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Declining births: is civilisation going to crumble?

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The richest man in the world wants us to have more babies, said Sam Shead on CNBC. Speaking at a corporate event last week, Tesla and SpaceX founder Elon Musk lamented that too many “good, smart people” were worried about the global population growing out of control.

The real problem, he insisted, was quite the opposite: “There are not enough people. I can’t emphasise this enough, there are not enough people.” “Please look at the numbers,” he told the business audience – “if people don’t have more children, civilisation is going to crumble, mark my words.”

At first glance, the numbers don’t really support Musk’s argument, said Harry de Quetteville in The Daily Telegraph. In the past 200 years, the global population has multiplied from one billion to almost eight billion, and it’s expected to keep growing until the end of this century, when it’s projected to reach almost 11 billion. But those figures mask a very uneven picture.

Many parts of the world, including swathes of Europe, are indeed facing a “population bust”. Romania, for instance, is set to go from around 20 million people today to just 12 million by 2100. Over the same period, Italy’s population is set to shrink by a third.

Longer life expectancy and immigration are currently “topping up the head-count” in many countries, said Peter Franklin on UnHerd, but these compensating factors won’t always make up for birth rates that are way below the replacement level of 2.1 babies per woman. In nations such as South Korea, birth rates are less than half that. Musk is “right to raise the alarm”.

Fertility rates have been falling in the West for a long time, said The Economist, but the “pace of change seems to be accelerating” as other nations follow the same path. Birth rates in all four “BRIC” emerging market economies (Brazil, Russia, India and China) are now below replacement level. “The world’s fertility rate, which stood at 3.5 births per woman in the mid-1980s, fell to just 2.4 in 2019.”

This demographic transition will generate some economic challenges as the world’s population ages, but also some benefits. It will, for one thing, make the task of cutting carbon emissions “less daunting”.

Whatever happens, there’s little the “pro-natalists” can do to stop the trend “short of building a new Gilead”, said Catherine Bennett in The Observer. The reality is that as female education improves, birth rates drop. In advanced economies, most people can’t afford to have big families. We’ll have to leave it to wealthy altruists such as Musk, with his six children, and Boris Johnson, whose seventh child arrived last week, to save civilisation.

week uk

4 Comments on "Declining births: is civilisation going to crumble?"

  1. Biden’s hairplug on Sat, 18th Dec 2021 3:52 pm 

    What Musk really means is that too few WHITE people are being born, but even he is too pc to say that openly. Musk is a closet white nationalist, who has enough of building Tesla’s and wants to be an “influencer”. As a foreigner he can’t be president of the US, but perhaps he can be useful to bring the f* down.

  2. Biden's hairplug on Tue, 21st Dec 2021 12:34 am 

    “Why are US rightwingers so angry? Because they know social change is coming” – Rebecca Solnit

    “The American right might win the occasional battle – but they will never win the war against progress”

    When a regime falls, the new one sweeps away its monuments and erects its own. This is happening as the taking down of Confederate, Columbus and other statues commemorating oppressors across the country, the renaming of streets and buildings and other public places, the appearance of myriad statues and murals of Harriet Tubman and other liberators, the opening of the Legacy Museum documenting slavery and mass incarceration and housing a lynching memorial.

    This dreaming idiot is half jew, half irish, so an Anglo-Zionist in its full depravity, the planetary scourge, since 1917. This c*nt seriously thinks she will carry away the victory over the rest of the world: over right-wing Americans, over Europeans, over Russians, over Chinese, over Islam. It is the new face of Bolshevism, an ideology that proclaims it holds absolute truth and the rest of the world needs to be subjected to it and its radical egalitarianism. The only thing she will really achieve is the destruction of the United States (and Britain), a good thing if there ever was one. And the rest of the world should join in the effort to bring the f*cker down. Message of hope: if the Russians can overcome Bolshevism, so can Americans… but not before their country has been taken apart. This Solnit idiot, this female apneaman, can’t imagine that the US will fall apart; all she thinks of is in terms of the epic battle between the good left and the evil right and that the left is going to win, within existing US borders. What she can’t imagine is that one day she will wake up in a North-Korea of her own (if she survives) and that the rest of the world marches on over the rubble of the American Empire.

    We have seen the pictures of Americans on the run for decades: from Vietnam, from Lebanon, from Somalia, from Iraq, from Syria and from Afghanistan. We know very well that the American Empire is a windfall empire, that fell off the truck after the clash of the two real giants of the white race: Germans and Russians and subsidized by oil and gas, like the British empire was enabled by coal and steam only. Militarily, the Americans are a paper tiger, as they soon are going to find out in East-Asia.

    “Russia promises ‘military response’ to any further NATO expansion”

    WW3 is coming and its topic will be the destruction of Anglo-Zionism and dismemberment of Anglosphere. It will begin with WW3 and end with CW2 on North-American soil. It will lead to Australia and New Zealand ending up in a new Chinese Empire and North-America Balkanized and divided into Chinese and continental European spheres of influence.

  3. Biden's hairplug on Tue, 21st Dec 2021 1:10 am 

    Paul Nutall, the typical Brexiteer, is fearing the worst for his pet project. He should be.

    “Britain’s Brexit defender is gone, and the EU can now swoop in”

    Vain airhead Liss Truss, with ambitions to replace Boris Johnson as PM (sic), is seen in Brussels as easy meat, has no substance whatsoever, is a total opportunist without convictions or visions of her own. She has replaced Lord Frost, who has far more gravitas and knew that the Brexit project, where he didn’t believe in, in the first place, is dead in the water. That is the real reason why he resigned. He left a sinking ship.

  4. Ted Wilson on Tue, 28th Dec 2021 10:27 am 

    dont worry guys, chinese communist party has ordered its members to have 3 kids, soon every han chinese will be forced to have 3 and chinas population will explode.

    first they forced their people to have more babies, then just 1, now 3. they dont care about global warming or resource shortage. they will just grab from the rest of the world

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