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What Oil Shortage? Just a Case of Supply Being Redistributed

Consumption

Last April, Iran exported about 2.5 million barrels of oil per day (mbpd) before President Donald Trump decided to withdraw from the nuclear deal with Tehran.

Sanctions were then placed on Iran, but following great opposition from Iran’s key customers, namely China and India, the U.S. granted “waivers” to allow some exports of Iranian crude.

By this March, Iranian exports had already fallen to about 1 mbpd. The deadline for the waivers was May, 2018. This morning — April 22 — the U.S. declared it would not grant an extension of those waivers.

If the U.S. forges ahead and China and India both comply, it could potentially take about 700,000 to 1 million bpd of oil out of the market!

Brent Oil rose nearly $2.5/bbl. Monday morning on this news, with world markets rattled on the risk of an oil shortage given importance of Iran’s role. Meanwhile the U.S., Saudi Arabia and UAE have promised to ramp up production to make up for any shortfall.

Let’s reassess the situation. In December last year, OPEC/OPEC+ agreed to take about 1.2-1.5 mbpd of oil out of the market given the price collapse and glut in the market.

The main responsibility of the cuts was to fall on Saudi Arabia and Russia. Russia still has not met its quota and undercut so far. Saudi Arabia has cut much more than its quota and is mostly responsible for the majority of the cuts.

However, if Iran were to lose, say, 1 mbpd of oil, this amount can easily be met by Saudi Arabia. So, there is not shortage per se, it is just a matter of a redistributing who would be “allowed” to sell their oil.

If traders remember not too long ago, Trump accused OPEC (by default Saudi Arabia) of taking too much oil out of the market as Brent threatened $70/bbl. Going into re-election, Trump cannot afford to have angry voters staring at higher gasoline prices at the pump.

Similarly, Saudi Arabia could not pump more, even if they wanted to. The Saudis were losing out given higher prices, and they feared collapsing the oil price. Let’s not forget the U.S. shale breakeven price is about $45-50/bbl., but Saudi Arabia’s is closer to $75/bbl.+.

How else to appease their ally, keep the oil market balanced, and put pressure on their biggest nemesis, Iran? Seems like a zero-sum game.

Needless to say, there is no shortage of oil. Also, there is nothing to guarantee that all 1 mbpd of Iranian exports go to zero! Why? Well, three of the eight countries granted the 180-day waivers back in November — Greece, Italy, and Taiwan — have already reduced their imports to zero. And South Korea and Japan also are not as dependent on Iranian oil as they have found options.

That leaves China, India, and Turkey. We all know where these three countries fit on the U.S. foreign policy spectrum. China has been extremely vocal about the U.S. stepping outside of its jurisdiction to impose these sanctions in the first place. Anyone remember the trade talks that have been “progressing very well” and “close to reaching an agreement?” It is good to know the market is priced to perfection assuming all is hunky dory with U.S. and China as besties.

To summarize, we are exiting the peak winter heating oil season, when typically demand for crude drops in May just before gasoline season starts in June. Assuming worst-case scenario if Iran were to lose all 1 million bpd of oil, that shortfall can easily be met by the remaining members of OPEC+.

These waivers could potentially be in place for another year before being cancelled altogether. All in all, the oil market and its very temperamental traders have gotten a bit ahead of themselves.

The price of oil is more than fairly valued. If Iran were to close the strait of Hormuz, it could potentially cause a geopolitical crisis. One thing is certain: Equities in general are priced for perfection with no risks priced in, whether it is oil prices being toppy or demand falling off given the geopolitical and economic implications.

If there is any delay in U.S./Chinese trade deal, it goes without saying the S&P 500 could easily test its December lows.

realmoney



96 Comments on "What Oil Shortage? Just a Case of Supply Being Redistributed"

  1. Robert Inget on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 4:59 am 

    By Dmitry Zhdannikov, Olga Yagova and Olesya Astakhova

    MOSCOW, April 25 (Reuters) – Poland and Germany have suspended imports of Russian oil via a major pipeline, citing poor quality, triggering a rare crisis over supply from the world’s second-largest crude exporter.

    The halting of imports from the Druzhba pipeline could starve European refineries belonging to Poland’s PKN Orlen and Grupa Lotos as well as German plants belonging to Total, Shell, Eni and Rosneft of most of their crude intake.

    The suspension could trigger legal claims by Western buyers against Russian suppliers, who would in turn seek compensation from Russian pipeline monopoly Transneft, three traders with Western oil buyers said.

    On Wednesday, Polish pipeline company Pern told Transneft it was suspending purchases, a letter seen by Reuters showed.

    Belarus said its neighbour Poland stopped accepting deliveries of Russian crude via the Soviet-built Druzhba pipeline at 2000 GMT on Wednesday, Belarusian state news agency Belta reported.

    Druzhba, meaning “friendship”, can ship up to 1 million barrels per day, or 1 percent of global crude demand. It supplies Poland and Germany via a northern spur and the Czech Republic, Hungary and Slovakia via a southern leg.

  2. Robert Inget on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 5:08 am 

    Hundreds of miles of REJECTED crude.
    (contaminated crude can damage refineries)

    Now that the line closed, WTF does one do with a million barrels of ‘bad’ oil?

    Remember, that’s one percent of world oil supply.
    (one million barrels p/d)

    This ALONE can drive already high prices higher.

  3. Robert Inget on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 5:14 am 

    UPDATED ~ 14 MINUTES AGO Saudi Arabia says China has not yet asked for more oil amid tighter Iran sanctions Dominique Patton

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-silkroad-saudi/saudi-arabias-energy-minister-says-china-has-not-yet-asked-for-more-crude-oil-idUSKCN1S10A4?il=0

    BEIJING (Reuters) – Saudi Arabia’s energy minister Khalid al-Falih told Reuters on Thursday that China has “not yet” asked for more crude oil after the United States decided to end sanction waivers on Iranian oil imports that had permitted Beijing to keep buying from Tehran.

    The United States re-imposed sanctions against Iran’s oil exports last November, but Washington initially allowed the eight biggest buyers of Iranian oil – China is number 1 – to keep purchasing limited imports for six months ending April.

    Al-Falih spoke briefly on the sidelines of a visit to Beijing for a summit on China’s Belt and Road economic development initiative, rebuilding the old Silk Road to connect China with Asia, Europe and beyond. Beijing has criticized the U.S. move to re-impose Iran oil sanctions.

    U.S. officials, speaking during a separate media call earlier on Thursday, said they were confident China would be able to find alternative supplies to Iran.

    Asked if other Asian buyers had asked for more crude oil, al-Falih said: “In the beginning of May, we will find out demand for June and will be responsive.”

    Saudi Arabia’s April crude oil production was nearly steady with previous months and will be in the 9.8 million barrels per day (bpd) range or “maybe lower”, he said.

    Before the reimposition of sanctions, Iran was one of the biggest producers among the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) at close to 4 million bpd. Iran’s oil exports have now dropped to about 1 million bpd.

  4. Davy on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 5:24 am 

    “Druzhba, meaning “friendship”, can ship up to 1 million barrels per day, or 1 percent of global crude demand. It supplies Poland and Germany via a northern spur and the Czech Republic, Hungary and Slovakia via a southern leg.”

    Good find Bob but it will probably be a matter of price cut. I imagine refineries know how to adapt to dirty oil it just cost money. Maybe a board oil expert will come on and lend some expertise. You and I are not experts on these technicalities.

  5. Robert Inget on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 5:27 am 

    Man Made Perfect Storm

    Trump’s ultimate sanctions don’t go into full effect for a week and we see crisis developing.

    Not counting that Russian contaminated crude
    ‘incident’, not counting possible export suspension from Libya, not counting a Nigerian pipeline “fire” on an export pipeline, not counting Venezuela, that’s 4% already off market, what else can go wrong?

    My biggest gripe remains not explaining to public the vast difference between shale oil loaded with
    liquid natural gas and heaver, more energy intensive ‘conventional’ crude.

    Prediction: coming diesel short falls will drive inflation.

  6. Davy on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 5:28 am 

    Bob, you still standing by this?:

    “Robert Inget on Sat, 6th Apr 2019 3:00 pm”
    “No one can predict how this situation resolves. ONLY one thing certain. $100+ oil gets printed by July 4th.”

  7. Antius on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 7:41 am 

    Very interesting article on the potential for low-pressure compressed air energy storage. Can be downloaded for free.

    https://tinyurl.com/yyl9f7m6

    By keeping storage pressures low (<5bar), adiabatic heating during compression remains close to zero and round trip cycle efficiencies can approach 95%. Additionally, relatively simple single stage compressor and expanders can be used, which are cheap to build and can be made from steel and plastics. The obvious downside is that larger storage volumes are then required for each kWh of energy stored.

    Most of my efforts and investigations into renewable energy involve searching for ways to minimise both energy losses and embodied energy, whilst allowing an intermittent resource to meet demand, given that baseline EROI for wind and solar are marginal in terms of what we need to maintain industrial civilisation. Hence my advocacy for things like direct electric power for transport; hydraulic capsule pipelines and energy demand management – things that reduce energy invested and avoid diluting energy return.

    Low pressure CAES appears to fit that bill, because it is efficient and allows the use of simple systems that are easy to design and build and have low embodied energy. If air storage pressures are <5bar, then relatively simple single stage centrifugal compressors can be fitted directly to wind turbine shafts within the nacelle, without the need for electrical generators. The steel tower itself might even provide the conduit for carrying the compressed air. This eliminates a great deal of cost, embodied energy and rare materials (all components can be polymers or carbon steel). The whole system might have only a few moving parts. A turbine like that would certainly be much cheaper to build.

    Although the required storage volume may be high, there are some very interesting options for storing compressed air at low pressures, which would be wholly impractical at greater pressures. One of the most interesting is undersea CAES. The North Sea has an average depth of 95m, so the average pressure at the bottom is 9.5bar. The more shallow depths (<57m) are easier and cheaper to work at, because they are closer to shore and because it remains possible for divers to breath ordinary air above this depth. Storing air underwater could be accomplished in flexible balloons or simple steel of concrete shells, with rock and mud ballasting them from above. The embodied energy of these structures could be quite low, given that very little material is actually needed, due to the low shell stresses and entirely compressive forces in gravity ballasted structures. We would build tanks as modular units onshore (probably from cast concrete); tow them to the appropriate locations offshore; flood them to sink them in place and then ballast them down using dredged gravel, mud or even waste building rubble. Air could be transferred to and from the undersea stores using polypropylene pipes. Sea water would displace air that is withdrawn from the tanks.

    The late Roger Andrews of Energy Matters, estimated that about 5 days' worth of electricity storage would be needed to avoid the potential for brownouts in a wind powered electricity system. This could probably be reduced substantially if we used a balanced mix of wind, wave, solar, tidal stream, hydro, biomass, etc. and practiced some limited demand management (such as storage heaters). Sticking to the 5 day figure, would require about 5TWh of storage (18billion MJ) for a country like Britain and similar amounts per capita for other European countries. One cubic metre of air at 5bar contains 0.9MJ of energy. Assuming the concrete storage reservoirs are 5m in depth, some 4000km2 of storage reservoirs would be needed. There is ample room in the North Sea for all of the energy storage needed for all of Europe using thin, ballasted concrete shells.

    We would probably pipe air to large power plants onshore, which would convert it into electricity at GW power levels. These achieve much better scale economy than fitting electrical generators to individual wind turbines.

    There is potential for direct use of compressed air to power equipment in industry and even transport. A bus has direct mechanical power consumption of about 1KWh/km under urban conditions and is about 2m wide and 10m long. A bus carrying a 1m deep, 5bar compressed air tank on its roof, would have a range between stops of 5km and regenerative braking would roughly double that. The bus would work well as a hybrid if fitted with a small natural gas powered compressor that would allow it to maintain minimum pressure over longer distances. For urban routes, this would not be needed. Trains and trams could work in the same way. Cars and trucks could work this way, if they were used as part of hybrid concept with regenerative braking. It could feasibly reduce average fuel consumption by half, given that most journeys are short and regenerative braking could be very efficient at recovering energy using low pressure air.

  8. Robert Inget on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 9:09 am 

    In regards to that Russian crude contaminated with Dichloroethane

    Dichloroethane upon heating to 900 deg F will produce vinyl chloride and hydrochloric acid. HCL in the presence of water will eat through carbon steel like there is no tomorrow.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1,2-Dichloroethane

    IOW’s some hanky panky goin on somewhere along that Russian pipe.

  9. Robert Inget on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 9:40 am 

    Davy,

    Getting printed ($100) and closing price aren’t always the same.
    Currently BRENT is printing @$74.39 having been @ 75.70-/+ most of the night.

    http://www.livecharts.co.uk/MarketCharts/brent.php

    I expect a short squeeze in crude that will be disastrous for the world economies, long term.

    Does Davy Believe Venezuela will be up-an-running, producing three million B p/d in three or four months? Will Iran be sellin, for USD, four million B’s in three months?

    Can Iraq, Saudi, combined pump an additional
    four million by mid summer?

    I’ve said many times, in 2 to3 years China, India, Vietnam, S. Korea, will buy all available conventional exportable crude worldwide.

    Canada will decide in June to build its so called
    ‘Trans Mountain (export) Pipeline’ to Asia…NOT the US. IOW’s There goes another M B p/d once destined for the US (at discount prices).

    Shale is a ‘game changer’ all right. But the ‘game’
    should have a time-out to peek at the rule books.
    Investors are so gun shy even conventional oil and GAS is way below cost of production.
    Unless we get $100+ plus crude we ain’t getting any.

  10. Gaia on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 9:51 am 

    Nobody is going to invade or attack the US. The US will collapse on its own.

  11. Davy on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 10:07 am 

    Bob, your problem is you are emotional and anti-American. What that causes is unrealistic predictions. You have been crying wolf for years now. I imagine after throwing enough darts something will stick eventually.

  12. Robert Inget on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 10:24 am 

    I deeply resent being called “anti American”.
    As for darts, not so much. I’m a dart thrower, sue me.

    Davy,
    ad hominem, is a fallacious argumentative strategy whereby genuine discussion of the topic at hand is avoided by instead attacking the character, motive, or other attribute of the person making the argument, or persons associated with the argument, rather than attacking the substance of ..

  13. Davy on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 10:38 am 

    Bob, you don’t even know what you say anymore. Show me something pro American?? You can’t.

    “Sue me”
    Relax bob, you must have a litigious past.

    “Ad hominem”
    Sure bob, and you don’t? Hypocrite. This forum is based on ad hom strategies. Did your nuts get cut off somewhere in you past? You are whining.

  14. Antius on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 10:52 am 

    An old idea that may have new applications in a post-oil world.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atmospheric_railway

    The original idea is to use low-pressure air and vacuum to propel a vehicle (usually a train). The air or vacuum are contained within a pipe or duct between the running rails and propelled a piston that was connected to the train through a thin slot in the tube that is sealed by leather flaps.

    In the modern era, the concept has been perfected by Aeromovel in Brazil:

    From wiki: ‘Towards the end of the twentieth century the Aeromovel Corporation of Brazil developed an automated people mover that is atmospherically powered. Lightweight trains ride on rails mounted on an elevated hollow concrete box girder that forms the air duct. Each car is attached to a square plate—the piston—within the duct, connected by a mast running through a longitudinal slot that is sealed with rubber flaps. Stationary electric air pumps are located along the line to either blow air into the duct to create positive pressure or to exhaust air from the duct to create a partial vacuum. The pressure differential acting on the piston plate causes the vehicle to move.’

    The concept is practically interesting because low-pressure air and vacuum can be produced very cheaply and efficiently using renewable energy, especially wind turbines fitted with axial compressors. At pressures <1bar it can be stored within pits using overlying excavated material to counterweight the internal pressure. This is a simple arrangement that would become unworkable at much greater pressures. Likewise, rough vacuum could be stored in earth structures using the compressive strength of the earth to hold back atmospheric pressure. The air or vacuum can be conveyed through plastic pipes and released by solenoid valves along the track.

    A similar more compact system could be employed for buses or trams, in which an air pipe is fitted at specific stops. The vehicle would interface with the pipe at the stop and discharged LP air or vacuum would be used to power a turbine that charges a flywheel or hydraulic cylinder on the vehicle, which would power the vehicle to the next stop. Simple and relatively low tech systems that could none the less be very effective, albeit in limited applications.

  15. Peak Oil Ombudsman on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 11:26 am 

    Davy in full douchebag display mode:

    Davy on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 10:38 am

  16. Robert Inget on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 11:39 am 

    Up-date on that Rus Contamination, off the net.

    “Russian crude contaminated with dichlorethane.

    More likely they are talking about dichloromethane, commonly referred to as methylene chloride. It is a powerful degreaser and is used in the O&G industry to dissolve asphalt.
    I used it in a low temperature retort process to convert kerogen (shale oil) to crude oil.”

    Another;

    Russian crude contaminated with dichlorethane – Contamination
    Dichloroethane is soluble in crude oil. The crude contaminated with dichloroethane must be segregated and burned as a fuel.

    Cross contamination is common. When I worked for Lyondell, we sent TEA (triethanolamine) instead of TEG (triethylene glycol). The customer had a disaster and we had to pay the clean up cost.

    Here is a good article from Bloomberg which reinforces what I posted.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-04-25/poland-halts-russian-crude-imports-as-quality-threatens-pipeline

  17. Robert Inget on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 11:51 am 

    Of keen interest to Peak Oilers should be the Fact,
    not that Russian oil companies were careless, they are, but that they are also ‘massaging’ a well or wells with chemicals the same way Russia doped athletes. IOW’s a Russian oil company has been caught ‘red’ handed using desperate measures to increase production.

    IE: with little care of what happens to the well or athlete in later years.

    Now Davy may find critics of anything Russian “anti American”. So be it.

  18. AOC-muzzieslover-no-tweek-sriL-AKA-fmr-paultard on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 12:01 pm 

    bob the tard, why don’t you leave supertard alone. if you lose arguments you have to pay jizya to supertard

  19. Robert Inget on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 12:20 pm 

    All this name calling drove me away from this ‘board’ several times. If it keeps up I’ll have to go back doing some honest work.

    Davy is what is know as an ‘an agent provocateur’
    or, as we ‘anti Americans’ call a ‘trouble maker’.

    see if this shoe fits;

    Definition of agent provocateur. plural agents provocateurs play \ˈä-ˌzhäⁿ-prō-ˌvä-kə-ˈtər, ˈā-jən(t)s-prō-\. : one employed to associate with suspected persons and by pretending sympathy with their aims to incite them to some incriminating or disruptive actions.

  20. bob-AOC-muzzieslover-AKA-fmr-paultard on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 12:31 pm 

    bob, i’m not supertard. supertard called me dumbass for supporting him. i don’t care. i support supertard

    when AOC (NO TWEET) on muzzies in sri lanka 359 bodies vs 25 million tweeks on NZ
    we obv. have a problem

    please unlibtard urself bro

  21. Robert Inget on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 12:37 pm 

    Famously, one British Newspaper always heads up
    such articles with “WW/3 News”

    Sending message via very large letter carrier…
    DEBKA has more on that carrier deployment. Seems a bit more demonstrative and in-your-face than usual.

    Accompanied by 10 warships, the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier on Wednesday, April 24, deployed opposite the Syrian coast in a dramatic show of strength against Russia and Iran. The effect was underlined by the revelation from US Navy sources of the presence on the carrier’s command bridge of none other than US ambassador to Moscow Jon Huntsman. His message needed no commentary: “When you have 200,000 tons of diplomacy cruising the Mediterranean, this is forward-operating diplomacy – nothing else need be said.”

    There is no precedent even in the Cold War years between America and Soviet Russia of a US ambassador being planted on a front line against Russian and Iranian forces in the Middle East. The US Navy communique reported that Ambassador Huntsman was inspecting the operations of “9.000 crew and Marines and the 130 warplanes on the decks of the Lincoln and other vessels of the strike group.”

    DEBKAfile’s military sources: This show of US military-backed diplomatic muscle was timed for Thursday, April 25, when President Vladimir Putin and North Korean leader were about to sit down for their first summit in the eastern Russian city of Vladivostok, This meeting was seen in Washington as Putin’s challenge of the nuclear negotiation channel set up by President Donald Trump with the North Korean dictator. (more on DEBKA)

    In my day we called it “gunboat diplomacy”.
    Trump never prepares for summits, this is the result.

    If Trump tweaks Putin’s nose too hard, Putin will
    absolutely ruin Trump by coming out strongly in his favor. Kind of a KoD.(kiss of death)
    Trump is a wanna be Mob Boss.
    Putin is the genuine article.

  22. Davy on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 12:55 pm 

    “Davy is what is know as an ‘an agent provocateur’
    or, as we ‘anti Americans’ call a ‘trouble maker’.”
    Bob, I keep dishonest people like you honest. If that makes me a trouble maker so be it.

    Bob, you are just full of shit much of the time but the Russian oil contamination news is a good find.

    Bob, FYI, this is dumbass juanpee:

    Peak Oil Ombudsman on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 11:26 am

    bob-AOC-muzzieslover-AKA-fmr-paultard on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 12:31 pm

  23. Robert Inget on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 1:14 pm 

    One last pipeline up-date;

    Brent up on Saudi UAE doubts and Druzhba pipeline – news story

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-futures-resume-climb-flirting-with-fresh-multimonth-highs-2019-04-25?mod=mw_latestnews

    1) “While it was reported that the U.S., Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates will fill the void left by any shortfall [from Iran], there are serious doubts about how and when this would be achieved. And when you consider the fact that two of the three are currently actively trying to curb output in order to rebalance the market and lift prices, you have to question the motivation to then step in and turn on the taps,” said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at Oanda.

    https://www.oanda.com/group/news-analysis/meet-analysts/craig-erlam/

    2) Meanwhile, Brent prices on Thursday got an added lift from news that Poland and Germany suspended imports of crude via the Druzhba pipeline, the world’s longest oil pipeline, citing contamination, according to a report from Reuters. About 700,000 barrels a day of the pipeline’s 1 million-barrel a day capacity was suspended, the report said, citing trading sources and Reuters’ calculations.

  24. Duncan Idaho on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 1:44 pm 

    “Russia is down by another 850,000 barrels per day in March versus January. They will likely hold that level, with only slight variations, through the end of the year. That was the basis of my estimation. I think it a reasonable estimate. Also, I think Non-OPEC, less USA, will continue their decline. That is also a reasonable estimation.”

  25. Anonymouse on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 4:35 pm 

    “Delusional Davy” is what we call, a ‘nutter’. Or a ‘dumbass’ if you prefer. Both apply in equal measure.

  26. Peak Oil Ombudsman on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 5:09 pm 

    No, Davy, we are all quite aware “fmr-paultard” is your retarded alter-ego.

    Bob, FYI, this is dumbass juanpee:

    bob-AOC-muzzieslover-AKA-fmr-paultard on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 12:31 pm

  27. Peak Oil Ombudsman on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 5:11 pm 

    Worth restating:

    “Delusional Davy” is what we call, a ‘nutter’. Or a ‘dumbass’ if you prefer. Both apply in equal measure.

    And I would add a first-class douchebag.

  28. makati1 on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 5:51 pm 

    Davy needs attention, in any form. Since he cannot get it by being a rational, intelligent, mature adult with something positive to contribute, he settles for being the target of verbal abuse. Were his parents abusive? Seems like it. As the seed is planted…

    Pavlov’s dog has more freedom of action than he does. He cannot resist putting down anyone he disagrees with, which is most of us. An intelligent person would find references to support their position but he knows that there are few, if any supporting the collapsing, terrorist US. He then resorts to immature putdowns that are laughable. He needs mental help.

  29. Davy on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 6:10 pm 

    annoymouse and juanpee are what I call obsessive stalkers who are unable to debate issues. Obviously they both lack knowledge and ability. Anybody can be a stalker. makato is just a whining old man who comes out when annoy or juanpee has given him the “all is clear we are here for you” then makato feels like it is safe to come out. All three of you can go fuck yourselves.

  30. JuanP sock on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 6:11 pm 

    Peak Oil Ombudsman on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 5:09 pm = Juanpee ombudsman

  31. Davy on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 6:20 pm 

    I AM NUTTER DOUCHEBAG
    HEAR MY ROAR.

  32. Davy on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 6:21 pm 

    Why do they all hate me?

  33. Gaia on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 6:27 pm 

    The local police should be called to intervene and take Davy to a local hospital where he can get involuntary treatment for his mental illness.

  34. Not Davy on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 6:29 pm 

    juanpee posted this

    Davy on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 6:20 pm

    Davy on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 6:21 pm

  35. Davy on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 6:32 pm 

    gaia, you have as much authority here as a mental patient. You have shown yourself to be a mindless bot with uninspiring comments. Nobody likes you except makato and he likes you because you are a simpleton.

  36. Anonymouse on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 6:38 pm 

    Davyturd, you have as much authority here as a mental patient. You have shown yourself to be a mindless dumbass with uninspiring cu&paste comments. Nobody likes you except cloggJude and he likes you because you are a simpleton.

    Fixed it for you, dumbass. No need to thank me.

  37. AOC-muzzieslover-no-tweek-sriLanka-AKA-fmr-paultard on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 6:39 pm 

    gaia, why are you bothering supertard? shouldn’t you message Adi saying you love adi on gaia using your account on gaia, or maybe gaydar, not sure about you.

    when supertrad said i’m a dumbass that has no effect on me, now he calls me juanp

  38. Davy Nutter on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 6:55 pm 

    Proof positive Davy aka fmr-paultard is in full nutter mode:

    “when supertard (aka Davy) said i’m a dumbass that has no effect on me, now he calls me juanp”

    You can’t make this shit up.

  39. makati1 on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 7:24 pm 

    The “obsessive stalker” is you, Davy. You are the only one here obsessed with where everyone lives. Maybe you forgot that you tried constantly to pin down my location here in the Philippines, with no sucess. Only stalkers do that.

    BTW: No one here needs “authority”, just intelligence and maturity with an open mind to reality. I have no idea who Gaia is, but Gaia’s comments are mostly spot on.

    You must have had a very screwed up, abusive childhood, Davy. Psychiatrists would be very challenged to repair your insanity, I think. LOL

  40. AOC-muzzieslover-no-tweek-sriLanka-AKA-fmr-paultard on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 8:16 pm 

    AOC tweeked 25 million times on NZ shooting of muzzies but zero tweek on sri lanka muzzies killing of 359 catholics.

    also, just a PA that mating season is here, be careful out there because there’s a lot of aggression IRL. we’re tards and tards look out for one another. carry your luke 22:36 but avoid confrontation

  41. JuanP sock on Fri, 26th Apr 2019 4:25 am 

    This is juanpee and a poor puppeteering of paultard.
    AOC-muzzieslover-no-tweek-sriLanka-AKA-fmr-paultard on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 6:39 pm
    Davy Nutter on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 6:55 pm
    AOC-muzzieslover-no-tweek-sriLanka-AKA-fmr-paultard on Thu, 25th Apr 2019 8:16 pm

  42. Davy on Fri, 26th Apr 2019 4:31 am 

    “Davyturd, you have as much authority here as a mental patient.”

    annoy, you are a blight on this forum. When is the last time you contributed subject matter. Stalking and only “ad homming” turns smart people off. Anyone can stalk and ad hom so I call you a simpleton. What is worse about you is you actually think you are smart. You probably are Asperger like you best friend juanpee.

  43. Cloggie on Sat, 27th Apr 2019 4:30 am 

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-04-26/europe-stops-taking-piped-russian-oil-because-of-contamination

    “Russia to Fix Oil Pipeline Contamination Crisis in Two Weeks”

  44. Chrome Mags on Sat, 27th Apr 2019 5:46 am 

    I hate human beings. I’m staying at a holiday inn and someone purposely set off their car alarm @6 am to wake everyone up.

  45. Cloggie on Sat, 27th Apr 2019 6:07 am 

    Thanks Chrome for sharing with us this world shattering event.

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