theluckycountry wrote:Try to stay on topic inke, this is about shitcoin, the only EV related part is that the cryptos are tech stocks that follow the market up and down. With the collapse of the EV bubble they were danger of floundering but have been buoyed up a bit by the AI bubble.
I have put a bit of effort into researching this ok, try and find something interesting to say about the matter other than "Wait grasshopper"
careinke wrote:3. An attempt will be made to try and make a U.S. CBDC, but it will not be possible as many states have already made them illegal, so expect court fights for the next 10 years over this issue.
For me, Economically, I will be way better off if Trump wins in the short term. I'm thankful crypto has a very well-funded and effective lobbyist group, which has a good chance of ensuring a Trump win over the Deathocrats shenanigans.
Is that on topic enough for you? I'd like to see your take, now that you have been doing some research. Caution you have started going down the rabbit hole. Most people started out like you, eventually the eat the orange pill.
https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/commen ... y_the_ecb/Abstract
The origonal promise of Nakamoto (2008) to provide the world with a better global means of payment has not materialized. Instead, the focus has increasingly shifted to Bitcoin as an investment asset promising high capital gains. Promoters of this investment vision put little effort relating Bitcoin to an economic function which would justify its valuation...
He said you’re better off trusting your Bitcoin in state custody than holding your own private keys, then went further, calling out all of the businesses engaged in custody projects by calling them effectively bullshit salesmen.
https://bitcoinmagazine.com/markets/mic ... aster-planThis is a new thesis for how to boost Bitcoin adoption using public markets – Saylor is framing the self-custody question as not an issue to solve with innovation, but an issue to ameliorate. His view: It doesn’t matter how people own Bitcoin, only that they do. His preferred vehicle for this is the stock market, and he seems to want to co-opt it as a massive vehicle for buying Bitcoin and selling the exposure.
--Self custody is not anarchism. It disparages the entire idea of bitcoin as a whole, and just reduces it down to only ever being a savings tool. He is against the entire idea of what bitcoin was clearly created for by bashing self custody.
--He’s shown his true colors as just being another scumbag suit looking to profit
--This scumbag being the face of bitcoin needs to change. Bitcoin like all money is based on an idea and beliefs people hold about it.
theluckycountry wrote:Now this is breakthrough, NVIDEA is off like a rocket but BC has 'decoupled' as they say, and is plummeting. NVID is up 50% in 3 months, stellar gains, amazing. It's the bubble's bubble now But what's with $hitcoin?
theluckycountry wrote:Inke, have a look at the chart https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin
set it for Max range and lay a ruler over the peaks of the last 7 months. Do you think the stair-step down pattern is still asserting itself? The three major peaks in the pattern down are
73~ 71~ 69
careinke wrote:You make a good point and yes, I am very aware of it. This has been the longest sideways movement in BTC's history...
I believe we bottomed out on Sep 6th, 2024, at a price just below $54K. Since then, we have been stair stepping up with higher highs and higher lows ...
It hasn't been sideways, it's been in decline. BC, and crypto generally have never experienced declines, they have bonified collapses. Perhaps this is what has confused you. Nvidia for its part has skyrocketed beyond all rational measures and nothing goes straight up like it has and then plateaus. Such a stock or index always collapses back down.This has been the longest sideways movement in BTC's history.
theluckycountry wrote:careinke wrote:You make a good point and yes, I am very aware of it. This has been the longest sideways movement in BTC's history...
I believe we bottomed out on Sep 6th, 2024, at a price just below $54K. Since then, we have been stair stepping up with higher highs and higher lows ...
Yes I see that extended updraft, and the peak at $69k broke the short term stairstep which made me comment above that perhaps BC had broken out of it's downward pattern. I'm still unconvinced it has changed direction though, the Sep-6 to Oct-21 run is not too dissimilar from the May-2 to June-6 run and I'm thinking the July 29 peak at $68k was simply a peak that didn't reach full potential. If it had it would have eclipsed the recent $69k one.
careinke wrote:We tapped all-time highs today in BTC. We will probably get a quick downturn so the exchanges can collect money from all the newly leveraged longs, then we will be in uncharted bullish waters.
https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/3-be ... g-patternsTechnical Analysis
Bear flag
This short-term bearish pattern occurs when a longer-term downtrend briefly rebounds. It can help determine whether the stock's descent is over or will continue, and it typically takes from five days to three weeks to form.
I'd compare BTC to AU, but I'll spare you the embarrassment.
theluckycountry wrote:careinke wrote:We tapped all-time highs today in BTC. We will probably get a quick downturn so the exchanges can collect money from all the newly leveraged longs, then we will be in uncharted bullish waters.
Bullish Waters? What evidence is there for that?https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/3-be ... g-patternsTechnical Analysis
Bear flag
This short-term bearish pattern occurs when a longer-term downtrend briefly rebounds. It can help determine whether the stock's descent is over or will continue, and it typically takes from five days to three weeks to form.I'd compare BTC to AU, but I'll spare you the embarrassment.
There is no comparison between BC and Gold. They only seem similar in the eyes of the (small herd) because BC was marketed with the image of a Gold coin. Real Wealth, Farmland, Gold, good mineral deposits, all rise slowly over time and don't give up their gains. You, like most Westerners, are scope locked on digital Bubble assets (the new, New economy) They always fail in the end.
This might be your last chance to bail out, like Musk is bailing out according to the insider info. Take whatever small profit you've made and run. There's a downturn coming and all digital assets (including property) will be hammered. After that it will be another cyclical commodity boom.
careinke wrote:
Geez, you like to live in the last century, and we are almost a quarter through the present one. I'm making triple the money you are with gold. Have fun staying poor.
https://edition.cnn.com/style/article/r ... index.htmlThe ministry did not place a value on the coins. But reports in the Italian media suggest they could be worth millions of dollars.
https://www.nasaa.org/4303/madoff-a-21s ... zi-scheme/Madoff – A 21st Century Ponzi Scheme
Bernard Madoff perpetrated a multi-billion dollar scam that defrauded investors around the world for decades until his arrest in December 2008. Madoff’s fraud led many to financial ruin and his name is now synonymous with what many consider one of the largest Ponzi schemes in history.
What every investor should know is that Ponzi schemes, even as extensive as Madoff’s, are not too difficult to detect if you know the warning signs. A few simple actions can help investors sidestep the potentially devastating impact of a classic Ponzi scheme.
What is a Ponzi Scheme?
The “Ponzi Scheme,” named after the 1920’s swindler Charles Ponzi, is a ploy where earlier investors are paid with funds given by subsequent investors. In a Ponzi scheme, claims of underlying investments are bogus; very few, if any, actual physical assets or financial investments exist. As the number of total investors grows and the supply of potential new investors dwindles, there is not enough money to pay off promised returns and cover investors who try to cash out...
The Madoff Case
For decades, Madoff investors received consistent and steady annual returns through elaborate, fabricated account statements and other documentation that were provided to investors to convince them that their money had been placed in actual investments. The investments “appeared” legitimate, especially to people receiving payments. But in reality, there were no actual investments and no actual returns. Madoff paid the initial investors “returns” with money provided him by a steady flow of new investors.
In 2008, as the global economy began to decline, large numbers of Madoff investors needed money and began asking to cash in their investments. That’s when Madoff’s Ponzi scheme burst – he did not have enough money to cover his investors’ requests and new investor money was hard to be found in the economic downturn.
How to Protect Against Ponzi Schemes
Beware of promises of unrealistic returns. This is perhaps the easiest way to spot a Ponzi scam. Any legitimate investment involves risk. Guarantees of unrealistically high returns are a clear warning sign.
theluckycountry wrote:For those reading that are tempted to delve into BC (doubtful at this stage) Lets recap shall we.
theluckycountry wrote:For those reading that are tempted to delve into BC (doubtful at this stage) Lets recap shall we.
https://www.nasaa.org/4303/madoff-a-21s ... zi-scheme/Madoff – A 21st Century Ponzi Scheme
Bernard Madoff perpetrated a multi-billion dollar scam that defrauded investors around the world for decades until his arrest in December 2008. Madoff’s fraud led many to financial ruin and his name is now synonymous with what many consider one of the largest Ponzi schemes in history.
What every investor should know is that Ponzi schemes, even as extensive as Madoff’s, are not too difficult to detect if you know the warning signs. A few simple actions can help investors sidestep the potentially devastating impact of a classic Ponzi scheme.
What is a Ponzi Scheme?
The “Ponzi Scheme,” named after the 1920’s swindler Charles Ponzi, is a ploy where earlier investors are paid with funds given by subsequent investors. In a Ponzi scheme, claims of underlying investments are bogus; very few, if any, actual physical assets or financial investments exist. As the number of total investors grows and the supply of potential new investors dwindles, there is not enough money to pay off promised returns and cover investors who try to cash out...
The Madoff Case
For decades, Madoff investors received consistent and steady annual returns through elaborate, fabricated account statements and other documentation that were provided to investors to convince them that their money had been placed in actual investments. The investments “appeared” legitimate, especially to people receiving payments. But in reality, there were no actual investments and no actual returns. Madoff paid the initial investors “returns” with money provided him by a steady flow of new investors.
In 2008, as the global economy began to decline, large numbers of Madoff investors needed money and began asking to cash in their investments. That’s when Madoff’s Ponzi scheme burst – he did not have enough money to cover his investors’ requests and new investor money was hard to be found in the economic downturn.
How to Protect Against Ponzi Schemes
Beware of promises of unrealistic returns. This is perhaps the easiest way to spot a Ponzi scam. Any legitimate investment involves risk. Guarantees of unrealistically high returns are a clear warning sign.
The parallels between Madoff's scheme and Bitcoin are remarkable!
# underlying investments are bogus; very few, if any actual physical assets or financial investments exist.
What underlies BC? Nothing, Zero, Zilch. It's basically 20 million different digital codes that you could generate yourself with simple software and fit on a flash drive. Which is exactly what the creator did. The Magic is that 'they' convinced millions of people to believe that each digital string will make them rich. Old investors are paid as new investors come in and buy their coins. As long as there is an ever growing number of new investors the price will go up and the early ones will be paid.
# investors received consistent and steady annual returns through elaborate, fabricated account statements
Well the returns on BC are not steady but they are remarkable. And since the whole thing is anonymous, with "wallets" held by unknown entities moving BC around at will there is no accountability. Certainly there is accountability on the chain, you can see the cups moving and there is always 3, but what's under them and who controls them no one knows. All you really know is what some of the big players tell you in the media, and even then there is no guarantee that they are doing as they say.
Michael Saylor for example cashed out hundreds of millions of his stock in MicroStrategy to privately buy BC. The stock sales are a matter of Legal record, the BC purchases are not and are anonymous. He could have put that money in a Cayman's account for all anyone knows.
#Beware of promises of unrealistic returns. This is perhaps the easiest way to spot a Ponzi scam.
Well that sums it up nicely. The hodlers believe BC will go to the moon and give them a life of luxury while all around them will be poor. Average people believing they will be millionaires just by holding a few digital codes backed by nothing tangible?
No other class of investors believes this BTW. Not stock holders, not Gold owners. We simply believe that our money will make modest gains and be there when we need it, in our retirement. Gold has had an annual return of around 32% pa. over the last 20 years, but my last purchases have only gone up 20% pa. That's still a generous return though, for a safe monetary asset. We won't get rich but we certainly won't be poor.
Beware Greed!
Huh? Where are those? The program does none of that. Please give an example. If true, I am missing out! I've held BTC over ten years and NEVER been sent any annual returns.# investors received consistent and steady annual returns through elaborate, fabricated account statements
careinke wrote:Damn, you sound like Kamala spewing ridiculous word salads that mean nothing.
You make it sound like sinister people are running BTC, when in fact it's a simple computer program which keeps track of all the BTC, not a human. Look it up, search for "BTC White Paper." I already know you won't because it is a whole 21 pages long and includes a few words you may have to look up.
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