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Page added on October 30, 2012

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Russian Domination of Germany: Consequences of Peak Oil

Russian Domination of Germany: Consequences of Peak Oil thumbnail

Germany is highly dependent upon Russia for crude oil imports, namely 40 percent. Germany also imported 14.1% of its oil from Norway and 10.7% from Great Britain. All together, Germany imports 93 percent of its oil from all sources.

Here is a graph of impressive Russian oil production:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

In contrast, the graph below depicts Norwegian oil production approaching its sunset:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

There is a similar plot for the UK.

Conclusion: Germany imports nearly 25 percent of its oil from two declining sources, namely the UK and Norway, in contrast to 40 percent from Russia, which shows increasing oil production and large volume. It is an irony of history that Germany imports 65 percent of its oil from three of its former WWII adversaries. Unless Germany can develop renewable energies on a huge, commercial, affordable scale, it will become subservient to Russia, a result that would have pleased Joseph Stalin.

Die Weltgeschichte ist auch die Summe dessen, was vermeidbar gewesen wäre. (The history of the world is also the sum of what might have been avoided). – Konrad Adenauer (1876-1967), West Germany’s first chancellor

JHEverson Consulting by Jeff



11 Comments on "Russian Domination of Germany: Consequences of Peak Oil"

  1. DC on Tue, 30th Oct 2012 6:11 pm 

    What business is it of some Amerikan hack consultant who Germany is buying its gas from? Germany is not ‘subservient’ anything to Russia. If anything, its the other way around. Russia is dependent to large degree on German technology and investment. In point of fact, despite all that went on in WW2, the 2 former adversaries actually have good relations these days. Could it be they both realize that its the US thats was the real enemy they should be worried about all along? Maybe

    No, what really bothers amerikans, is Russia is supplying the EU with energy. Energy and pipelines the US doesnt control. The US seeks to insure the EU never develops a independent or neutral stance on the world stage ever again, and the way to do that, is to make the EU dependant on the US for energy, instead of Russia. If Russia didnt have a nuclear deterrent of its own, the US would be primed to attack Russia, just like they are primed to attack Iran. Both just want to trade and sell *their* resources to who they wish, and in whatever currency they chose. To the amerikan corporate war-monger however, the desire for free-trade in energy, is tantamount to a declaration of war.

  2. deedl on Tue, 30th Oct 2012 7:43 pm 

    Ressources from Russia have been traded to central europe for centurires (e.g. furs from novgorod in medieval times) and will be for centuries to come.

    Trade is always a two sided dependency, Germany being dependend on Russian gas and oil means russia is utterly dependend on german cash. Since there are pipeline through the baltic sea connecting both countries without any third party in between, this trade is not easy to be cancelled. So both have a secure supply of energy and cash, respectivly.

    The few years of enemyship in both worldwars are just a blink in history, actually most of the last centurries prussia/germany and russia had quite good relations and still/again have. In the years after oil, the vast acres of russia can supply central europe with biomass or biogas, so this trade can survive the fossil age and even use the existing infrastructure. There are already german communities who bought farmland in russia to produce the biomass they need to lower their own co2 emissions. And russia has no problems with that, since it was always to scarcely populated to develope their soils by themselves. This already happened before in the 17th century when german settlers moved to russia to plant crops and pay taxes. So there are still some german speaking villages in russia and those folks are legible for german citizenship due to their ancestry.

    Americans often forget that history in other parts of the world exceeds the two centuries of the american scope. And americans often forget that german history has many more faces than the few years of the world wars.

    Europe is protected by water in three directions, its just the eastern flank that is open. Having russia as a trading partner there is the best geopolitical choice. All major invasions to russia in the last centuries came from europe, so trading with europe is the best geopolitical choice for russia. It may not fit in the war-centric american scope of foreign policy, but trading, peace and partnership can actually promote natioanl security and give acces to ressources at the same time.

  3. Arthur on Tue, 30th Oct 2012 8:10 pm 

    Russian oil is one aspect, Russian gas is another: Northstream with 2 pipelines now completed, 2 more planned, both over the bottom of the sea as well as Southstream. Nabucco is going nowhere: no pipe, oh and no gas to put into the pipe to sart with. And than there is fuel from azakhstan… via Russian territory.

    Here is recent and precise data concerning Germany and it’s oil imports:

    http://tinyurl.com/9uga5lz

    Germany’s dependency on Russia is growing, the rest is receding. And fuel, as we all know, is everything. No fuel, no industrial society. This simply means that Russia has Germany in its pocket. And the US does not like that, because THE pillar of US global dominance is keeping Eurasia divided and Europe subservient. But if the US gets into confrontation with Russia (over Iran), Russia can demand Germany to at least stay neutral or else… or even more than just neutral. Russia aspires to gradually take over the role of the US and form a strategic alliance with the EU. And everything speaks for such an alliance, as Russia has still fuel and Europe has industrial products that can be absorbed by the markets in the east. I would be surprised if the West in its current form would still exist by 2020 and I think that the EU at some point is going to swap sides. And it is likely going to be initiated by a showdown in the Gulf.

  4. Arthur on Tue, 30th Oct 2012 8:14 pm 

    “Trade is always a two sided dependency, Germany being dependend on Russian gas and oil means russia is utterly dependend on german cash. ”

    Anybody can print money, but you cannot print oil. Russia can sell its oil to China or Japan as well. Russia is in the dominant position, Germany subservient.

    Currently there is only one party seeking world dominance and everybody knows it. As a consequence everybody is quietly working against it.

  5. MarkR on Tue, 30th Oct 2012 8:50 pm 

    Only one country is seeking world dominance? Not really true. Any country that had a shot at world dominance would seek world dominance. This is how the international system works and always has. Before the U.S., it was Britain, and in WWII Germany and Japan tried, and after the Soviet Union tried. Before the British it was the Ottomans, Mongols, Turks, Romans, Persians, Greeks, etc. All tried for world domination. If the U.S. fails some other country will take its place, probably Russia or China, possibly Japan, Turkey or the E.U. Maybe even Mexico.

    Regardless, as long as the international system exists in its current form, someone will try to dominate the rest of the world. If the U.S. goes away on the international stage it will not be a peaceful coexisting world, but one dominated by one of those other powers. And that power will try to dominate and subjugate the rest of the world INCLUDING the USA.

    Since I am a US citizen living in America, I would rather live in the dominant nation rather than be victimized by another country like a Tibetan or Palestinian, Kurd, whatever. No, USA isn’t perfect and we could do a lot to fix our system, but it beats living someplace like Darfur. So Americans wishing for the fall of America as a global power be careful what you wish for.

  6. Arthur on Tue, 30th Oct 2012 9:54 pm 

    “Only one country is seeking world dominance? Not really true. Any country that had a shot at world dominance would seek world dominance.”

    I was talking abour *NOW*. The US government is quit open about its aims: “full spectrum dominance”.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Full-spectrum_dominance

    “So Americans wishing for the fall of America as a global power be careful what you wish for.”

    I would not assume that everybody here is American.lol

    Look, we are not in the business of bashing the American population here, the trouble is in a certain minority that holds all the levers of power (media, finance/FED, political lobby groups). They are not just satisfied with a dominant role for themselves on the world stage, but they actively seek to destroy everyone on their way. This is the consequence of their messianic drive and rooted in their religion and the end goal is world government and a world without borders and nations. Their once was another entity that tried the same and reached its maximum expansion in 1980 with the invasion of Afghanistan. Ten years later the entity seized to exist. Won’t be much different with the US as Afghanistan is the graveyard of empires. And since the ethnic composition of the US is even more adventurous than that of the former USSR, we can expect quit a fireworks display if the SHTF there.

    Here is what Buchanan said today in his column:

    “For if America is to endure as a nation, her peoples are going to need the freedom to live differently and the space to live apart, according to their irreconcilable beliefs. Yet should Barack Obama win, the centralization of power and control will continue beyond the point of no return.”

    Now there must be something brewing if one of the most distinguished commentators in the US says a thing like that.

    180 million aging Euro-Americans, lead by a couple of million jews are not going to rule the world, regardless how many carriers or nukes they have. Attempts to the contrary only can end in tragedy.

    When the American globalist era will be over, as it soon will, we will witness a balkanizing, disintegrating world everywhere, as the center will lack the means to hold everything together and smaller entities (Catalonia, Scotland, Flanders, California, Wyoming, etc.) will try to escape. What we are going to see that these smaller decentralized entities will be part of loosely organized ‘Huntingtonian civilizations’.

  7. BillT on Wed, 31st Oct 2012 1:34 am 

    It appears to me that the 190+ countries of the world will not become one country like the US elite want, but 200+ as existing countries break apart into ‘tribes’, as Arthur and others suggest.

    The US Empire is wobbling, and no longer has anything but a military to hold it together. A military that is getting tired of war.

    The US is a debtor nation that needs to import all of it’s necessities.
    It needs to borrow the money to pay and supply it’s military.
    It has no fertile farm land left, only lifeless dirt that relies on Monsanto and Dow to keep it growing zombie crops.
    It has to print money to keep the banking section from collapsing along with Wall Street.
    Every year it slides farther and farther down the list of successful countries in education, health, and welfare and soon will be a 3rd world country with children begging in the streets of it’s cities and people going through dumpsters for food.

  8. deedl on Wed, 31st Oct 2012 7:19 am 

    @Arthur, who said “Anybody can print money, but you cannot print oil.”

    This is true, but try to buy German industry products with cash you printed by yourself 😉

  9. Arthur on Wed, 31st Oct 2012 8:44 am 

    Deedl, maybe not if I do it, but the US FED prints far more money than is justified based on (non-existing) economic growth, and the dollar is still accepted in Germany.

  10. CJ on Wed, 31st Oct 2012 12:34 pm 

    Can we please get over WWII already, it’s been 70 f’n years. So sick of these geriatrics living in the past, move on so us youngsters can have a piece.

  11. Kenz300 on Wed, 31st Oct 2012 1:53 pm 

    Every country needs to develop a plan for greater energy self sufficiency. Germany is moving to increase its reliance on locally generated wind and solar energy for electricity production.

    Oil has a monopoly on transportation fuels and that needs to end. Bring on the electric, flex-fuel, hybrid, CNG, LNG and hydrogen fueled vehicles and diversify away from oil that needs to be imported.

    Biofuels can now be made from waste or trash. Landfills around the world can be converted to produce biofuels, energy and recycles raw materials for new products. This form of energy can produce local fuels and local jobs while dealing with the waste in a more sustainable manner than burying it.

    Having trading partners is all well and good. Becoming too reliant on foreign sources of energy can be dangerous. It is time to diversify the sources of energy and types of fuels used to power the country.

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