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Major Math Error Puts Widely-Cited Global Warming Study On Ice

Major Math Error Puts Widely-Cited Global Warming Study On Ice thumbnail

An widely-circulated study which concluded that global warming is far worse than previously thought has been called into question by a math error, reports the Daily Caller‘s Michael Bastasch.

Princeton scientist Laure Resplandy and researchers at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography concluded in October that the Earth’s oceans have retained 60% more heat than previously thought over the last 25 years, suggesting global warming was much worse than previously believed.

The report was covered or referenced by MSM outlets worldwide, including the Washington Post, New York Times, BBC, Reuters and others.

The Washington Post, for example, reported: “The higher-than-expected amount of heat in the oceans means more heat is being retained within Earth’s climate system each year, rather than escaping into space. In essence, more heat in the oceans signals that global warming is more advanced than scientists thought.”

The New York Times at least hedged their reporting, claiming that the estimates, “if proven accurate, could be another indication that the global warming of the past few decades has exceeded conservative estimates and has been more closely in line with scientists’ worst-case scenarios.

Unfortunately for the Princeton-Scripps team, it appears that their report has been proven inaccurate

Independent scientist Nic Lewis found the study had “apparently serious (but surely inadvertent) errors in the underlying calculations.” Lewis’ findings were quickly corroborated by another researcher. –Daily Caller

“Just a few hours of analysis and calculations, based only on published information, was sufficient to uncover apparently serious (but surely inadvertent) errors in the underlying calculations,” wrote Lewis in a blog post published on climate scientist Judith Curry’s Climate Etc. website.

After correcting the math error, Lewis found that the paper’s rate of oceanic warming “is about average compared with the other estimates they showed, and below the average for 1993–2016.”

Lewis’s conclusion was replicated and supported by University of Colorado professor, Roger Pike, Jr., who tweeted his work.

Lewis found the study’s authors, led by Princeton University scientist Laure Resplandy, erred in calculating the linear trend of estimated ocean warming between 1991 and 2016. Lewis has also criticized climate model predictions, which generally over-predict warming.

Resplandy and her colleagues estimated ocean heat by measuring the volume of carbon dioxide and oxygen in the atmosphere. The results: the oceans took up 60 percent more heat than previously thought. The study only sent alarm bells ringing, especially in the wake of the United Nations’ latest climate assessment. –Daily Caller

Resplandy has yet to respond to Lewis regarding the errors her found in her math, writing on Tuesday “To date I have had no substantive response from her, despite subsequently sending a further email containing the key analysis sections from a draft of this article.”

Similarly, niether Resplandy nor co-author Ralph Keeling responded to the Daily Caller‘s request for comment.

zerohedge



55 Comments on "Major Math Error Puts Widely-Cited Global Warming Study On Ice"

  1. Duncan Idaho on Wed, 7th Nov 2018 7:32 pm 

    “zerohedge”

    Any other questions?

  2. makati1 on Wed, 7th Nov 2018 7:50 pm 

    Duncan, this site, P.O., is a collection of many sites, not just one. Ditto for Zerohedge. Just because you do not like the message does not change it. The US is going down faster everyday.

    If all you read and see is US MSM Iron Curtain propaganda, you are not living in a real world. You need to look at all sources and then make your own decision. But, you can assume that anything coming out of the Us is bullshit to cover its decline. Most Americans are too stupid to think for themselves so it works. Get out of the pot.

  3. makati1 on Wed, 7th Nov 2018 7:55 pm 

    BTW: As for the climate change, it is becoming obvious to anyone outside the pot that things are changing faster and faster in a negative way. Only time will tell what the end will be but it looks like there will be no higher life forms left on earth by 2100.

  4. Here we go again on Wed, 7th Nov 2018 7:59 pm 

    That settles it all math is in error…now we can all rest easy….
    large buildup of heat in the oceans, suggesting a faster rate of global warming
    The findings mean the world might have less time to curb carbon emissions.
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/energy-environment/2018/10/31/startling-new-research-finds-large-buildup-heat-oceans-suggesting-faster-rate-global-warming/?utm_term=.bc8391cfbf71

    Ooops wrong story sorry
    PANIC….it’s over

  5. I AM THE MOB on Wed, 7th Nov 2018 8:13 pm 

    What are the chances that America’s disunion turns into Civil War?

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-are-the-chances-that-americas-disunion-turns-into-civil-war-2018-11-07

  6. Chrome Mags on Wed, 7th Nov 2018 11:56 pm 

    Trump says he thinks the world will get cooler. Hmm, how does it get cooler with more greenhouse gasses being added every single passing second of our modern civilization?

    https://weather.com/science/environment/news/2018-11-06-trump-denies-administrations-climate-change-report/

    ‘Trump Dismisses His Administration’s Climate Report, Says the Earth Will Cool’

    Maybe since Trump appointed DeVos in charge of education, he can have her establish a new science curriculum, entitled,
    ‘Science by Hunches, guesses and intuition’ No data gathering required. Simply squint your eyes, crinkle your forehead in deep random conjecture, then blurt out whatever comes to mind. That’s the new Trump science. I’m sure it will be a hit with his base.

  7. Cloggie on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 12:22 am 

    What are the chances that America’s disunion turns into Civil War?

    I thought that according to you, Americans are too fat to wage civil war. Yet you keep bringing up links to the contrary.

    Could it be that even you begins to understand that such an event would not lead to a victory of the left but a balkanization of the US?

    The last CW was about the character of the future of the US: industrial or agrarian (it was never about slavery, that was a side-show).

    This time the stakes are at least as high as the previous time. Again the topic is the future of the US: is this going to remain a European offshoot country or a third world country?

    According to demographic developments, actively pursued by (((certain circles))) in the US, it is going to be a country where “white power if going away”:

    https://documents1940.wordpress.com/2017/09/27/paul-krugman-white-americans-are-losing-their-country/

    It would constitute the final victory of the koshers over white America. After Trump, the imported third world masses are going to be used by the Israel Lobby as a weapon against white America. Expect every historic statue to be torn down. Expect all aspects of European civilization to be eradicated from academic life:

    https://www.theguardian.com/books/2016/jun/01/yale-english-students-call-for-end-of-focus-on-white-male-writers

    Never where the stakes higher than now. CW2 is inevitable. And folks in Eurasia (EU, Russia, China) should pay attention, because this is a once-in-a-lifetime chance to get rid of the empire and not only roll back 1945, but even to some extent 1776.

    The number of white Americans who, forced to face the new facts, who would prefer to be part of the European world rather than being subjugated in a “shit hole country”…

    https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/05/07/detroit-illiteracy-nearly-half-education_n_858307.html

    …will vastly increase. Every third world sucker wants to live in white lands. A new development is that white Americans want that too. Now that opens a can of worms! White America doesn’t stand a chance to escape from ZOG on its own. But with strong Eurasian support it can be done.

    #MakeTheHeartlandEuropeanAgain

  8. I AM THE MOB on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 3:04 am 

    CLogg

    The entire global economy is going to collapse when the oil crunch hits..There isn’t enough time to fight any civil war..How do you fight a war without oil? Duh..

    You have full on mental illness

  9. makati1 on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 3:12 am 

    DUH! There was no oil usage in the 1860 Civil War. However, there were a lot of guns. Now there are even more guns. Many more. And the population then was only 1/10th that of today. Civil War 2 is very possible and quite likely if nothing stops it, like a world war.

    BTW: Oil is not going to collapse the world economy. It is just going to shrink. The Western countries will feel the most pain as they have the most to lose. Billions will not even notice.

  10. I AM THE MOB on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 3:22 am 

    Fox News Host Tucker Carlson’s Home Targeted by Anti-Fascist Protesters

    https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/fox-news-host-tucker-carlsons-home-targeted-by-protesters-1159324

  11. I AM THE MOB on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 3:51 am 

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: We Need to Confront Trump’s Creeping Authoritarianism

    https://truthout.org/video/ocasio-cortez-we-need-to-confront-trumps-creeping-authoritarianism/

  12. I AM THE MOB on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 4:02 am 

    Gunman opens fire, 11 shot, including sheriff’s deputy, at Los Angeles-area bar

    https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-gunman-shoots-six-shefitts-deputy-at-california-bar/?intcmp=notifications

  13. I AM THE MOB on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 4:13 am 

    Zerohedge citing the daily caller and Judith Curry who is a disgraced climate denying scientist..

    Climate Misinformation by Source: Judith Curry
    https://www.skepticalscience.com/Judith_Curry_quote.htm

  14. Cloggie on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 4:15 am 

    “The entire global economy is going to collapse when the oil crunch hits..There isn’t enough time to fight any civil war..How do you fight a war without oil? Duh..
    You have full on mental illness”

    The low-IQ zogbot millimob reasons: the wars fought by Persians, Greeks, Romans, Napolean, etc, etc, didn’t happen, because, you see, they had no oil.

    Millibob is hands down the greatest dummy at this board and the competition is stiff.

  15. Cloggie on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 4:18 am 

    Russia gives house to Dems but senate to Reps.

    #Idiocracy

  16. Davy on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 4:29 am 

    “Billions will not even notice.”

    Billy, when or if the global industrial economy breaks down your P’s will begin a process where you will lose close 9 out of 10 people to get back to a pre-industrial population of 10MIL that was the population of the P’s around the turn of the last century. You are a clueless senile old man

  17. Davy on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 4:35 am 

    “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: We Need to Confront Trump’s Creeping Authoritarianism”

    LOL with a brand of extremist liberal socialism that is supported by fascist thug behavior. This 29 year old is clueless to real life. When kids are this age they are idealistic and full of hormones. After life kicks their ass they wise up. This is the case with MOB our board’s lost millennial. This is an example of the reason I will not support the Democrats until they change. If they don’t moderate and reach out to the center they are off my list.

  18. I AM THE MOB on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 5:00 am 

    Clogg

    Those wars of the past weren’t fought in a complex society..And we don’t have the knowledge and tools of the ancient past..

    Sorry Evolution doesn’t go backwards..

  19. I AM THE MOB on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 5:02 am 

    Davy

    Nobody gives a shit what a stupid hick farmer like you thinks..

    The reason you wont go back to the dems is because stupid hick Jesus freaks like you are not welcome on the left.

    Get an education and stop rolling in the mud with pigs, and maybe there is still a chance for you..

    And lose some weight while you are at it..You people in the south are all lard asses..

  20. I AM THE MOB on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 5:05 am 

    Clogg

    You are the low IQ..Conservatives have a mean IQ of around 93..And liberals around 106..And the IQ declines past age 20..So you likely have the IQ level now of an African tribesman..

    Why Liberals Are More Intelligent Than Conservatives
    https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/the-scientific-fundamentalist/201003/why-liberals-are-more-intelligent-conservatives

    Conservatives Big on Fear, Brain Study Finds
    https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/the-human-beast/201104/conservatives-big-fear-brain-study-finds

  21. Davy on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 5:08 am 

    I have an education both a real university one and life experience. You on the other hand pretend to be a Chemistry PHD. You quit your ATT phone sales job and now are running out of money philandering like a pervert as an anifa activist IMA they wouldn’t take you because you are a doomer. This is why you are so desperate. It won’t be long if the collapse does not come that you will be here much less because you will be flipping burgers somewhere.

  22. Davy on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 5:14 am 

    “Why Liberals Are More Intelligent Than Conservatives Conservatives Big on Fear, Brain Study Finds”

    Fake news MOB. This is not scientific or peer supported. First of all how do you define liberal and conservative? Second what about the middle? You are an unscientific moron blathering stories you don’t even read. You are as bad as billy on surfing and cherry picking.

  23. I AM THE MOB on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 5:30 am 

    Officer among 12 killed in mass shooting at bar in Thousand Oaks, California

    https://abcnews.go.com/US/multiple-people-injured-reported-mass-shooting-california-bar/story?id=59050130

    Another terrorist attack..But guns dont kill people according to the Christian nut job fascist like Davy.

  24. I AM THE MOB on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 5:32 am 

    Davy

    That article was written by a professor of Evolutionary psychology at the London school of economics..

    Any news that doesn’t cater to your distorted worldview is fake..

    You are dumber than dirt..That is why you didn’t go college..You would have failed..I doubt you even have a high school degree..

  25. I AM THE MOB on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 5:36 am 

    Davy

    I left AT&T which is a fortune 500 company..To work for a small regional university as a research scientist..That is why I am on the computer all day..

    I have worked for everything I have got in life..Unlike you who got a free handout from Mommy and Daddy..

    This is why I am a kind and open and tolerant liberal and you are broke and miserable conservative..

    You are just an old angry impotent man yelling at a computer screen..I doubt you can even work a smart phone on your own..

  26. I AM THE MOB on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 5:39 am 

    Davy

    The smartest people in our society are all Liberals ie Scientist, Professors, writers, etc..And the wealthiest corporations and Americans are all very liberal ie silicon valley, Buffet, Gates, Zuckerberg, etc..

    And the dumbest are all conservatives ie gun nuts, religious fundamentalist, racist, etc..

  27. Davy on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 5:41 am 

    “That article was written by a professor of Evolutionary psychology at the London school of economics..”

    So?? Ah, do you have the references so we can put the pieces of your fake news comment together? Professors have opinions and many don’t even deserve the title. Look at you claiming to be a chemistry PHD. This is why they have a process for vetting scientific literature.

  28. Davy on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 5:46 am 

    “I left AT&T which is a fortune 500 company.”
    No shit dummy we know ATT is a fortune 500 company

    “To work for a small regional university as a research scientist..That is why I am on the computer all day..”
    LOL, now we are not a chemistry PHD we are a researcher. BTW, shouldn’t you be doing research instead of blogging? No wonder academia is in the gutter. YOU are a liar anyway. You previously said you quit work to doom because, you know, the world is collapsing by 2020.

    “This is why I am a kind and open and tolerant liberal and you are broke and miserable conservative..”
    You are an anifa pervert stupid, get a grip. There is nothing liberal about you in the true sense of the definition. Liberals don’t talk and act like you do. WTF, talking kill whities and breed their daughters is liberal talk. What a loser

  29. Davy on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 5:47 am 

    “The smartest people in our society are all Liberals ie Scientist, Professors, writers, etc..And the wealthiest corporations and Americans are all very liberal ie silicon valley, Buffet, Gates, Zuckerberg, etc..”

    Who says? The great “MOB”. LMFAO, you are one stupid millennial

  30. Father Sullivan on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 6:56 am 

    The Geat MOB is correct Davy. Even Jesus himself is a Liberal.

  31. Davy on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 8:13 am 

    “DIRTY JUAN PUPPETEERING”
    Father Sullivan on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 6:56 am The Geat MOB is correct Davy. Even Jesus himself is a Liberal.

  32. Davy on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 8:20 am 

    “Supreme Court Justice Ginsburg Admitted To Hospital”
    https://tinyurl.com/ydff7wqf

    “85-year-old Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has reportedly been hospitalized after fracturing three ribs in fall at court. She went to George Washington University Hospital early this morning, according to emailed statement from Supreme Court. “Tests showed that she fractured three ribs on her left side and she was admitted for observation and treatment,” statement says. As a reminder, Ginsburg broke two ribs in a fall in 2012, has had two prior bouts with cancer, and had a stent implanted to open a blocked artery in 2014. We would imagine the ‘Left’ is about to start panicking. Developing…”

  33. Chico on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 8:25 am 

    How the hell do you make a “LINEAR” extrapolation error. That’s the easiest mathematical fit to do! R2 anyone?

  34. JuanP on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 8:27 am 

    Ridiculous Davy has lost his last loose screw and is now completely unhinged! LOL!

  35. JuanP on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 8:33 am 

    Ridiculous Davy ““DIRTY JUAN PUPPETEERING””
    I just wish he could see himself through our eyes and realize what a low opinion we have of him and how tired we are of his lies and bullying. It was Davy that started the whole stealing identities here at PO, but now he whines, bitches, and moans when others pay him back! LOL! You are such a pathetic, sad fuck, old man!

  36. JuanP on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 8:34 am 

    Pussy, pussy, pussy, here, pusssy, pussy, pussy! ROFLMFAO!

  37. Davy on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 8:52 am 

    Not hard to see dirty juan has gone off the deep end and is now completely irrelevant and a board eyesore. He is showing his dysfunctional personality along with his sexual perversions. The guy is a loon and getting worse by the day. At least he has surfaced and using his own identity to communicate. Most of the time it is identity theft and sock puppets.

  38. JuanP on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 9:15 am 

    Ridiculous Davy “Not hard to see dirty juan has gone off the deep end and is now completely irrelevant and a board eyesore. He is showing his dysfunctional personality along with his sexual perversions. The guy is a loon and getting worse by the day. At least he has surfaced and using his own identity to communicate. Most of the time it is identity theft and sock puppets.”

    Your projections are so funny, Davy! It really cracks me up how you give yourself away without being aware. I couldn’t describe you better than you describe yourself! ROFLMFAO! Thanks for the laugh, buddy!

  39. Davy on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 9:23 am 

    dirty juan, say something moron. Are you just here to play mind games? The only thing that matters on these forums is intelligence and obviously you are unable to contribute any. Instead you want to play personality games. Your feelings are hurt so you want to attack me. The problem is nobody else cares about your feelings. They are coming here for some knowledge and debate. You could give a shit about others being the selfish moron and mental deviant you are. You just want to flood this board with noise which turns people off. You are the worst thing that has happened to this board. Nobody comes close to the damage you are causing.

  40. JuanP on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 9:32 am 

    To the board. Davy has been constantly insulting, attacking, and falsely accusing me of stealing his identity for weeks and I held back out of consideration for others, but I intend to fuck with him until next year now. Sorry for what’s coming. You can blame Davy for it as he is 100% responsible. Thank Davy for it!

  41. Эй, братья, пожалуйста, ударьте антиамериканскую собаку, которую я сделал из гранитного форума on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 9:35 am 

    supertard doesnt do that

  42. Davy on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 9:44 am 

    Yes I did do that Эй, братья, пожалуйста, ударьте антиамериканскую собаку, которую я сделал из гранитного форума on Thu,

    I enjoy petty Internet battles. It keeps my mind sharp and it’s a fun.

  43. Davy on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 9:50 am 

    RED ALERT! RED ALERT!

    WOO WOO! WOO WOO!

    JAUNPEE IDENTITY THEFT!!!

    WOO WOO! WOO WOO!

  44. Lee L on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 9:53 am 

    Now about this Resplandy paper…

    “It’s peer reviewed donchya know’.

  45. Cloggie on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 9:57 am 

    Antifa mob now beleaguering home popular conservative tv-host Tucker Carlsson:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q8mizoXyhY8

    2 billion Eurasians and 1.5 billion Muslims are looking at the unfolding American situation with great interest…

    #DawnOfANewEraPostEmpire

  46. JuanP on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 9:59 am 

    Ridiculous Davy “JAUNPEE IDENTITY THEFT!!!”

    More false accusations and insults from the board’s biggest liar and bully! Nothing more than Kindergarden behavior as usual.

  47. Эй, братья, пожалуйста, ударьте антиамериканскую собаку, которую я сделал из гранитного форума on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 9:59 am 

    white guy shooting, not good for luke 22:36
    was hoping for a jihadist

  48. Dredd on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 10:18 am 

    The scientist who found the math error was correct when he said making a mistake is not a biggie in that realm.

    What is a biggie is what one does afterward.

    I point out my bugs and then correct them.

    It’s the best medicine.

  49. I AM THE MOB on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 11:08 am 

    Clogg

    Yea right, Mother Russia is already totally surrounded and ready for a nuclear first strike..

    After that we take over Asia and move on in..

    Your region is breaking apart on their own..

    lmfao!

  50. energy investor on Thu, 8th Nov 2018 5:04 pm 

    They should give a Nobel Prize to the folk that prepared the latest erroneous report. After all that is what they gave two Nobel Peace Prizes (one joint between Gore and Pachauri and the other to Obama)and one Nobel Economics Prize for their high profile support and BS about climate change.

    Now the Eddy Grand Solar Minimum is starting to bite, it won’t be long before the entire AGW fraud goes the same way as Y2K.

    But it will create a crisis of confidence in science and otherwise well respected institutions like NIWA, Scripps, NOAA and NASA.

    In New Zealand we have two candidates shaping up for Nobel nomination… PM Jacinda Ardern and Minister of Climate Change, James Shaw. They are implementing their plan to shrink the NZ dairy and energy industries. Neither have any real world business experience. Neither has any idea about the science (they wrote to me and told me that). Both are socialists who are in favour of the UN IPCC’s wealth re-distribution programme.

    I would bet dollars to donuts the (probable if not certain) mini ice age coming during the next decade beats them to the punch.

    It is solar cycles that will determine our climate future and sadly, there is nothing we can do about that.

    Sadly because it will likely arrive at the same time as oil starts getting a lot more expensive.

    I know some of you don’t like me saying this stuff, and I wish you were right that we have a warming future. But you aren’t and we don’t. So do your research and don’t let the fraudsters bamboozle you.

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