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Water scarcity is inevitable, up to 270 million people at risk

Water scarcity is inevitable, up to 270 million people at risk thumbnail

Even if the world reduces its population to seven billion by 2100, reduces inequalities, carries out effective land-use regulation, limits intensive consumption of resources and adopts environmentally-friendly technologies and lifestyles, the planet will still face water scarcity.

That is the conclusion reached in the final draft of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Climate Change, Desertification, Land Degradation, Sustainable Land Management, Food Security, and Greenhouse gas fluxes in Terrestrial Ecosystems.

The draft, under embargo, was accessed by Down To Earth. It will be discussed by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) member countries at the meeting of IPCC in Geneva from August 2 to August 6.

All assessed future socio-economic pathways (SSP) result in increases in water demand and water scarcity, says the report.

The IPCC writes its reports based on five standard SSPs. These are projections based on world population, income distribution, resource consumption and land use for the year 2100.

For instance, SSP1 includes a peak and decline in population (~7 billion in 2100), high income and reduced inequalities, effective land-use regulation, less resource intensive consumption, including food produced in low-greenhouse gas emission systems and lower food waste, free trade and environmental-friendly technologies and lifestyles.

The SSP3 includes high population (~13 billion in 2100), low income and continued inequalities, material-intensive consumption, barriers to trade, and slow rates of technological change. SSP3 has high challenges to mitigation and to adaptation.

“What the report says is that water scarcity is now unavoidable across projections, even with extremely cautious management of population or resource,” a climate change expert told DTE.

The report which primarily looks at climate change’s impact on land, says that climate change-driven desertification will expose significant percentages of the population to water scarcity over the coming decades.

“The dryland population vulnerable to water stress, drought intensity and habitat degradation is projected to reach 178 million people by 2050 at 1.5°C warming, increasing to 220 mln people at 2°C warming, and 270 mln people at 3°C warming,” indicates the report.

This would have serious implication for India, as about 228 mln hectares (69 per cent) of India’s total geographical area (about 328 mha) is under drylands.


118 Comments on "Water scarcity is inevitable, up to 270 million people at risk"

  1. joe on Sun, 4th Aug 2019 11:51 pm 

    Thank identiarianism and its guiding socialism agenda. Karl Marx, a jew, would be burned at the stake for being a white Male. We dont gave immigration in order to spark off race wars, this is the results of capitalism trying to grow consumerism and ignoring the importance of integration. This problem cannot be fixed by what the modern world would view as acceptable means. Talking about race should imply that all racial issues are questionable, focusing on whites in a kind of acceptable reverse racism is not social justice. The children should not be punished for the sins of the parent’s. That’s old Jewish wisdom, which Marx knew well. Reparations for slavery will be the biggest theft in US history. Even attempting to identify genuine descends of slaves in the modern world of immigration would be a task, and let’s not forget, that includes people whose skin could be white…. Not so simple, is it?

  2. I AM THE MOB on Mon, 5th Aug 2019 4:14 am 

    Terrorism is one of the only areas where white people do most of the work and get none of the credit

  3. I AM THE MOB on Mon, 5th Aug 2019 4:15 am 


    What does it feel like to be a victim of “white genocide”?


  4. Cloggie on Mon, 5th Aug 2019 4:22 am 

    “Terrorism is one of the only areas where white people do most of the work and get none of the credit”

    I AM THE KIKE, somebodies “terrorist” is somebody else his “freedomfighter”. Anglos can be so moralizing.

    But don’t ya think that if the Irish can set up the IRA, the (white) Americans can set up a similar organization?


  5. Cloggie on Mon, 5th Aug 2019 4:25 am 

    “Joe, What does it feel like to be a victim of “white genocide”?”

    You are attacking one of your loyal water carriers, you floppy fool.

  6. Cloggie on Mon, 5th Aug 2019 4:31 am 

    ““Terrorism is one of the only areas where white people do most of the work and get none of the credit””

    LOL – Daytona hitman calls himself a leftist and Sanders supporter!

  7. Davy on Mon, 5th Aug 2019 4:48 am 

    “Currency War Begins: Chinese Yuan Crashes Past 7 To New Record Low; Global Markets Tumble After Beijing Suspends US Agri Imports” zero hedge

    “A break of 7 is quite shocking to the market, and close attention will be paid to how China would deal with this move,” says Tsutomu Soma, general manager of the investment trust and fixed-income securities at SBI Securities Co. in Tokyo in a phone interview. This is the weakest offshore yuan has ever been against the dollar… The last time China’s yuan moved with this velocity, the tremors rippled dramatically and rapidly through the rest of global financial markets…Kyle Bass suggests the capital exodus has only just begun… We suspect an angry tweet from President Trump is imminent as China ‘weaponizes’ its currency. Meanwhile, expect even more actions by China, such as this one which confirms that any pretense of politeness is now gone.”

  8. Cloggie on Mon, 5th Aug 2019 4:57 am 

    Calamity Harry playing the globalist, led from behind by Meghan Markle:

  9. Davy on Mon, 5th Aug 2019 5:11 am 

    “We’re Already Starting To Ration Our Corn” – Perfect Storm Could Send Spot Prices Higher” zero hedge

    “Corn is extensively used to feed livestock, but the surge in spot prices has forced US farmers to search elsewhere for low-cost substitutes, reported Reuters…The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) last month projected 2019 corn production at 13.88 billion bushels, an 8% drop YoY…Higher prices for corn could translate into higher meat prices, which are already soaring after China’s African swine fever crisis has led to the deaths of hundreds of millions of pigs. USDA supermarket data showed retail pork prices had soared 9% YoY versus this time last year, while beef prices are up 2%. Rising food costs are occurring at a time when the overall economy is rapidly slowing.”

  10. Davy on Mon, 5th Aug 2019 5:17 am 

    “A Turning Point For US Power Generation” oil price via zero hedge

    “For the first time in U.S. history, renewable energies briefly generated more electricity than coal in April this year…Natural gas and renewable energies are proving to be more efficient, cleaner and more cost-efficient than coal. Furthermore, the average U.S. coal plant is approximately 40 years old, requiring costly maintenance and repairs. New coal plants are more expensive to build than renewable and natural gas counterparts.”

  11. I AM THE MOB on Mon, 5th Aug 2019 5:26 am 

    The lights will go out soon and they will never come back on

    The end is coming and you are about to be isolated for the rest of the world.

    You will be dependent and desperate if you are not prepared.

    This is planned by the rulers of the world.

    You will not believe me now, but when it happens remember my words..

  12. I AM THE MOB on Mon, 5th Aug 2019 5:30 am 

    Found a picture of Clogg


  13. Davy on Mon, 5th Aug 2019 5:31 am 

    “Rivers of Dust: The Future of Water and the Middle East” fpif

    “And those rivers are drying up, partly because of overuse and wastage, and partly because climate change has pounded the region with punishing multi-year droughts. Syria and Iraq are at odds with Turkey over the Tigris-Euphrates. Egypt’s relations with Sudan and Ethiopia over the Nile are tense. Jordan and the Palestinians accuse Israel of plundering river water to irrigate the Negev Desert and hogging most of the three aquifers that underlie the occupied West Bank. According to satellites that monitor climate, the Tigris-Euphrates basin, embracing Turkey, Syria, Iraq and western Iran, is losing water faster than any other area in the world, with the exception of Northern India.”

  14. Antius on Mon, 5th Aug 2019 7:42 am 

    “But don’t ya think that if the Irish can set up the IRA, the (white) Americans can set up a similar organization?”

    Keep in mind that the IRA has not been active since the 1990s. Back then, the surveillance state was far less extensive. No CCTV networks. No DNA evidence. No internet. And we weren’t living in a police state, where a wrong word could land you in prison. Everything is different now.

  15. Duncan Idaho on Mon, 5th Aug 2019 8:51 am 

    Dow down over 500 points.
    The Fat Boy is really screwing things up.
    He has been bankrupt 6 times.

  16. Robert Inget on Wed, 7th Aug 2019 11:08 am 

    IMO, Realization that this Presidency has utterly failed has finally hit home.
    Until this week Trump has never has a serious crisis.

  17. Robert Inget on Wed, 7th Aug 2019 11:24 am 

    “Oil is like a wild animal. Whoever captures it has it.” – J. Paul Getty –

    Trump placed even more Sanctions on Iran and Venezuela. What does this say to you?

    (to me, it says there will be no more ‘talks’).

    If it isn’t clear to all by now, Russia and China
    ‘captured’ Venezuela, Iran, Iraq.
    Using this leverage, China is going for the jugular.

    How Saudi Arabia reacts, still unknown. My guess, KSA will continue to side with US as long as American weapons keep coming.

  18. Robert Inget on Wed, 7th Aug 2019 11:49 am 

    From Chevron 10Q – (bit of an understatement)

    “Future events could result in the environment in #Venezuela becoming more challenged, which could lead to increased business disruption and volatility in the associated financial results

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