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Oil Glut Overshadows Geopolitical Risk In 2020


The risk of oil supply disruptions from around the world has diminished, and rising non-OPEC production provides a “solid base from which to react to any escalation in geopolitical tension.” In its January Oil Market Report, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said that there is plenty of oil sloshing around, despite the U.S. and Iran […]

IEA Says Iraq Oil Supplies Vulnerable


Oil supplies from Iraq, the Middle East’s second-biggest producer, are “potentially vulnerable” amid rising political risks in the country and the broader region, the International Energy Agency warned. Crude prices briefly soared to a three-month high above $70 a barrel last week as tensions between the U.S. and Iran erupted in neighboring Iraq, where America […]

OPEC December 2019 Oil Production Data

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All OPEC data for the charts below are from the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report OPEC crude oil production continued to slide in December.   OPEC production was down 161,000 barrels per day in December but that was after November production had been revised upward by 54,000 barrels per day. Angola had the largest […]

Saudi Aramco Chairman: Oil Industry Should Think In Decades


Energy transitions “take decades, even centuries” to complete, the chairman of the world’s largest oil company, Saudi Aramco, said at a conference on Monday, adding that the industry should continue to think in decades. Because complete energy transformations take such a long time to complete, the oil industry should continue to think in decades, Aramco’s […]

US oil production hits estimated record 13 million barrels per day


U.S. crude oil production rose to an estimated record-high of 13 million barrels per day last week as the nation’s energy growth crossed a new threshold, according to a weekly report from the U.S. Energy Department. The increase production comes as the nation’s stockpiles of commercial crude oil fell by 2.5 million barrels last week, […]

2020 Will Be A Crucial Year For Oil

2020 Will Be A Crucial Year For Oil thumbnail

It’s the start of a new year and a new decade, and the oil market is as unpredictable as ever. Will OPEC+ extend its cuts? Will U.S. shale finally grind to a halt? Is this the “year of the electric vehicle”? Here are 10 stories to watch in 2020. Shale debt, shale slowdown. The debt-fueled […]

U.S. Oil Production Is Competing Against Decline

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Summary U.S. oil output continued to increase in October 2019. Production reached a new high of 12,655 kb/d. The output of all tight oil basins was 8,165 kb/d in November and increased by 95 kb/d from 8,070 kb/d in October. 95% of the projected January output is required to offset the decline from all of […]

The decade that blew up energy predictions


America’s energy sources, like booming oil and crumbling coal, have defied projections and historical precedents over the last decade. Why it matters: It shows how change can happen rapidly and unexpectedly, even in an industry known to move gradually and predictably. With a new decade upon us, let’s look back at the last one’s biggest, […]

Why oil refining is a critical part of the energy industry

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It does not have the glamour of wildcatting in distant frontiers, nor the customer visibility of petrol stations, but oil refining is a critical part of the industry. It turns the gloopy black crude oil into the carefully tailored products, from petrol, diesel and jet fuel, to lubricants and feedstocks. A key part of Middle […]

How Clean Is Natural Gas?


When former Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz said in 2013 that the natural gas boom was helping America fight climate change, not everyone was convinced, with methane leaks cited as cause for concern. As it turns out, those concerns might be warranted, according to new research that takes a lot of the green out of our […]

Monetizing US Shale Deposits


On today’s doubleheader episode of Double Down, Max Keiser and Stacy Herbert talk to Chris Cook about the 2020 energy outlook. As  Saudi Arabia takes 1.5% of Saudi Aramco public, DOUBLE DOWN asks former energy market regulator, Chris Cook, whether or not this is the sign of peak oil. He says that, in fact, it […]

The Worrying Truth About Russia’s Oil Industry


The widespread adaptation of the combustion engine at the start of the 20th century propelled oil into becoming the world’s most important commodity. Resource-rich countries such as Russia were the beneficiaries of the new global energy order. Its predecessors, the Soviet Union and Imperial Russia, were already among the first and most important producers of […]

Episode 22: Stop Flaring Natural Gas


by Simon Lack Download file | Play in new window | Duration: 00:07:23 Subscribe: iTunes | Google Play | Spotify In this week’s podcast, Simon Lack explains why flaring of natural gas needs to stop

Africa To Supply Big Chunk Of Global Natural Gas By 2025?


Africa could provide as much a fifth of global demand for liquefied natural gas by 2025, up from 10% in 2018, due to huge investments in the sector and some recent major discoveries. The African Energy Chamber, a group of energy and mining companies in Africa, reported recently massive discoveries in Mozambique, Tanzania, Senegal and […]

Robert Rapier: America Is Not Yet A Net Crude Oil Exporter


Of all the developments to come out of the shale oil boom in the U.S., the idea that the U.S. could actually achieve energy independence seemed one of the most unlikely. After all, in late 2005 weekly net imports of crude oil and petroleum products had hit an all-time high above 14 million barrels per […]

Is US Oil Production Growth Slowing?

Is US Oil Production Growth Slowing? thumbnail

Summary There continues to be much speculation and information pointing to a potential slowing of US oil production. However, the latest production data from the EIA continues to point higher, albeit at a slower rate. Production of LTO continues to increase, while the number of rigs operating in the LTO basins continues to decrease. One […]

Momentous Change in US Crude Oil Market, with Global Impact


US exports of crude oil and petroleum products – this includes gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, naphtha, and many others – exceeded imports in September by 89,000 barrels a day, the EIA reported today, and so the US became a “net exporter” of crude oil and petroleum products for the first time on a monthly basis […]

Eastern Europe Is Turning Into An Energy Battleground


Bulgaria has agreed to allow NATO to use its Black Sea port for naval coordination efforts as tensions rise between the Western military alliance and Russia. The agreement was reached following a meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Bulgarian Prime Minister Boyko Borisov at the White House on November 25. NATO has bolstered its […]

US Gulf Set for Record 2020 With Oil Production

US Gulf Set for Record 2020 With Oil Production thumbnail

The U.S. Gulf of Mexico is positioned for another year of record oil production in 2020, according to Rystad Energy. The U.S. Gulf of Mexico is positioned for another year of record oil production in 2020, according to Norway-based energy research firm Rystad Energy. Deepwater projects will anchor the supply growth. The Gulf of Mexico’s […]

300 Million Barrels of Oil or Bust


Iran learned a very important lesson last week. It’s a lesson that Venezuela has painfully come to realize over the last 10 years. The oil you have underground is useless unless you can extract it. Until you get that resource out of the ground and into the pipeline, you might as well forget about it. […]

The Peak Oil Plateau Is Close


Summary Oil demand growth is flattening rapidly. Peak oil demand is likely to happen in the next five to 10 years. Borrowing has become very difficult, production is limited to cash flow. Oil prices are likely to rise in the intermediate term. Higher oil prices will spur the adoption of EVs and alternative energy. This […]

Keystone Pipeline leaks 383,000 gallons of oil into wetlands in second big spill over two years

Keystone Pipeline leaks 383,000 gallons of oil into wetlands in second big spill over two years thumbnail

A leak in the Keystone Pipeline has released an estimated 383,000 gallons of oil – about the size of an Olympic swimming pool – into the North Dakota wetlands. The leak is the second leak in two years in the 2,600 mile long pipeline, which carries oil from Alberta, Canada, all the way down to […]

North Slope oil production declined in September and October, cutting into state petroleum earnings


The trend of gradually declining output is expected to continue until several new projects now in development come on line. Fiord West, a satellite within the Alpine field, is expected to begin production in late 2020 with peak output estimated at 20,000 barrels per day, ConocoPhillips’ Lowman said. However, substantial new production is seen in […]

Shale Oil Pioneers Say the Boom is Ending


The days of relentless production growth from U.S. shale oil fields are ending, potentially aiding OPEC’s years-long effort to drain a worldwide supply glut, according to industry pioneers Scott Sheffield and Mark Papa. Investor calls for shale producers to shut down rigs and stop burning through cash are being heeded, Pioneer Natural Resources Co. Chief Executive Officer […]

U.K. Halts Fracking in England, Citing Quake Concerns

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Prime Minister Boris Johnson once hailed fracking as “glorious news for humanity,” and said the British government should “leave no stone unturned, or unfracked.” But in a major U-turn, Mr. Johnson’s government announced on Saturday that it would temporarily halt fracking in the only active site in Britain, in northwestern England. The move came after a […]

Texas Hit Hard By Shale Slowdown


Texas’ economy is perhaps the most vulnerable to oil price swings given its leading role in the country’s oil industry. Recently, as prices have remained low, talk has begun about the outlook for the state’s economy. According to a recent Reuters report, for example, smaller independent oil and gas producers in the Lone Star State […]

Will OPEC+ Extend the Cuts?

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OPEC+ will, at the very least, extend production curbs beyond the March 2020 deadline. That’s according to Stephen Brennock, an oil analyst at PVM Oil Associates, who said failure to do so would send oil prices “plunging into the abyss” and is not in line with the group’s “long-held commitment to stabilize the oil market”. Fitch […]

World ‘Awash’ in Oil as U.S. Sees Its Shale Boom Barreling Ahead


Global markets are “awash” in crude thanks to the surge in U.S. oil output, and the boom looks set to continue, U.S. Energy Secretary Rick Perry said in a Bloomberg TV interview. U.S. shale production has turned the world “on its head,” and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is “off a bit” in a report last […]

Report From Iran: The Country Moves Onward

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  Above, Ugo Bardi giving a talk at the University of Tehran, October 2019 Iran is a country that maintains something of the fascination it had in ancient times, when it was both fabulous and remote. In our times, it remained somewhat remote, but also something that couldn’t be ignored as it went through a […]

Blowout: Rachel Maddow


Charismatic frackers. Poisoned pets and people. Creating earthquakes in Oklahoma. Sleeper Russian agents living in sleepy American neighborhoods. An unflappable oil executive and future secretary of state. Russian thugs. Deepwater Horizon. More Russians. A corrupt dictator’s son who loves spending his oil “earnings” on everything but especially Michael Jackson memorabilia. Rachel Maddow takes on the […]

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PO Real Time

I often hear that #peakoil has been debunked because fracking is now providing fuel. That's like saying that food shortage has been debunked because we still have rats to eat. We wouldn't touch fracking with a bargepole if yesterday's cheap, easy, sweet oil wasn't so depleted.

China's U.S. crude buying binge to set off global sweet oil shake-up… #peakoil #crude

@GretaThunberg Fossil Lobby is big and everywhere they are pretending to transit to fossil free energy but in real they are only doing fig leaf politics and pretending they do enough to prevent energy decline and climate chaos #peakoil #KeepItInTheGround