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Deluge Thread 2018

Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby GHung » Fri 25 May 2018, 21:11:05

dohboi wrote:“FIVE YEARS of rain in ONE DAY. This is not normal.”

“Mekunu is about 12 hours from a direct hit on Salalah, Oman -- a city of 200,000 people.
Sustained winds currently estimated at 115mph (185kph). About 15 inches (400mm) of total rainfall expected -- five years' worth.”

https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status ... 8077046784


Looks like a storm surge magnet:

https://www.google.com/maps/@17.0029376 ... a=!3m1!1e3
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby jedrider » Sun 27 May 2018, 21:51:49

Second 1000-Year Flood in Two Years Slams into Historic Maryland City

https://www.rawstory.com/2018/05/17-horrifying-photos-videos-wall-water-ellicott-city-maryland-flood-waters-carry-away-cars/

https://www.commondreams.org/news/2018/05/27/second-1000-year-flood-two-years-slams-historic-maryland-city

I wonder what they didn't get the first time around? I mean, that it would happen AGAIN and, probably, soon.
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby dohboi » Sun 27 May 2018, 22:32:35

https://twitter.com/Accu_Jesse/status/1 ... 7204246528

“The last report from the USGS gauge at Patapsco River near Elkridge at Patapsco Valley State Park indicated that the all-time record high stage has been broken and that the river rose 17.88 feet in ~2 hours.

https://t.co/s4rKqyQRuT https://t.co/LrBgLieh1J
#mdwx #flooding ”

Ellicott City, Maryland. Mid-Atlantic U.S. The 2016 storm was a ‘1 in 1,000 years’ event.

This #flooding in #ellicottcity is WORSE than 2016!

#mxwx #mdflood ”

https://twitter.com/JustinWeather/statu ... 5796013057

“Weather station in WeatherUnderground network reporting 115mm/ 4.5 inches of rain at Elliott City so far.”

https://twitter.com/browndutx/status/10 ... 1415696385

“Anyone who is outside around Ellicott City should find higher ground NOW. Another round of rain is coming in.”

https://twitter.com/capitalweather/stat ... 9039194112
Radar GIF at the link.

“So, a tornado at like 8,000 feet elevation in Wyoming, epic flash flooding for th second time in as many years in Ellicott City, MD, an early season subtropical storm, some all time record May heat in the Midwest....just another day in [U.S.] weather.”
https://twitter.com/mattlanza/status/10 ... 8026477568
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby dohboi » Sun 17 Jun 2018, 20:59:56

https://www.ajc.com/news/flash-flooding ... SmmRuNF1K/

A lot of washed out roads to the north and east of me over the last 24 hours or so.

Any extreme weather happening in anyone else's area recently?
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby Tanada » Mon 18 Jun 2018, 00:39:16

dohboi wrote:https://www.ajc.com/news/flash-flooding-washes-out-roads-opens-sinkholes-upper-michigan/by1Q6WGknT0maSmmRuNF1K/

A lot of washed out roads to the north and east of me over the last 24 hours or so.

Any extreme weather happening in anyone else's area recently?

Last Thursday and Friday we experienced two separate storm systems, the first dumped 1.9 inches of rain upon us in two hours and the second the next day gave us another 1.1 inches in a downpour lasting not much over 90 minutes in duration.
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby dohboi » Mon 18 Jun 2018, 13:57:51

Wow. Thanks for the info. Presumably part of this same system.
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby dohboi » Wed 20 Jun 2018, 16:53:49

Southeast Texas Hammered by 15+ Inches of Rain

https://robertscribbler.com/2018/06/20/ ... s-of-rain/

Anyone here getting slammed by any part of this monster?
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby dohboi » Thu 21 Jun 2018, 20:54:09

More on this:

Rain continues to flood Texas.

“McAllen shattered rainfall records Thursday morning with an estimated 10 inches of rain since 4 a.m., according to the National Weather Service”

Gov. Abbott issues disaster declaration for severe flooding across South Texas

https://www.mysanantonio.com/news/local ... 013910.php
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby jedrider » Fri 22 Jun 2018, 15:06:42

Again I ask, what do people NOT understand about global warming?

Iowa Train Derailment Leaks Crude Oil into Floodwaters; Homes Evacuated

https://weather.com/news/news/2018-06-22-northeast-iowa-train-derailment-oil-spill

Seems that every locale and business dependent upon infrastructure ought to have a 'global warming' plan
and follow it.
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby dohboi » Wed 27 Jun 2018, 14:30:35

100 year events to come once a year: Extreme flooding events will increase sharply along coastlines.

https://phys.org/news/2018-06-extreme-s ... lines.html

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-018-04692-w
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby Tanada » Wed 27 Jun 2018, 17:45:00

We got another inch of rain between midnite and 5 am today, the fields in these parts are again flooded. If this keeps up the soybean harvest is going to be hurt.
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby GHung » Wed 27 Jun 2018, 18:36:19

New Nova tonight on PBS (in my market):

"Rise of the Superstorms"

In just one devastating month, Houston, Florida, and the Caribbean were changed forever. In summer 2017, three monster hurricanes swept in from the Atlantic one after another, shattering storm records and killing hundreds of people. First, Harvey brought catastrophic rain and flooding to Houston, causing $125 billion in damage. Less than two weeks later, Irma lashed the Caribbean with 185 mile per hour winds—and left the island of Barbuda uninhabitable. Hot on Irma’s heels, Maria intensified from a Category 1 to a Category 5 hurricane in just 15 hours, then ravaged Puerto Rico and left millions of people without power. As the planet warms, are these superstorms the new normal? How well can we predict them? And as the U.S. faces the next hurricane season, does it need to prepare for the reality of climate refugees? NOVA takes you inside the 2017 superstorms and the cutting-edge research that will determine how well equipped we are to deal with hurricanes in the future.

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/earth/rise ... torms.html
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby dohboi » Thu 28 Jun 2018, 05:56:28

Thanks for that link, G, and that info on local conditions, T. IIRC, more crops are lost in most years from too much rain than from drought. Both will be taking their toll more and more frequently going forward.

Meanwhile, here's an excerpt from the new book Rising:

https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... s-flooding

Meet America's new climate normal: towns that flood when it isn't raining

In this extract from Rising, Elizabeth Rush explains ‘sunny day flooding’ – when a high tide can cause streets to fill with water

...It isn’t raining when I arrive in Shorecrest, and there isn’t a storm offshore; the day is as clear and as blue as the filigree on a porcelain plate. But the streets are still full of water. I watch as a woman wades ankle deep across Tenth Avenue. She has gathered her long russet-colored skirt in her right hand, and in her left she holds a pair of Jesus sandals. When she reaches the bus stop, she sits and puts her shoes on.

“We get flooded with just about every high tide,” the woman tells me. “And if the moon is big it’s worse.”

All along the east coast, from Portland, Maine, to Key West, “sunny day flooding” is increasingly frequent. Many places in the Sunshine State are so low lying that high tide – when coupled with something as innocuous as a full moon – can cause the streets to brim with water. Sometimes the tide simply rises above the seawalls and starts to spill into the roadways; in other cases it enters the neighborhood through the storm-water infrastructure below ground.

The very pipes designed to reduce flooding by ushering rain out instead give salt water a chance to work its way in...

...a man walks up behind me, peers down, and says: “I’ve seen fish come swimming out.”

“No, you haven’t!”

“I have,” he says, pushing his sunglasses up.

I’ve been here 20 years. When I first moved we used to flood once a year, maybe twice. Now it’s constant”...

"...we have to start preparing for inundation.

Remember, the last time carbon dioxide levels were the same as they are today, the ocean was one hundred feet higher".
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby onlooker » Thu 05 Jul 2018, 15:02:53

https://watchers.news/2018/07/05/record ... m=facebook

Record-breaking rainfall threatens much of Japan, 160 000 advised or ordered to evacuate
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby dohboi » Sat 07 Jul 2018, 23:16:03

Good catch, ol. Here's an update, and things are looking much worse:

Japan Reels From Heavy Rains; Dozens Killed and Millions Evacuated


Record torrential rains across western and central Japan unleashed flooding and landslides in several residential areas, killing dozens and triggering weather warnings in four districts of the country.

By Saturday evening, at least 51 people were dead and 48 were missing, according to the public broadcaster NHK. More than one million people in 18 districts had been ordered to evacuate their homes and 3.5 million had been urged to leave.

The Japan Meteorological Agency reported on Saturday that rainfall in many of the affected areas had reached record levels — with some areas reporting rain two or three times as high as the monthly average for all of July over just five days...


https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/07/worl ... lides.html

"44 inches of rain fell on Yanasa in Umaji village, Kochi prefecture, on Shikoku, in only three days - that's double the total amount that usually falls in the whole of July."

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/world/h ... 81386.html
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby dohboi » Sun 08 Jul 2018, 13:00:33

Death toll now at 76+
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby dohboi » Sun 08 Jul 2018, 16:45:17

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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby GHung » Sun 08 Jul 2018, 21:16:36

Juice the atmosphere more and more, you get more/bigger rain bombs.

It's a doomer thing.
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby dohboi » Mon 09 Jul 2018, 07:31:08

Yeah, extreme rain events (deluges!) of forty inches and more are becoming a thing, if not quite the new normal yet, as someone on asif just pointed out: Harvey last year, Kauai earlier this year, and now Japan.

Does anyone know of other such events that have happened anywhere?

ETA: Some quick research coughed up this tidbit: "Cherrapunji [India] holds the world record 48-hour rainfall with a whopping 2,493 mm, or 98.15 inches, of rain on June 15-16, 1995"

I guess the odd thing about these other events is that they are outside of the usual monsoon areas, as far as I understand. Also, they're all happening within about a year of each other.
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Re: Deluge Thread 2018

Unread postby onlooker » Mon 09 Jul 2018, 10:38:57


88 dead, over 50 missing after massive flood, landslides in southwest Japan
https://japantoday.com/category/nationa ... west-japan
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