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Water scarcity is inevitable, up to 270 million people at risk

Water scarcity is inevitable, up to 270 million people at risk thumbnail

Even if the world reduces its population to seven billion by 2100, reduces inequalities, carries out effective land-use regulation, limits intensive consumption of resources and adopts environmentally-friendly technologies and lifestyles, the planet will still face water scarcity.

That is the conclusion reached in the final draft of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Climate Change, Desertification, Land Degradation, Sustainable Land Management, Food Security, and Greenhouse gas fluxes in Terrestrial Ecosystems.

The draft, under embargo, was accessed by Down To Earth. It will be discussed by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) member countries at the meeting of IPCC in Geneva from August 2 to August 6.

All assessed future socio-economic pathways (SSP) result in increases in water demand and water scarcity, says the report.

The IPCC writes its reports based on five standard SSPs. These are projections based on world population, income distribution, resource consumption and land use for the year 2100.

For instance, SSP1 includes a peak and decline in population (~7 billion in 2100), high income and reduced inequalities, effective land-use regulation, less resource intensive consumption, including food produced in low-greenhouse gas emission systems and lower food waste, free trade and environmental-friendly technologies and lifestyles.

The SSP3 includes high population (~13 billion in 2100), low income and continued inequalities, material-intensive consumption, barriers to trade, and slow rates of technological change. SSP3 has high challenges to mitigation and to adaptation.

“What the report says is that water scarcity is now unavoidable across projections, even with extremely cautious management of population or resource,” a climate change expert told DTE.

The report which primarily looks at climate change’s impact on land, says that climate change-driven desertification will expose significant percentages of the population to water scarcity over the coming decades.

“The dryland population vulnerable to water stress, drought intensity and habitat degradation is projected to reach 178 million people by 2050 at 1.5°C warming, increasing to 220 mln people at 2°C warming, and 270 mln people at 3°C warming,” indicates the report.

This would have serious implication for India, as about 228 mln hectares (69 per cent) of India’s total geographical area (about 328 mha) is under drylands.

downtoearth



118 Comments on "Water scarcity is inevitable, up to 270 million people at risk"

  1. I AM THE MOB on Fri, 2nd Aug 2019 8:43 pm 

    I’m gonna tell all you fascists, you may be surprised

    People all over this world are getting organized

    You’re bound to lose

    You fascists are bound to lose.

    ~ Woody Guthrie ~

  2. Cloggie on Fri, 2nd Aug 2019 9:08 pm 

    “I’m gonna tell all you fascists, you may be surprised”

    Number of peace-time deaths 1933-1939

    Fascist Italy: <10
    Nazi Germany: 600
    British empire: 600
    Communist Russia: millions

    Woodie Guthrie, a wannabee jew, sucking up to “the deceitful race” (Peter Stuyvesant, Dutch gouvenor of Nieuw Amsterdam and America’s first politician)

    https://www.jewishpress.com/sections/features/features-on-jewish-world/woody-guthrie-jewish-family-jewish-music/2016/04/07/

    Shut up, you lying knucklehead from Middleville.

  3. Cloggie on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 1:44 am 

    All of this and more translates to Tel Aviv viewing Turkey’s large-scale integration into the F-35 stealth program as a serious long term threat to its security interests in the region.

    The truth is that Turkey is quietly leaving the western alliance and since Israel rules the US and not the other way around, Turkey no longer gets the hardware with which it can threaten Israel. Because every Muslim wants to see its holy places in Palestine return to the Muslim world and Erdogan is quietly turning into an Islamist:

    https://twitter.com/cfhaviland/status/777828665648373760

    If Turkey and Iran team up, KSA and Israel are toast.

    https://fpif.org/an-emerging-russia-turkey-iran-alliance-could-reshape-the-middle-east/

    https://endtimestruth.com/will-russian-turkish-iranian-alliance/

    Fortunately, for the Israelis there is always the American fallback scenario. Upstate New York comes to mind.

    Europe has 10,000 wide body planes, that are normally used to transport tourists to places where they don’t belong. They could be used to evacuate these poor 6.66 million Israelis to North-America in a matter of 6.66 million / (10,000 * 300) = 2 days.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztnKRaJ2_Y4

    Oh, and those 150 or so nuclear Jericho missiles, pointing at Europe, will be confiscated by Brussels, just to ensure no harm will be done with these firecrackers.

  4. Cloggie on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 2:12 am 

    More good news for the adherents of a multi-polar world:

    https://www.rt.com/op-ed/454512-alliance-iran-qatar-turkey-saudi/

    “New Turkey-Iran-Qatar axis is rising in Middle East, and it has Saudi Arabia furious”

    The Israelis are getting nervous as well:

    https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/iran/.premium-there-s-a-new-alliance-in-the-middle-east-syria-iran-russia-israel-u-s-1.7340317

    Iran sees Syria not only as a strategic outpost that will preserve Iran’s influence in Lebanon, but as a regional outpost to counterbalance Saudi Arabia’s ambitions. This outpost will open pathways for Iran into the Mediterranean and complement the alliances it has forged with Iraq and Turkey. This is viewed as a strategic threat not only to Israel and the United States, but to Russia as well.

    Regarding the last sentence… I think that Russia would prefer a Middle-East run by Turkey and Iran, rather than run by the US.

  5. I AM THE MOB on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 5:34 am 

    Clogg

    I think you forgot another 6 million jews who were massacred by the Nazi’s.

  6. I AM THE MOB on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 6:24 am 

    This is what we’re up against, boys. Tool up.

    https://i.redd.it/ffghpytnf6e31.jpg

    This is the ideal /pol poster. You may not like it, but this is what peak cringe looks like.

  7. JuanP on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 7:03 am 

    Nobody reads your shit I AM THE MOB. Give it a rest already

  8. Cloggie identity fraud on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 7:04 am 

    JuanP on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 7:03 am

  9. I AM THE MOB on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 7:06 am 

    Fox News dominates basic cable ratings for 37th straight month; CNN’s troubles continue
    https://www.foxnews.com/media/fox-news-wins-ratings-cnn-struggles

  10. JuanP identity fraud on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 7:07 am 

    I AM THE MOB on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 7:06 am

  11. JuanP on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 7:08 am 

    I own this fucking forum!!

  12. Anonymouse on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 7:09 am 

    Juan, get some sleep, you have been up all night. It will be a long day of Davy Trolling

  13. I AM THE MOB on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 7:45 am 

    Looks like Fox News is mainstream media..And liberals get there news from the internet..Only crusty old boomers watch cable news..

    LOL

  14. Cloggie on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 7:46 am 

    I think you forgot another 6 million jews who were massacred by the Nazi’s.

    https://furtherglory.files.wordpress.com/2011/01/arolsen21.jpg

    373k registered deaths in all camps.
    Perhaps half of them from your tribe.
    None of them “gassed”, most, including Anne Frank, died from typhus.

    Courtesy International Red Cross.

    Victors justice is no justice.

    https://documents1940.wordpress.com/2017/09/26/an-embarrassing-discovery/

    Won’t be long and you won’t be no longer able to enforce your lies.

    Russia knows the truth and they will open their archives in return for membership of the European club! LOL

    Sneak preview of things to come:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/russia/5445161/Russia-accuses-Poland-of-starting-Second-World-War.html

  15. Cloggie on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 7:50 am 

    This is what we’re up against, boys. Tool up.

    https://i.redd.it/ffghpytnf6e31.jpg

    These silly, gullible whites are indeed easy meat for you, floppy, always have been, since 1913.

    So what are you waiting for? Just send in your newly acquired third world proletariat against them and see what happens. Walkover, must be!

    You have the permission of Eurasia, all 2 billion of them.

    [insert broad Eurasian natzi grin here]

  16. Cloggie on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 7:59 am 

    No water scarcity currently in Britain. This is no longer a crumbling dam in countries like Brasil, Iraq or Zimbabwe (recent examples), but in Britain:

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7317025/RAF-race-against-time-bolster-crumbling-reservoir.html

    “All hands to the pumps! RAF brings in more equipment in race against time to drain reservoir before deluge tomorrow and more flooding – as crumbling dam is still at ‘critical’ risk of bursting”

    The dam is from 1838:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toddbrook_Reservoir

  17. Cloggie on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 8:10 am 

    Realistic Brexit scenario:

    By the end of October there is still no break in the deadlock.

    EU says: pick May-deal or no-deal.
    BoJo: skip the backstop

    Next the EU comes with a credible threat: either organize an election with Brexit at stake or we throw you out now.

    Election it will be.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7313845/Could-Team-Brexit-battle-Remainer-Alliance-election.html

    “Could ‘Team Brexit’ do battle with the ‘Remainer Alliance’ in a snap election? Westminster braces for a summer of scheming as pro and anti-EU parties mull pacts for a looming poll”

    What Farage is proposing to BoJo, namely dividing the British electoral map, see who has the most chance of winning (Tories or Brexit party) and next agree that either the Tory or Brexit party will participate in any single district… this strategy could be carried out by the Remain fraction as well.

    Good recipe to divide the country even more.

    The WISEST thing to do would be a soft Brexit, as a middle of the road compromise (May-deal). But you need wise people to do wise things.

    Ouch.

  18. I AM THE MOB on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 8:51 am 

    Clogg

    Your sources are lies..You can’t validate any of them..

    Fake newspaper quotes aren’t convincing..

    Why don’t you argue your case against a real historian?

    Because you know you would be laughed at and proven dead wrong..

    Why are you so scared then?

    You are proof that if you challenge a Nazi they will back down every time..

    This is why you couldn’t make it in the real world..And had to join an nutter cult..

  19. I AM THE MOB on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 8:54 am 

    Clogg why don’t you get a job and get a life..Stop being a bottom feeder of society..

    And maybe you wouldn’t be so full of hate and rage!

    If not for yourself, do it for your families sake..

  20. Cloggie on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 9:03 am 

    Why don’t you argue your case against a real historian?

    Bring your “real historians” here and I’ll give them the same spanking I have given you.

    Why are you running? Why don’t you bring your Marxist historian buddies here?

    Because you know they will get their sorry arses kicked, just like happened to you.

    Admit it, you are a loser, just like in real life. I mean, nobody worth his salt wants to be found dead in a run-down area like Middleville.LOL

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Middleville,_Michigan

    https://www.mlive.com/news/2019/07/michigan-couples-maga-wedding-honors-president-trump.html

  21. Cloggie on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 9:12 am 

    The “End of the Atlanticist Era”, even der Spiegel admits:

    https://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/iran-konflikt-deutschland-sagt-den-usa-ab-das-ende-der-transatlantiker-a-1280069.html

    “Das Ende der Transatlantiker”

    Germany refuses participation in a US-led naval mission in the Gulf, which would confirm US policies, Europe rejects.

    Instead German politicians advocate an independent EU-mission, to protect European energy security.

  22. Cloggie on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 9:21 am 

    Live “Free Tommy Robinson” rally in London:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SbAk0msqCls

    White nationalism is rearing its ugly head everywhere in Europe.sad

    LOL

  23. Cloggie on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 9:23 am 

    And then there is Yellow Vests, week 38 in Paris.

    Both pro-white marches in London and Paris are covered by RussiaToday.

    I mean, where would we be without RussiaToday, I’m asking you?

    Paris-Berlin-Moscow now!

  24. Sissyfuss on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 6:12 pm 

    Lay off Michigan, Cluckoid. We’re surrounded by more fresh water than any place north of Antarctica.Look up my Upper Pensula, it’s Finland without the Muslim refugees. They’re in Dearborn. Mob is a University of Michigan Wolverine, known for their arrogance. You two are so similar in that respect you have a hard time resisting the lust you two have for each other. A bromance anchored in hubris and narrow perspectives.

  25. Duncan Idaho on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 6:40 pm 

    Looks like another wingnut:
    “Law enforcement officials are studying an anti-immigrant manifesto to determine whether it was written by the gunman, according to a local law enforcement official who has been briefed on the investigation. Given the manifesto’s racially extremist views, it could make the killings a federal hate crime or an act of domestic terrorism if officials determine that it is tied to the shootings.”

    Our right wing nutcases need some serious mental help.

  26. I AM THE MOB on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 6:59 pm 

    Another massacre by a deluded alt righter. There blood lust is endless.

  27. JuanP on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 7:05 pm 

    MOB, how do you know it is a alt righter?

  28. Duncan Idaho on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 7:55 pm 

    MOB, how do you know it is a alt righter?
    The odds are very, very good.
    The future will confirm (or not).
    Young white men are losing power, and are freaking out.

  29. I AM THE MOB on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 10:23 pm 

    Another white supremacist mass shooting*

    Who else would it be, am I right?

  30. More Obvious Davy ID Theft on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 11:17 pm 

    JuanP on Sat, 3rd Aug 2019 7:05 pm

  31. Davy on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 12:38 am 

    I know right. I’m such a loser.

  32. Cloggie on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 1:01 am 

    “Another white supremacist mass shooting*
    Who else would it be, am I right?”

    https://edition.cnn.com/2019/08/03/us/el-paso-shooting-possible-hate-crime/index.html

    The first rumblings of CW2.

    “Look up my Upper Pensula, it’s Finland without the Muslim refugees.”

    I already did, I suggested yesterday you and mobbie would have a tea party yogether. Perhaps in Dearborn, to commemorate one of the smartest Americans who ever lived:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Dearborn_Independent

  33. Cloggie on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 5:29 am 

    https://www.infowars.com/left-hopes-for-civil-war-after-texas-walmart-massacre/

    “LEFT HOPES FOR CIVIL WAR AFTER TEXAS WALMART MASSACRE

    Antifa says will take ‘full advantage’ of the tragic shooting”

    (And Infowars is ready too)

    Major geopolitical upward mobility for Eurasia just around the corner, after empire.

    P.S. wasn’t Antifa banned as a terrorist organization by Trump?

  34. Cloggie on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 5:56 am 

    Australia and the end of empire

    Australia is getting scared of China and in 2017 has implemented a “Reset” in Australian-Chinese relations, diplomatically framed as:

    “This is what Australia’s China reset is all about. It’s about sustaining the enormous benefits of engagement while managing the risks.”

    Currently China is expanding its sphere of influence in the “near abroad”, not just the South-China Sea, but it is eying the islands in the Pacific as well.

    https://edition.cnn.com/2019/07/22/asia/china-australia-pacific-investment-intl-hnk/index.html

    There are a lot of Micronesian islands with only 3 million inhabitans. Closer by Australia is the large island of Papua New Guinea. CNN reports that there is real chance that China will achieve building a naval base on one or more of these islands. After all, the dollar talks and these islands are poor. Next CNN asks: what is China doing in the South-Pacific anyway? In 2017 Australia still outspended China in this region, but that is likely to change.

    Last year, the Chinese approached the island of Vanatu for a military base:

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/china-eyes-vanuatu-military-base-in-plan-with-global-ramifications-20180409-p4z8j9.html

    Vanatu is very close to Australia, a vast and rather empty continent, that in the worst case could fullfil a role to China, what North-America fullfilled to Europe in the 19th-20th century, namely a convenient place to export excess population to. And just like the Europeans didn’t ask questions to the resident “Indians”, chances are that no questions will be asked to Australians either.

    China blasting Australia for being to negative about port lease. Argument: Chinese think very positive about Australians, why aren’t you positive about us?

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-07-24/chinese-diplomat-chamber-commerce-office-opens-port-reaction/11339968

    [part 1]

  35. Cloggie on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 5:58 am 

    “Australia must prepare for a Chinese military base in the Pacific”

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/commentisfree/2019/jul/15/australia-must-prepare-for-a-chinese-military-base-in-the-pacific

    “Government to assess regulation of Chinese influence at universities”

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/jul/25/government-to-assess-regulation-of-chinese-influence-at-universities

    “China to replace the US as Australia’s leading research partner”

    https://www.afr.com/news/policy/health/china-to-replace-the-us-as-australia-s-leading-research-partner-20190718-p528e4

    Australia will be like Pakistan, another country where China pushes out the US in order to take its place.

    As early as 2014, Malcolm Fraser, a very senior Australian politician, warned for a potential Chinese take-over of Australia, in the wake of the US losing a standoff in the South-China Sea:

    https://deepresource.wordpress.com/2015/01/02/america-australias-dangerous-ally/

    Now the lesser Gods are waking up. Australia was discovered by the Dutch in 1606, but had too few people to populate it. By 1770 the British did. After 1945, Australia became de facto part of the US empire. It is only a matter of time before the Chinese will be taking over.

    [part 2]

  36. I AM THE MOB on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 8:37 am 

    Clogg

    Infowars? LOL

    Enough with the scare mongering grandpa..I think you they need to change your meds..

    Why don’t you get a life..Stop living your life as an angry, paranoid incel!

  37. Cloggie on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 9:04 am 

    “FORMER GOOGLE ENGINEER WARNS: GOOGLE WILL TRY TO STOP TRUMP 2020 REELECTION”

    https://www.infowars.com/former-google-engineer-warns-google-will-try-to-stop-trump-2020-reelection/

    “REPORT: TRUMP TOLD ADVISERS HE WANTS TO PULL US TROOPS FROM AFGHANISTAN BY 2020 ELECTION”

    https://www.infowars.com/report-trump-told-advisers-he-wants-to-pull-us-troops-from-afghanistan-by-2020-election/

    “Live Video: Police Clash with Tommy Robinson’s Supporters & Opponents in London”

    https://europe.infowars.com/police-clash-with-tommy-robinsons-supporters-and-opponents-in-london/

    Bring down the anti-white globalist BoJo-government!

  38. Cloggie on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 9:07 am 

    It’s da culture!

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/crime/enfield-town-machete-attack-train-station-london-police-arrest-a9038551.html

    “Man attacked with machete at London train station”

    Must be one of this tea-sipping, stiff upper lip-guys.

  39. Cloggie on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 9:14 am 

    “10 little whities”

    Spot BoJo:

    https://www.spiegel.de/plus/britsches-elite-internat-eton-eine-politische-inzuchtanstalt-a-00000000-0002-0001-0000-000165218741

    Note that in 1940 you could still say things in Britain, that are an embarrassment for Wikipedia today:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/And_Then_There_Were_None

    (Compare with contents link).

    We are talking the best selling mystery novel ever here (100 million copies).

  40. JuanP on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 9:19 am 

    And Here It Is: AOC’s Just-Resigned Chief Of Staff Under Federal Investigation
    It looks like we have an answer for why Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s chief-of-staff abruptly resigned on Friday; he’s under federal investigation. According to the New York Post, Saikat Chakrabarti – the architect behind AOC’s meteoric rise from bartender to ball-buster, is being investigated in connection with two political action committees he founded. The two PACs being probed, Brand New Congress and Justice Democrats, were both set up by Chakrabarti to support progressive candidates across the country. But they funneled more than $1 million in political donations into two private companies that Chakrabarti also incorporated and controlled, according to Federal Election Commission filings and a complaint filed in March with the regulatory agency. In 2016 and 2017, the PACs raised about $3.3 million, mostly from small donors. A third of the cash was transferred to two private companies whose names are similar to one of the PACs — Brand New Congress LLC and Brand New Campaign LLC — federal campaign filings show. -New York Post As the Post notes, PACs are required to adhere to stringent disclosure rules, while the private companies Chakrabarti funneled money into are not. According to a complaint filed by Virginia government watchdog group – the National Legal and Policy Center, Chakrabarti’s LLCs appear to have been specifically designed to circumvent federal reporting requirements. As noted by the Washington Examiner in March: The cash transfers from the PACs — overseen by Saikat Chakrabarti, the freshman socialist Democrat’s chief of staff — run counter to her pledges to increase transparency and reduce the influence of “dark money” in politics. Chakrabarti’s companies appear to have been set up for the sole purpose of obscuring how the political donations were used. The arrangement skirted reporting requirements and may have violated the $5,000 limit on contributions from federal PACs to candidates, according to the complaint filed by the National Legal and Policy Center, a government watchdog group. -Washington Examiner According to the Post, “Federal authorities are looking at new salary rules imposed by Ocasio-Cortez when she took office earlier this year, and whether they were put in place to let Chakrabarti dodge public financial-disclosure rules, according to sources.” Interestingly, the Harvard-educated Chakrabarti agreed to take a massive pay cut this year – taking in just $80,000, while the average pay for his position is $146,830. With a salary below $126,000, he was not required to disclose his outside income. And now, he’s under federal investigation.

  41. Anonymouse on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 9:56 am 

    Juan, Great example of how wonderful socialism works. I am voting for Bernie because I feel that socialist burn

  42. joe on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 10:21 am 

    The Green agenda is fake news, its commies at their best, demanding the state helps the poor while filling up their own pockets as fast as they can. They’ll fill America with as much migrants as it takes to distract you from their theft. AOC = Clintons 2.0. Same goes for the rest of the squad.
    At least you can stop them in the US. They own the EU on this side.

  43. I AM THE MOB on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 3:50 pm 

    US terror attacks are increasingly motivated by right-wing views
    https://qz.com/1435885/data-shows-more-us-terror-attacks-by-right-wing-and-religious-extremists/

  44. I AM THE MOB on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 5:51 pm 

    Mass Shooters & the March Against Whiteness
    https://medium.com/@AmyJackson1/mass-shooters-the-march-against-whiteness-a6e588a7a5ca

    hey are literally planning a massive march against white people in every major city.

  45. JuanP identity fraud on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 5:52 pm 

    I AM THE MOB on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 5:51 pm

  46. I AM THE MOB on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 5:52 pm 

    Nope that was really me

  47. Cloggie on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 6:27 pm 

    During a stroll in the forest I designed the Agathy Christie Wikipedia country political correctness test:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/And_Then_There_Were_None

    Most pc:

    Anglos: “And Then There Were None”
    Germans: “Und dann gabs keines mehr“

    Less pc:

    Dutch: “Tien kleine negertjes”
    French: “Dix petits nègres”
    Russian: “Десять негритят”
    Turkish: “On Küçük Zenci”
    Croatian: “Deset malih crnaca”
    Bosnians: “Deset malih crnaca”

  48. I AM THE MOB on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 7:00 pm 

    clogg

    Stop basing your entire political philosophy on the fact that you can’t get laid, you insufferable, pathetic piece of subhuman trash.

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