pstarr wrote:As a matter of fact, I have no recollection of you entering into discussions about anything except reserves and the potential to grow them seemingly forever.
When will production from known and future reserves no longer grow? Are you willing to share with us an educated guess? It should be easy given your understanding of of as yet undeveloped resources. When does Vaca for instance play out? Will the Chinese produce from their crumbly shale. If so when will that play out?
Step up man
First, for you to state that you don't make unending incorrect predictions re "collapse" is absurd. There IS a search feature on this site for past posts, you know.
Second, I never pretended to have the specific answers re how much oil we have (as you often pretend to, only to have your predictions of collapse re lack of oil proven wrong, again and again).
My main point is that there are alternatives to "rapid collapse". Conservation, driving less, and green technologies are among them. I repeatedly point out that while those alternatives are often inconvenient in terms of cost, especially in the short run -- inconvenience is NOT doom, collapse, armageddon, etc. Oh, and that technology DOES advance, and is helpful (despite your frequent denial of that). Whether better solar cells, batteries, or just reducing the energy intensity of the US and global economy over time, by a dramatic amount, which is an ongoing process forecast to continue for decades -- to cite three examples. Or for another, go ahead: demonstrate how advances in light bulbs in recent decades haven't saved HUGE amounts of electricity.
Feel free to "step up, man" and cite MEANINGFUL reasons, complete with credible citations (instead of random hysterical blogs) why none of these things can be true.
Don't expect name calling and false pronouncements to be deemed credible outside the Cassandra herd, BTW.