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Page added on August 31, 2019

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When the World Stops Growing

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For most of human history, the world population has been much smaller than it currently is — the population has grown substantially only in the last two centuries, as technological and medicinal advances increased life expectancy. Social scientists now say that this growth will end within this century, according to a recent article in The Atlantic. By 2100, when the world population will be approximately 11 billion, growth rates and death rates will be relatively equal; while the population will continue to grow in some parts of the world, other regions will bear aging, smaller populations. Thus, though the numbers seem to equalize, human demographics could look quite different than they do now. Based on these population considerations, the 2100 world could witness many social, political, and cultural shifts, both on a local as well as a global level.

To begin, shifting populations could shape family structures and cultural production.

  • Traditional family structures may change in places where most people currently have large, extended families. Sociologist Parfait Eloundou-Enyegue explains that some of these places will experience smaller fertility rates, leading to smaller families. This could change traditional family structures in some countries as large, extended families give way to smaller, nuclear families. The family reunion may be less lively, but it’s not all bad; as families get smaller, parents can invest more time and resources into their children, whether it’s being able to afford better schools or giving the kids their own room.
  • Art, music, theater, and other forms of culture are often clustered around larger, urban environments with youthful populations. As demographics change and certain parts of the world become relatively younger than others, we could see a shift in dominant produces or culture and entertainment. For example, marketing and producing sports has already changed as certain parts of the world have grown while others have shrunk. For several parts of the world that have been often overlooked in global culture and entertainment, this could be their big break; break a leg!

At the same time, the population plateau of 2100 could spark tensions and challenges, particularly for economics, political interests, and social policy.

  • The world population will be collectively older than it is now, and a much larger proportion of people will be of retirement age. This could cause political and policy shifts in many countries, particularly those with social spending programs that support the retired and elderly. Often, these are paid for by the employed persons in the labor force, a group that will be comparatively younger and smaller in the future; this will likely cause shifts in how social services operate and receive funding. Furthermore, since such programs are often key political issues, changing populations could spark shifts in the political arena based on different interests and agendas across age groups.
  • By 2100, the global environment and climate could look much different than it does now, and the population is estimated to plateau just below 11 billion people. Climate change affects different parts of the world in a variety of ways. Across the world, some populations will shrink and age in comparison to others. Thus, different countries’ social and political responses to environmental issues will likely reflect considerations of their different population needs.

Of course, these population predictions are just predictions, but they are informed by complex tools and methods in demography; such analyses are built on hard data regarding the world population and trends in fertility and birth. Thus, even if there are some fluctuations in the numbers, the general trend towards an aging population in some regions and a younger population in others will remain. Overall, this could lead to many social, cultural, and political changes.

The world may stop growing, but the population plateau could still cause many shifts and shake-ups; change really is the only constant.

thesocietypages.org



31 Comments on "When the World Stops Growing"

  1. claes on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 10:23 am 

    And of course overpopulation is not the real problem. To Rajasekar the real problem is: how do we feed al these people.
    I am afraid he is a friend of Monsanto. Because they have the ultimate solution to the worlds need of carbonhydrates, and Rajasekar doesn’t se the danger in that.
    Neeraj Rajasekar migth actually have the rigth attitude, but he dares not call for activly reducing the population.
    I’m afraid that some kind of passive culling is necessary for all races (the chines started wiyh one-child policy) and that goes for us all.

  2. claes on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 11:06 am 

    In some areas we need to reintroduce child mortallity because the mothers and farthers don’t understand the consequenses of to many children in an environment that could rapidly change to the worse.
    In some countries they shouldn’t have kids at all, like Nigeria, Indonesia, Bangladesh, India, Pakistan etc.
    But no, they want to have more inhabitants, because that will bring them more taxes and bigger international clout.
    Well, let’s see what an international recession will do to that kind of thinking

  3. claes on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 11:29 am 

    The real problem with the current world system is that “no growth” is not an option.
    And as I see it neither socialists nor capitalists have any idea of what a “no growth” society would look like.

  4. joe on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 11:58 am 

    i do.

    “https://pixabay.com/photos/city-explosion-building-sky-fire-1420442/”

  5. DerHundistLos on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 12:03 pm 

    What a waste of space. So the takeaway is change is constant. Wow, thanks for enlightening me as to this revelation. The article never addresses the ecological consequences of 11 billion people- a fatal omission rendering the information useless.

  6. Davy on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 12:15 pm 

    Joe who?

    Joe mama.

    At least I got a mama and not two daddies.

    Dumbass.

  7. claes on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 12:35 pm 

    Davy, I love you for admitting this: “At least I got a mama and not two daddies”.
    It might be one of america’s biggest problems. Please read this:
    https://www.amren.com/news/2019/07/anti-social-personalities-heritability-crime-david-lykken/

  8. Cloggie on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 12:44 pm 

    This is the 11 billion UN estimate.

    There are other, slightly less pessimistic scenarios.

  9. Davy on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 12:46 pm 

    Claes, you need to get up to speed on Juanpee ID theft. Some people just aren’t clever enough to know when Juanpee is using my ID. Hint if it is stupid and degrading it is juanpee. Sound reasonable?? Right use you head stupid.

  10. claes on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 1:05 pm 

    D, I’m just a little tired of this ID-problem.
    No matter what Fake-ID-Davy says , I can always spinn it into something good. like f.x :

    https://www.amren.com/news/2019/07/anti-social-personalities-heritability-crime-david-lykken/
    And basically I do love your comments

  11. claes on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 1:46 pm 

    Re Davy:”Right use you head stupid.”
    Well maybe it doesn’t matter, but I might be the only one in this forum that actually like your comments.
    Maybe mutual sympathy is a NO-GO here, but I still love you Davy.
    Yours Stupid Head forever.

  12. juanpee sock on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 3:23 pm 

    claes on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 1:46 pm

    Go fuck yerself juanpee

  13. Davy the insane lunatic on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 3:36 pm 

    Davy requires mental health-care in a serious way, but he cannot afford it and is too stupid and or stubborn (NM its both) to admit he needs help. His daily tirades here are his way of saying,

    “Help me fuck-nuts”

    If you can help, please Fed-ex him a rusty shotgun* with 1 shell, along with a simple line drawing with instructions on where to insert the barrel.

    *Make sure it is in working order. Davy wont receive any benefit from the health-care package should it misfire or is missing parts, like the trigger.

  14. claes on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 3:41 pm 

    Davy/Juan: Get your self som heart/vascular problems and self fucking is not even on the agenda. I know from experience .

  15. claes on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 4:17 pm 

    Somehow I can’t blame the american people from going nuts. The basic solidarity is mostly gone. The country’s foreign policy is difficult to understand.
    Although poor people get a lot(compared to other countries) they feel poor.

    The americans lost their right to influence when they abandoned their unions. Stupid,egotistic americans lost all kind of rights when they thougth that unions were just communistic infiltrations, as ronald reagan told them. Americans need a renewal of their unions, and kick out the communists as we see them in todays Dem left. Workers unions are the basics of democracy and productivity. All communist countries have crushed their workers unions. GUESS WHY

  16. Harquebus on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 4:38 pm 

    “Modern agriculture is the use of land to convert petroleum into food.” — Prof. Albert Bartlett

    “Upon this handful of soil our survival depends. Husband it and it will grow our food, our fuel and our shelter and surround us with beauty. Abuse it and the soil will collapse and die, taking humanity with it.” — Sanskrit text 1500BC.

    Modern agriculture is not sustainable. It is totally dependent on processed fossil fuels for production, transport and fertilizers. It also creates sub surface biological deserts.

    A thinning of the herd is unavoidable.

  17. Cloggie on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 4:58 pm 

    13 minutes of BBC Newsnight, explaining what the options are for a potentially very tumultuous, crucial next week, that could initiate the breakup of the West in a continental European block, oriented towards Eurasia and a globalist Anglo block:

    https://youtu.be/2mMvzmh1wHc

    Four experts are invited and they have four different expectations.

  18. claes on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 6:53 pm 

    Harquebus: “A thinning of the herd is unavoidable”
    Shout it from the mountains, shout it way over the sahara desert. Shout it all over the world where people proliferate beyond their homelands carrying capacity

  19. makati1 on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 11:25 pm 

    claes, but particularly…shout it out in the most wasteful, greedy, arrogant country in the world…Amerika!

    America consumes/wastes more resources/energy than all of China and India combined, or about 27% of the total world resources.

    ~4% vs ~33% of the world’s population. I guess the US has to be degraded to its actual fair percentage of 4%. OUCH!

  20. Davy on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 11:55 pm 

    “Claes, you need to get up to speed on Juanpee ID theft.”

    Thanks for the reminder. I never commit ID theft nor sock puppets.

    That being said, my claim to fame is hypocrisy and lies such the extent it’s impossible to believe one word out of my pie hole.I do this to illicit sympathy and as a means to denigrate others.

    Anybody who falls for your shit is, to borrow one of your phrases, a complete dumbass.

  21. Davy on Sun, 1st Sep 2019 12:04 am 

    Forgot to add most importantly of all, I NEVER make degrading or insulting comments toward others.

    I play nice with the other preschoolers in the sand box. Just look at a random sample of my past comments to know what a polite, thoughtful gentleman I am.

    I prefer to blame everyone for not only the things they never said, but blame them for things I really said really did say. That is messed up.

  22. Cloggie on Sun, 1st Sep 2019 1:33 am 

    The Netherlands are full.

    Says not (just) the board hollywood-natzi, says the ueberleftist Dutch newspaper De Volkskrant:

    https://www.volkskrant.nl/columns-opinie/het-is-hoog-tijd-om-serieus-na-te-denken-over-wat-gewenste-en-ongewenste-migratie-is~b5eb60ac/

    The figures:

    40,000 km2
    17 million

    The supply of new human bodies jostling at the gate: endless.

    The strength of the cancerous ideology known as humanism to actually let them in: quite potent.

    Voices are raised to flatten the last remaining nature reserves and build a new million+ city.

    Now it is even too much for the multicult worshippers at de Volkskrant. Quite a breakthrough!

  23. Davy on Sun, 1st Sep 2019 2:25 am 

    I am spending less time on this lame unmoderated forum to concentrate on my own blog. I do want to thank all those who have attacked me with giving me material for growth. I have saved the best of my comments for my new blog. I have years worth of material. I have enjoyed moderating the worst of you and neutering your selfish useless agendas. I will still be here it is just I will be spending more time putting out a blog. I don’t expect much of a following with my blog. This is more a personal effort to assemble what I have learned over the last 10 years of formulating my REAL Green Deep Adaptation. Many of my ideas and lifestyles are not mine. I barrow what ever works. I do not claim anything either. It is an open source effort. Anyone can take what I am offering and use it however you want. Take my title if you like. For the stalkers here I hope you find my blog and visit the comment forum. It will be only lightly moderated to prevent juanpee identity theft and excessive cloggo spamming. LOL. There will be a prize for juanpee and annoymouse if you can stalk my blog. Double LOL. Anyway fuck my enemies and many thanks to those who contributed to my metamorphous.

    I guess I could have joined the moderated section at PO dot com, but I knew I’d get my ass permanently banned. I’ll try not to let the door smack me up the backside on the way out.

    Goodbye to ALL of you dumbasses.

  24. JuanP identity fraud on Sun, 1st Sep 2019 2:36 am 

    Davy on Sat, 31st Aug 2019 11:55 pm

    “Claes, you need to get up to speed on Juanpee ID theft.”

    Thanks for the reminder. I never commit ID theft nor sock puppets.

    That being said, my claim to fame is hypocrisy and lies such the extent it’s impossible to believe one word out of my pie hole.I do this to illicit sympathy and as a means to denigrate others.

    Anybody who falls for your shit is, to borrow one of your phrases, a complete dumbass.

    Davy on Sun, 1st Sep 2019 12:04 am

    Forgot to add most importantly of all, I NEVER make degrading or insulting comments toward others.

    I play nice with the other preschoolers in the sand box. Just look at a random sample of my past comments to know what a polite, thoughtful gentleman I am.

    I prefer to blame everyone for not only the things they never said, but blame them for things I really said really did say. That is messed up.

  25. JuanP identity fraud on Sun, 1st Sep 2019 2:37 am 

    Davy on Sun, 1st Sep 2019 2:25 am

    I am spending less time on this lame unmoderated forum to concentrate on my own blog. I do want to thank all those who have attacked me with giving me material for growth. I have saved the best of my comments for my new blog. I have years worth of material. I have enjoyed moderating the worst of you and neutering your selfish useless agendas. I will still be here it is just I will be spending more time putting out a blog. I don’t expect much of a following with my blog. This is more a personal effort to assemble what I have learned over the last 10 years of formulating my REAL Green Deep Adaptation. Many of my ideas and lifestyles are not mine. I barrow what ever works. I do not claim anything either. It is an open source effort. Anyone can take what I am offering and use it however you want. Take my title if you like. For the stalkers here I hope you find my blog and visit the comment forum. It will be only lightly moderated to prevent juanpee identity theft and excessive cloggo spamming. LOL. There will be a prize for juanpee and annoymouse if you can stalk my blog. Double LOL. Anyway fuck my enemies and many thanks to those who contributed to my metamorphous.

    I guess I could have joined the moderated section at PO dot com, but I knew I’d get my ass permanently banned. I’ll try not to let the door smack me up the backside on the way out.

    Goodbye to ALL of you dumbasses.

  26. Davy on Sun, 1st Sep 2019 2:54 am 

    “America consumes/wastes more resources/energy than all of China and India combined, or about 27% of the total world resources.”
    Bullshit, makato, refer to this:
    “Global Energy Statistical Yearbook 2019”
    https://tinyurl.com/yxj6s3pk

  27. forbin on Sun, 1st Sep 2019 3:14 am 

    to the moderators : –

    if ID theft is an issue then perhaps security needs tightening up – use WordPress Facebook or Google/gmail accounts to verify users ID.

    the vitriol and personal attacks do not make this site word perusing at times – frankly its boring .

    Forbin

  28. Davy on Sun, 1st Sep 2019 5:45 am 

    Hey forbin,

    Stop sounding like a whiny little bitch.

    If the site is boring and not worth pursuing, may I offer some advice that I myself am working to implement? Don’t let the door hit you in the ass on your way out of here.

    Get it? Got it? Good.

  29. More Obvious Davy ID Theft on Sun, 1st Sep 2019 5:48 am 

    DAVY: YOUR ID THEFT IS REACHING A NEW INFANTILE LEVEL. PERHAPS YOU REQUIRE MORE TIME FOR SELF-EVALUATION IN THE RUBBER ROOM. THIS GOT YOUR ATTENTION?

    CUT THE CRAP NOW!!!!

    Davy on Sun, 1st Sep 2019 5:45 am

    Hey forbin,

    Stop sounding like a whiny little bitch.

    If the site is boring and not worth pursuing, may I offer some advice that I myself am working to implement? Don’t let the door hit you in the ass on your way out of here.

    Get it? Got it? Good.

  30. The Church Lady on Sun, 1st Sep 2019 5:58 am 

    Davy,

    Do not despair, my child, for Jesus loves you this I know for the bible tells me so.

    See, you’re not friendless. Now, go and see the PaPa.

  31. mindless juanpee trolling on Sun, 1st Sep 2019 6:17 am 

    I AM THE MOB said Davy “Dershowitz”? The ghoul who raped youn…
    The Church Lady said Davy, Do not despair, my child, for Jesus loves yo…
    Timothy Blaine said Very funny. Thanks for the good laugh/ “Whic…
    Davy said Please forgive the oversight, friends. I not only…
    More Obvious Davy ID Theft said DAVY: YOUR ID THEFT IS REACHING A NEW INFANTILE LE…
    Davy said Hey forbin, Stop sounding like a whiny little bitc…
    Davy said You know everyone, now that I stop and think about…

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