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D. J. Trump Administration Geopolitics Pt. 3

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Trump tears up Obama agreement with Cuba

Unread postby Cog » Fri 16 Jun 2017, 14:21:18

This is what I voted for and I'm glad Trump ripped to shreds the normalization with Cuba.

New conditions now apply:

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-cuba- ... e-updates/

1) President Trump said the U.S. won't negotiate with Cuba until it meets conditions like scheduling free elections and releasing political prisoners.

2)The policy begins with strictly enforcing U.S. law, Mr. Trump said. No sanctions on Cuba will be lifted until Cuba releases all political prisoners, and Cuba legalizes all party and schedules free elections.

3) The previous administration's easing of restrictions on travel and trade does not help the Cuban people, they only enrich the Cuban regime,
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Re: Trump tears up Obama agreement with Cuba

Unread postby Plantagenet » Fri 16 Jun 2017, 18:13:48

Cog wrote:The previous administration's easing of restrictions on travel and trade does not help the Cuban people, they only enrich the Cuban regime,


Thats debatable.

I agree with Trump that Obama basically abandoned Cuban dissidents in order to sign an accord with Cuba, but we already know Obama was the world's worst negotiator. Nonetheless there were some good things about this opening up to Cuba.

I visited Cuba last year shortly before Obama opened it up. I went through the process of getting a US permit---I went as part of an "educational" group. I'm very pleased I got to see Cuba before it got buried by hordes of tourists.

Yes the larger hotels like the famous Hotel Nacional in Havana were nationalized by Fidel decades ago, and dollars spent there go straight into the Castro brother's pockets (or the regimes pockets --- in a dictatorship like Cuba there isn't much difference).

But there is a large and growing micro-economy of private restaurants (called paladars), taxi drivers, tour guides, etc. that partly rely on US visitors, and IMHO the creation of a vibrant private sector in Cuba filled people friendly to the US probably does more to undermine the idiotic communist propaganda and the moribund socialist economy that most Cubans are stuck in then the embargo ever did.

Cuban and North Korea are the last two communist countries, and they are like living museums of communism----. I can understand getting tough with North Korea because they pose a real threat, but the Cubans are like our lost brothers.

The parable of the prodigal son teaches us to welcome back our lost sons and lost brothers, no matter where they have been.

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Cuba reminds me of the parable of the prodigal son. We should welcome them back as friends and brothers
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Re: Trump tears up Obama agreement with Cuba

Unread postby Cog » Fri 16 Jun 2017, 18:18:50

eight more years of sanctions won't hurt anything.
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Re: Trump tears up Obama agreement with Cuba

Unread postby Plantagenet » Fri 16 Jun 2017, 18:36:21

Cog wrote:eight more years of sanctions won't hurt anything.


Hard to say.

Cuba is in a delicate economic state right now, since their socialist brothers in Venezuela have destroyed the economy there and the massive aid that Venezuela has been sending to Cuba is drying up.

Maybe Trump will get lucky and the Maduro regime will collapse in Venezuela and the Cuba regime will topple soon after.

On the other hand, pushing on Cuba right now just Raul and Fidel are getting ready to die retire may empower the remaining hard line communists again, and they may decide crack down on the nascent private sector again.

Yes, Trump may get lucky-----but he isn't striking me as a "lucky" president right now. I'm starting to worry about everything going to hell on his watch.

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Re: Trump tears up Obama agreement with Cuba

Unread postby Cog » Fri 16 Jun 2017, 22:30:16

If communism is a superior business model, then the Castro brothers should have no problems with the US re-applying sanctions. I have found that to judge the merit of an idea is to find out who is against it.

So far, the media, Europe, Democrats, and leftists hate the idea of what Trump is doing. I'm quite comfortable that Trump is doing the right thing here.
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Re: Trump tears up Obama agreement with Cuba

Unread postby Newfie » Sat 17 Jun 2017, 17:48:01

I've yet to hear anyone who has significant first hand knowledge of Cuba, and who does not have some personal stake in the Castro regime, recommend a hard line. While they generally acknowledge some political difficulties and abuses they also generally feel very positive of the Cuban people and feel they have more to gain by engagement than by sanctions.
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Re: Trump tears up Obama agreement with Cuba

Unread postby Ibon » Sat 17 Jun 2017, 20:38:18

Newfie wrote:I've yet to hear anyone who has significant first hand knowledge of Cuba, and who does not have some personal stake in the Castro regime, recommend a hard line. While they generally acknowledge some political difficulties and abuses they also generally feel very positive of the Cuban people and feel they have more to gain by engagement than by sanctions.


You know Newfie, I have a wealth of information I could share having personal friendships with Cubans both in Cuba and in Miami. I do share stories one and one with guests here at times but I am hesitant on a public forum like this.

The best source of information are the cubans themselves. Within the Cuban American community there is now quite a split generation wise, the majority of 2nd and 3rd generation that were born of first generation immigrants since 1960 are by and large now supporting the end of the embargo. They did not experience the displacement the 1st generation did. The 1st generation of immigrants are still in favor of the embargo but like Fidel and Raul they are a dead or dying demographic.


More info:

http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/s ... ll/2210950

The Bendixen & Amandi poll showed 44 percent supported normalizing relations; 48 percent opposed it.

Those Cuban Americans born in the United States supported the normalization effort by 64-33 percent. Those born in Cuba opposed it 53-38 percent. Of those born in Cuba, those who emigrated before Mariel in 1980 opposed the deal 64-29 percent. Those who came after Mariel were split, with 45 percent in favor and 44 percent opposed.
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Re: Trump tears up Obama agreement with Cuba

Unread postby Ibon » Mon 19 Jun 2017, 03:57:52

See this video clip...

https://www.nytimes.com/video/us/politi ... title-area

This move by Trump is against the long term interests of the Republican party. Younger Cuban Americans, the demographic that will be around for decades, are against this while the demographic that supports it is old and dying.

It's just plainly dumb. Obama didn't catalyse the changes in Cuba, he just adjusted American policy to a momentum that was already accelerating. Trump trying to reverse this just seems totally out of step.
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Re: Trump tears up Obama agreement with Cuba

Unread postby Cog » Mon 19 Jun 2017, 06:07:21

Perhaps Trump is more interested in the long term interests of the USA than his own party. Something I'm sure Obama never considered in his decision making process.
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Re: Trump tears up Obama agreement with Cuba

Unread postby Ibon » Mon 19 Jun 2017, 09:01:42

Cog wrote:Perhaps Trump is more interested in the long term interests of the USA than his own party. Something I'm sure Obama never considered in his decision making process.


Maybe he can round up all those geriatric Cubans in Miami and make a 2nd go at the Playa Giron?
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Trump Imposes 30% Import Tariff on Solar Panels

Unread postby KaiserJeep » Tue 23 Jan 2018, 05:17:07

The Trump administration slapped a 30% tax on imported solar panels Monday in a move that critics say could slow down a fast-growing industry and kill tens of thousands of domestic manufacturing jobs.

The administration's decision followed a trade case brought by two U.S. solar manufacturers. They contended that cheap solar equipment from China and other countries hurt their businesses. Trump had long promised to boost manufacturing jobs by cracking down on Chinese imports.


https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2018/01/22/trumps-30-tariff-imported-solar-panels-may-cost-jobs/1056440001/
https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/breaking-trump-admin-issues-a-30-solar-tariff#gs.CYFzkLE
http://www.businessinsider.com/the-trump-administration-slaps-30-tariff-on-imported-solar-panels-2018-1
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Re: Trump Imposes 30% Import Tariff on Solar Panels

Unread postby Cog » Tue 23 Jan 2018, 07:43:54

Excellent first move to restore fair trading practices.
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Re: Trump Imposes 30% Import Tariff on Solar Panels

Unread postby ROCKMAN » Tue 23 Jan 2018, 12:33:18

Always winners and losers on the same side in a trade war. Losers: commercial solar builders in Texas that were just beginning to boom. Which also means Texas electricity consumers lose. Winners: US solar panel builders. But just how much have they won? If the increased cost of panels kills much of the solar expansion in Texas and elsewhere the US panel builders may not see much of an increase in output. IOW perhaps a bit of a profit and not much volume. Few commercial manufacturers succeed without significant sales volumes.

Appliance makers might fair better: no one has to buy solar panels. That only happens when investors see a profit potential. But when someone's washing machine or frig breaks down they buy a new one. When one pulls the tariff trigger they need to be aware of the nature of its buyer market. Otherwise you might shoot yourself in the foot. LOL.
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Re: Trump Imposes 30% Import Tariff on Solar Panels

Unread postby asg70 » Tue 23 Jan 2018, 15:48:58

ROCKMAN wrote:Winners: US solar panel builders.


Like Tesla (aka SolarCity)

https://electrek.co/2017/08/31/tesla-so ... olar-roof/

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Re: Trump Imposes 30% Import Tariff on Solar Panels

Unread postby rockdoc123 » Tue 23 Jan 2018, 17:55:17

Winners: US solar panel builders. But just how much have they won? If the increased cost of panels kills much of the solar expansion in Texas and elsewhere the US panel builders may not see much of an increase in output.


I believe that some of the parts required to assemble a solar panel are also part of the new tariff, not just assembled panels. So unless plants in the US are set up to build cells from scratch profitably then there is likely few winners here.
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Re: Trump Imposes 30% Import Tariff on Solar Panels

Unread postby Plantagenet » Tue 23 Jan 2018, 18:29:54

The Chinese largely killed off US manufacturing jobs from 2010-12 by dumping solar panels into the US market at prices below cost during Obama's first term. Obama, being a total wimp, did nothing and the US manufacturing sector for solar panels was largely wiped out.

chinese-dumping-cheap-solar-panels-us-market

Solar energy is going to more and more important going forward. Its a key industry for the future. It was crazy for Obama to let the Chinese destroy our solar manufacturing base, especially when the US largely invented solar energy and solar cells. Lets hope Trump succeeds in reviving the US solar cell manufacturing sector with this new tariff.

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Re: Trump Imposes 30% Import Tariff on Solar Panels

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Tue 23 Jan 2018, 18:41:24

asg70 wrote:
ROCKMAN wrote:Winners: US solar panel builders.


Like Tesla (aka SolarCity)

https://electrek.co/2017/08/31/tesla-so ... olar-roof/

I don't actually see that impacting Tesla much.

I've looked at the Tesla solar roof, since given time, once well proven and the battery costs for the Tesla Powerwall battery used for a backup solution fall -- this looks like a solid candidate for the solar roof solution I want.

However, these glass tiles are not really direct competitors for regular PV solar panels, IMO, as they are far more expensive. They are adding aesthetics (and for me, durability and less risk, like not punching a bunch of holes in your roof, worries about strong spring winds damaging the panels, etc) -- but at a significant price premium (which I'm OK with to a point, for a one time highly reliable solution. Opinons will vary, of course).

So for a parallel example, if Toyota drops the price of a top of the line Lexus by 5%, that makes it a better deal compared to, say, a Honda Accord. However, since it isn't really competing in that market segment, it's not going to impact the Accord/Camry/Fusion market to a meaningful degree.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: Trump Imposes 30% Import Tariff on Solar Panels

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Tue 23 Jan 2018, 18:47:23

Plantagenet wrote:The Chinese largely killed off US manufacturing jobs from 2010-12 by dumping solar panels into the US market at prices below cost during Obama's first term. Obama, being a total wimp, did nothing and the US manufacturing sector for solar panels was largely wiped out.

chinese-dumping-cheap-solar-panels-us-market

Solar energy is going to more and more important going forward. Its a key industry for the future. It was crazy for Obama to let the Chinese destroy our solar manufacturing base, especially when the US largely invented solar energy and solar cells. Lets hope Trump succeeds in reviving the US solar cell manufacturing sector with this new tariff.

Cheers!

That will likely be the argument the GOP makes.

However, in what world do you think Trump (and much of his base) being climate deniers has nothing to do with it? I'd say it has EVERYTHING to do with this choice.

Long term, if it helps US panel makers compete to a meaningful degree, great. I just don't expect ANYONE left of center to be buying that as the real motive.

After all, aren't there all kinds of industries that claim "unfair" Chinese competition? Shouldn't Trump be helping them just as much? Or even more if more economic damage is (supposedly) being done?
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: Trump Imposes 30% Import Tariff on Solar Panels

Unread postby Cog » Tue 23 Jan 2018, 20:23:32

Perhaps Trump is looking to the future of solar and its necessity and want those panels produced right here instead of overseas. That way we are not at the mercy of a foreign country who could shut us off at any time.
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Trump: "We are going to have the Space Force"

Unread postby KaiserJeep » Wed 20 Jun 2018, 13:15:31

Trump: ‘We are going to have the Space Force’
by Sandra Erwin — June 18, 2018
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President Trump and Vice President Pence kick off the third meeting of the National Space Council June 18.

Trump can order the Pentagon to create a Space Force but only Congress can make it happen.
WASHINGTON — President Trump on Monday threw a wrench into the Pentagon’s carefully laid out plans to analyze how best to reorganize the military’s space forces. In remarks kicking off a meeting of the National Space Council, Trump pointedly directed the Pentagon to create a Space Force as a “separate but equal” branch of the U.S. military.

“We are going to have the Air Force, and we are going to have the Space Force. Separate but equal. It is going to be something,” Trump said. “I’m hereby directing the department of Defense and the Pentagon to immediately begin the process necessary to establish a Space Force as the sixth branch of the armed forces. That’s a big statement.”

Addressing Gen. Joseph Dunford, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Trump said, “If you would carry that assignment out, I would be greatly honored.”

According to sources, Trump’s remarks were not off-the-cuff. He had planned to make this announcement weeks ago, and Pentagon officials had been advised the president would be directing the creation of a Space Force at the June 18 National Space Council meeting. Trump mentioned his desire to have a Space Force at four different events in recent months, and the feedback he received was mostly positive, which motivated him to get the process started sooner rather than later.

So what comes next? Congress has to rewrite Title 10 of the United States Code that outlines the roles and missions of the armed forces. “The president proposes, but Congress disposes,” pointed out Doug Loverro, former deputy assistant secretary of defense for space policy. Loverro is an adviser to congressional committees and has been a proponent of a separate military service for space.

“Only Congress can organize the military,” Loverro told SpaceNews.

The National Defense Authorization Act of 1947 created the Air Force. The Air Force today oversees about 90 percent of the military’s space funding, programs and personnel. Conceivably the 2019 NDAA that is now going through the legislative cycle could create the Space Force, Loverro said, although Congress would have to give the Defense Department at least one or two years to execute such a large reorganization.

“General Dunford can do a lot in preparation for it,” he said. “But at the end of the day it requires Congress to create a new service.”

According to a defense official, “The Joint Staff will work closely with the Office of the Secretary of Defense, other DoD stakeholders and the Congress to implement the President’s guidance.”

At the White House on Monday, Trump talked about the Space Force in the context of his broader concerns about the United States’ dominance in space being challenged by China and Russia.

Although he believes the military today is dominant in space, he wants more, Trump told Dunford: “Congratulations on your tremendous success but we’re going to have far more success.”

Creating a Space Force and promoting space exploration by NASA and the private sector will be “important for the nation’s psyche,” he said. “It’s going to be important monetarily and militarily. … We don’t want China and Russia and other countries leading us. We’re going to be the leader by far.”

White House spokesman Raj Shah said in a statement that the president wants the Pentagon to immediately begin the process to organize a Space Force. “The president’s National Strategy for Space calls for American leadership, preeminence, and freedom of action in space, and he sees a separate service focused on space as a critical piece of that end state,” said Shah. “The National Space Council and other White House offices will work closely with the Department of Defense on successful implementation of the president’s direction.”

The president’s directive sets the stage for a contentious debate as the House and Senate prepare to hash out a final version of the 2019 NDAA. The House almost certainly will be enthused by the presidential push for a Space Force. In the past two years it has led efforts to create a Space Corps, but the legislation was opposed by the Senate and by the Pentagon.

“Last year out of a lot of frustration and a commitment to do better in space, we set up a separate Space Corps,” Chairman of the House Armed Services Committee Mac Thornberry told reporters last week. The committee feels strongly that the U.S. military has to be better prepared and equipped to dominate in space, Thornberry said. “As we get all these briefings about what adversaries are doing, our dependence on space, it’s clear that we have to do better,” he added. “Organizational changes don’t fix all the problems. But on the other hand they can sometimes help make sure space gets the kind of priority it should have, like cyber, as a domain of warfare.”

A tweet by Sen. Bill Nelson, a Florida Democrat that is closely involved in space issues, suggested the president should not yet assume the Space Force is a done deal. “The president told a U.S. general to create a new Space Force as a sixth branch of the military, which generals tell me they don’t want,” Nelson tweeted on Monday. “Thankfully the president can’t do without Congress because now is NOT the time to rip the Air Force apart. Too many important issues at stake.”


I think it's a good idea, and the Air Force was definately getting too big for it's britches. But I want to quibble about one thing: There are NOT five branches of the USA Military, there are only four "armed forces" today: Army, Navy, Air Force, and Coast Guard. That would be because the US Marines are part of the Navy. The US Coast Guard was formerly either the Dept. of Treasury (when I was a member), later the Department of Transportation (after it was created), and still later the Dept. of Homeland Security (after it was created). If a war is declared, the USCG becomes part of the DOD in order to have a unified command structure. Additionally, sometimes the US Public Health service is called a "uniformed service", but it is definately not an "armed service".

I find myself in agreement with the idea, although I also agree with the above article that Trump cannot do this, Congress has to do so.

Original article is at: http://spacenews.com/trump-we-are-going-to-have-the-space-force/
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