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a community peak oil portal
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| OPEC May `Tear Apart' If Saudis Shun Supply Cut, Bernstein Says |
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(Bloomberg) -- OPEC divisions could ``tear the organization apart'' as its biggest producer, Saudi Arabia, pursues a more moderate course than other members calling for supply cuts to revive oil prices, a London analyst said.
``Saudi Arabia has not joined the OPEC hawks, led by Venezuela and Iran, in calling for another supply cut, and we think we could be witnessing the beginning of the end for the organization,'' Neil McMahon, a London-based analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co., wrote in a report today.
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| Oil plunges to 13-month low on global slowdown |
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NEW YORK - The stunning collapse in oil markets accelerated Friday, with a barrel plunging below $78 as investors grow more pessimistic about a mushrooming global economic crisis.
A barrel of oil hasn't been this cheap in 13 months — a rare silver lining for consumers amid a rapidly imploding financial landscape.
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| Credit crunch may hit oil refinery output, trade |
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LONDON (Reuters via COMTEX) -- Liquidity problems in the global financial market may reduce oil product trade as refiners find it more difficult to obtain letters of credit and the number of trading counterparties falls, the IEA said on Friday.
With the letters of credit needed to facilitate exports subject to rising interest rates, refineries are finding it hard to maximise the value of their production, the Paris-based International Energy Agency said in its monthly oil market report.
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| The meltdown's silver lining - cheap oil |
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With experts predicting a global economic slowdown, oil prices could fall to $60 a barrel, or lower - with gas prices soon to follow.
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- As the world loses confidence in the foundations of its economic system, the silver lining may be that oil prices are about to get a whole lot cheaper.
In a new report Friday, Deutsche Bank uses a number of interesting yard sticks to suggest crude is currently way too expensive and may fall to the $60 a barrel range as the economy worsens.
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| Economic Meltdown in America Saves the World from Peak Oil |
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It had seemed abundantly clear over the year beginning mid 2007 that rampant economic development in less developed countries, along with the maintenance of economic development in more developed countries, spooked the oil markets. After all both China and India were growing economically at around 10% level.
The escalating rise in demand and the dramatic spikes in oil price to almost $150 a barrel in July 2008, doubled the price from mid 2007. It seemed this was all a manifestation of peak oil playing out on the world stage of oil markets confronting rising demand producing dramatic oil scarcity.
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| As China slows, commodities may feel outsize pain |
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HONG KONG (Reuters) - An unscripted slowdown in China's economy may take an exaggerated toll on commodity markets as demand from its construction sector and export-oriented manufacturers, which drove prices sky high, falls back to earth.
As the financial crisis threatens to sink the global economy into recession, the question of China's future demand for oil, coal, copper and iron ore has taken on new importance for traders more accustomed to pricing in unstoppable growth.
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| Richard Heinberg: The End of Growth |
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Several of us who have been watching the world oil production and depletion picture closely for the last few years are now concluding that the world has now seen the highest rate of production ever. Matt Simmons agrees: It’s all downhill from here.
The worldwide financial crisis, and the decline in available energy, mean that we may also have seen the final year of aggregate world economic growth.
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| US DOT to Establish New National Network of Marine Highways for Cargo |
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skyemoor writes: The US Department of Transportation (DOT) will establish a new national network of short sea transportation routes to help move cargo across the country in order to cut congestion on some of the nation’s busiest roads.
The Department’s “Marine Highways” initiative calls for the selection and designation of key maritime inland and coastal maritime corridors as marine highways. These routes will be eligible for up to $25 million in existing federal capital construction funds. The communities involved will continue to qualify for up to $1.7 billion in federal highway congestion mitigation and air quality (CMAQ) funds.
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| IEA cuts world oil demand forecast on weak economy |
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LONDON (Reuters) - The International Energy Agency (IEA) on Friday cut its oil demand growth forecast for 2008 to the lowest rate in 15 years, citing economic weakness and "a spiralling liquidity crisis."
In a monthly report, the agency, adviser to 28 industrialised countries, reduced its 2008 demand growth forecast by 250,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 440,000 bpd. This represents a 0.5 percent growth rate -- the lowest in percentage terms since 1993.
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Jeff Rubin, chief economist and strategist at CIBC World Markets, has seen his forecast for oil to hit $200 (U.S.) by 2012 take a beating as the price of crude oil goes down, down, down. It was last seen at about $87 a barrel, down more than 40 per cent from its record high in July.
In his updated strategy, Mr. Rubin maintains a bullish outlook, arguing that the fundamentals that drove up oil during its remarkable run are still in place. Speculators may be gone, he said, but the marginal cost of a new barrel of oil is between $90 and $100. As well, the demand for oil has been driven mostly by developing economies, especially China, and not the G7, where economies are contracting and oil demand was stagnant even during good times.
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| Brown says OPEC output cut would be wrong |
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LONDON (Reuters) - Prime Minister Gordon Brown said on Friday it would be "wrong" for the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to cut production just as oil prices are falling.
"I'm concerned when I hear that the OPEC countries are meeting, or are about to meet, to discuss cutting production -- in other words, making the price potentially higher than it should be," Brown told reporters.
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| The methane time bomb and the Wall St meltdown |
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billg writes: October 10,2008----Recent reports of enhanced methane (CH4) leaks off the eastern Siberian coast (about 100 times the background level of about 1780 parts per billion CH4) and off Svalbard, Norway have been overshadowed in the media by the collapse of the global credit bubble.
At the root of both is a common thread, deregulation, including open-ended permits to pollute the atmosphere and the oceans, little-regulated financial systems and economic globalisation, representing failure by governments to protect the life and welfare of their hapless populations.
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| Carbon tax seen as best way to slow global warming |
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 NEW YORK (Reuters) - Climate taxes, not cap and trade markets alone, will lead to the vast technological changes the world's energy system needs to fight global warming, a top U.S. economist said on Thursday.
Cap and trade has emerged as the dominant attempt to slow global warming. Global deals in permits to emit greenhouse gas emissions have hit nearly $65 billion a year. The European Union, under the Kyoto Protocol, has embraced cap and trade since 2005 and voluntary markets have developed in the United States, the developed world's top carbon polluter.
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| It's Time to Prepare for Peak Oil |
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 Nothing quite hits the nations hip pocket like home loan interest rate rises and spiralling petrol prices. But while interest rates generally fluctuate within a range of a few per cent, and go towards paying off a significant family asset that appreciates in value in the longterm, petrol is a disposable commodity burned chiefly in order to get to work from our sprawling outer suburbs. Petrol prices have been skyrocketing this year. Cue electoral unrest.
But the recent spike that sent petrol prices to $1.70 per litre is merely a taste of things to come. Indeed the CSIRO-led Future Fuels Forum predicted in July that petrol prices could reach $8 per litre within 10 years.
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| Oil price unlikely to derail biofuels boom: Bodman |
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 WASHINGTON (Reuters) - A nearly 40 percent drop in crude oil prices since July will not discourage U.S. research and demand for renewable fuels, Energy Secretary Sam Bodman said on Tuesday.
"I don't think we've seen anything that would suggest that oil prices are going to be so low that they are going to diminish interest in renewable energy," Bodman told reporters during a visit to the U.S. Agriculture Department to unveil a plan to better meet future demand for biofuels.
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