on Feb. 26, 2000, with top one-minute sustained winds of 134 mph as assessed by JTWC. Off the mainland, Cyclones Hary (2000) and Gafilo (2004) both struck Madagascar at Category 5 strength, with top sustained winds of 160 mph, according to JTWC.


https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Categ ... at6-widget
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby dohboi » Sat 27 Apr 2019, 23:32:18

After Cyclone Kenneth, Mozambique hit by rain and winds

https://dw.com/en/after-cyclone-kenneth ... a-48507946

Heavy rain and winds across northern Mozambique on Friday brought warnings from the UN of "massive flooding" to come in the next few days as Cyclone Kenneth moves slowly inland over northern Mozambique.

The UN World Food Programme (WFP) said it was possible 600 millimeters (almost 24 inches) of rain could fall over the next few days in some areas. This would be double the amount of rain that fell on the central city of Beira during the cyclone which hit in March.
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby dohboi » Sun 28 Apr 2019, 15:36:23

Cyclone Fani likely to make landfall around the 3rd of May in India

https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/cyclone ... ay-2029744

A lot of people could be in harms way on that one.

Not to make light of that potentially dire situation, but a musical prayer that it's winds not reach too high of speeds...to the tune of 'Mustang Sally'

Cyclone Fani
You better slow your cyclone down...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T_uSM-i_c_I
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby dohboi » Wed 01 May 2019, 21:16:39

This has growing potential off the coast of the US

https://cbs12.com/weather/hurricane-map ... ane-center

And Fani is getting bigger. https://www.business-standard.com/artic ... 128_1.html
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby EdwinSm » Thu 02 May 2019, 03:35:38

Fani, in India
Officials told BBC Hindi that around 800,000 people are in the process of being evacuated. Nearly 100,000 of them will be evacuated from Puri, a city in Orissa, as authorities believe that this is where the storm will hit hardest. Puri is also home to the 858-year-old Jagannath temple - officials are also worried about the impact it could have on the historic building.


https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-48121606

Flat land with wonderful long sandy beaches :) , so little to stop it sweeping inland :( .
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby dohboi » Mon 20 May 2019, 21:00:51

And Andrea just started the season for the Atlantic!
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby dohboi » Sat 01 Jun 2019, 22:10:27

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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby dohboi » Thu 11 Jul 2019, 01:40:37

It's more than just a storm now:

Louisiana declares state of emergency as storm develops into hurricane

New Orleans is already experiencing flooding and Mississippi River is forecast to reach tops of levees by Friday

...storm surge could push the already swollen Mississippi River precariously close to the tops of levees that protect New Orleans – in what will be their greatest test since the catastrophic failure during Hurricane Katrina in 2005.

This would be the highest crest on the Mississippi River at New Orleans since 1950.




https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/201 ... n-flooding
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby EdwinSm » Sun 11 Aug 2019, 00:42:37

At least 28 people have been killed and more than a million forced from their homes as Typhoon Lekima hit China, according to state media.


https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-49303877

I wonder the economic damage from typhoons hits China harder than the USA from all its hurricanes. {Is it too much like comparing oranges and apples?}

Typhoon Lekima seems to be hitting all along the coast and a quarter of a million people were evacuated from Shanghai (that is out of a population of 20 million).
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby dohboi » Sat 24 Aug 2019, 14:03:56

The tropics are starting to sizzle with tropical formation likely off the US coast this weekend

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby dohboi » Sun 25 Aug 2019, 01:52:07


Tropical Storm Dorian Forms; Forecast to Reach Lesser Antilles Tuesday


And hit PR and Haiti/DR on Wed. and Thursday as a cat one hurricane


https://weather.com/amp/storms/hurrican ... bbean.html
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby Newfie » Sun 25 Aug 2019, 05:20:44

Current forecast looks to split between St Lucia/St Vincent. Not a particularly strong storm.
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby EdwinSm » Mon 26 Aug 2019, 05:24:33

On another forum that I visit there is a thread about "Can hurricanes destroy the US". Well it seems that it might be coming closer. The president has sent of a number of tweets about stopping hurricanes with nukes, but will he listen to his advisors? The storms are powerful!

Mr Trump asked why the US couldn't drop a bomb into the eye of the storm to stop it from making landfall, news site Axios said.

The NOAA says that using nuclear weapons on a hurricane "might not even alter the storm" and the "radioactive fallout would fairly quickly move with the tradewinds to affect land areas".

The difficulty with using explosives to change hurricanes, it says, is the amount of energy needed.

The heat release of a hurricane is equivalent to a 10-megaton nuclear bomb exploding every 20 minutes.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-49471093
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby GHung » Mon 26 Aug 2019, 07:51:14

Dorian likely to fizzle according to Tropical Tidbits:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/blog/20 ... d-tuesday/
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby Newfie » Mon 26 Aug 2019, 10:01:40

Far from the first time that old chestnut has come up. I recall hearing that discussion decades ago.
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Re: Cyclone, Hurricanes, Typhoons...2019

Unread postby dohboi » Wed 28 Aug 2019, 13:00:05

If Dorian makes a b-line for Mara Lago and strengthens to a cat 5 (or ^ 8O ), tTump's gonna be sorely tempted to try out his little hair-brained scheme.
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