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Page added on April 29, 2014

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Resources will be needed to support nation

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Recently, I received duplicate mailings from Zero Population Growth, an organization that is anxious about running out of resources to support a rapidly multiplying world population. In several countries, the majority of people barely have enough for one good meal a day, yet the birth rate continues to rise.

In the past, many children never reached age 5 but reproduction increased and birth control wasn’t considered or strictly forbidden. Previously, radio programs and TV occasionally covered the perceived problem. In most developed countries, jobs were available at most levels of ability and education. Thus, population growth seemed to be a subject of little interest.

I pay attention to obituaries lately because my contemporaries, friends and relatives are leaving this world at an accelerated rate. Sometimes, numbers of descendants cause me concern. Religion played a part but not the same religion in each case. The obituaries remind us that no effective birth control methods were available until the late 1950s.

These numbers caused me to consider the amount of resources needed to support each such family in my generation and since. Consider food production, energy use, purchase of durable goods, automobiles and home building, to name a few. Statisticians enjoy figuring this out. To me, it’s a staggering prospect.

In the present era, we know the costs of higher education and training and are also aware of the dwindling number of jobs. This has had some effect on the number of children per family and the acceptance of birth control across the board.

Robotic production is constantly being applied to new industries and even professions that necessitate human workers cannot constantly raise the productivity level without a breakdown.

When we examine the finances of Social Security and Medicare, the falling number of full-time, well-paid employees across the board becomes a problem. The Economist, in March, said: “We know, going forward, that population growth is likely to slow. Projections from the UN indicate that global growth will average 0.7 percent a year between 2012 and 2050, and then slow to 0.2 percent between 2050 and 2100.”

Social Security in the past averaged 10 full-time workers to support each retiree but only three such workers will be providing this support in the near future. The cap on the amount of annual income subject to FICA tax changes very little each year, although the top 10 percent of workers now receive much higher wages and salaries.

When the president proposes raising the cap, cries of alarm and prophecies of disaster rise immediately from the few affected by the higher cap. This year, top earners will pay a little more into SS and Medicare. The tax should be indexed to inflation as has often been proposed.

When Social Security started, we didn’t have Medicare, which is growing rapidly with baby-boom and other labeled generations retiring and most of us living far longer than original calculations for earlier generations. Rather than cutting payments to doctors and hospitals, we should be laying out plans for Medicare financing well into the future and increasing diligence over Medicare fraud and unnecessary services.

This increased financing can’t be done on the backs of those barely scraping by in retirement. Increasing co-pays and additional percentages of partially covered procedures adds up, and for some may mean the difference between adequate meals or housing.

Eventually, we must all pull together for justice, fairness and prosperity in this country, do away with hiding personal assets overseas and corporate avoidance of paying taxes. If we don’t, this country will no longer be a dominant leader in the world.

I have only dealt with population issues in this country and I don’t endorse returning to the days of huge families. We must be aware of how this issue worldwide will affect all of us, as resources such as fisheries and agriculture shrink due to climate change, and world population increases. A recent article claimed we may need two earth-sized planets to supply food for the expected rise in population in this century.

Please consider this when you support causes or vote for candidates.

postcrescent.com



12 Comments on "Resources will be needed to support nation"

  1. bobinget on Tue, 29th Apr 2014 9:37 am 

    “Social Security in the past averaged 10 full-time workers to support each retiree but only three such workers will be providing this support in the near future”.
    (a contradiction coming from ZeroPop?)

    Even Republicans can count. Establishment types are
    pushing for at least the appearance of an immigration policy.
    Farm Lobbies, at least the ones in Costal states, are begging Republican Congressmen for labor to pick this year’s harvests. Tea Baggers won’t approve.
    Stalemate.

    There is not a county in California that is not in sever
    drought. Mexicans with temp cards will go east for work. Once there, they may not return to CA or Mexico.

    How many of the four million Syrian refugees have we resettled in the US? (0)

    http://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2014/jan/29/where-are-the-syrian-refugees-going

  2. Kenz300 on Tue, 29th Apr 2014 1:27 pm 

    Quote — “In several countries, the majority of people barely have enough for one good meal a day, yet the birth rate continues to rise.”

    “We must be aware of how this issue worldwide will affect all of us, as resources such as fisheries and agriculture shrink due to climate change, and world population increases. A recent article claimed we may need two earth-sized planets to supply food for the expected rise in population in this century.

    Please consider this when you support causes or vote for candidates.”

    —————————

    Family planning services needs to be available to all that want it. Endless population growth is not sustainable.

    Vote for candidates that support women.
    Seems like the RepubliCON party wants to see women barefoot and pregnant cooking dinner for their man rather than an equal partner with equal opportunities for growth, employment and education.

  3. forbin on Tue, 29th Apr 2014 2:45 pm 

    “Social Security in the past averaged 10 full-time workers to support each retiree but only three such workers will be providing this support in the near future”.

    point to consider – this arguement is plainly false .

    Why ? because you assume that its “workers” who pay for all that Social care. Its not the case here in the UK and I doubt, with your lesser support , its the case in the US.

    consider – if there’s 3 workers instead of 10 – who’s got the money to buy all that stuff ?

    The rich ?

    there will be a “change” .

    I leave it to others to figure out which or what “change” they like best 😉

    Forbin

  4. tonnes on Tue, 29th Apr 2014 2:57 pm 

    I leave it to others to figure out which or what “change” they like best 😉

  5. J-Gav on Tue, 29th Apr 2014 4:17 pm 

    Kenz – You may be right about the shreds of what’s left of the former Republican party but “vote for whoever supports women?” Like Hillary Clinton? The problem there of course is that you can say what you want during an election campaign and do the opposite once in office, n’est-ce pas? Because occupying the people with gender and race issues is a lot easier than telling the truth about our predicament, isn’t it?

    Forbin – Yes, there will be a change for sure. Are you thinking lamp-posts for some of our elites? Hmmm, not unwarranted of course but we may have better things to do in prep for that change than continually pointing the finger at the rip-off artists currently running the show (which I’m not at all accusing you of doing – you can leave that to me and a few others here). “Change” means a lot of different things to different people but in our case today it will have to be systemic to make a dent. That means pain no matter how you slice it.

  6. noobtube on Tue, 29th Apr 2014 5:16 pm 

    Contraception available to all those that want it.

    Hmmm….

    so the natural world should follow the example of the artificial West.

    The West has all the contraception it wants, yet produces the most waste, trash and pollution.

    So, I guess the plan is to turn the natural world into the same mess as the United States, Canada, Europe, Australia, and Japan.

    What could go wrong?

  7. Davey on Tue, 29th Apr 2014 5:31 pm 

    Noob, climb back into your hole. Your scaring the kids.

  8. Yeti on Tue, 29th Apr 2014 6:52 pm 

    “The West has all the contraception it wants, yet produces the most waste, trash and pollution.”
    So contraception is to blame??

  9. Boat on Tue, 29th Apr 2014 9:12 pm 

    In the US there isn’t a party to vote for when it comes to population. The politicians are behind the public once again. Without immigration,legal and illegal the US would be a net slow contraction in population. We still bring in people for growth for growth’s sake without regards to sustainability. We still give out tax breaks for having children. An educated people will respond to economic conditions by having more or less kids. To bad huge swaths of the world aren’t educated. And to bad most politicians don’t get it.
    I understand the problem with fraud and unnecessary services but a huge part of the problem is the technology for life saving procedures and quality of life procedures just cost to much for the money collected. A base health care system is needed for generics and broken bones etc but we simply can’t afford the cost of organ transplants, hips and knee replacements etc. To compete globally we need health care to be 10% of GDP instead of 18%. The harsh realities of life.

  10. Makati1 on Tue, 29th Apr 2014 11:04 pm 

    Yep, S.S and the Meds have a fast approaching end. Either it will be modified so that dog food equals ground beef in the COLA, or it will be frozen and inflation will eat it alive. Or, when the crash happens the social safety nets will just be disposed of as the dollar becomes a 3rd world currency.

    Speaking of 3rd world, I’m in the States for a two week visit to family. The only bad airports are in the states. I saw 3 of them today. Decay is setting in and the way they are laid out is very inefficient and not mindful of the customers. Oh, they appear clean and shiny, but don’t look too close. The intercity planes are beat up and worn out. Broken lights, arm rests and more.
    Leaving via Detroit. That should be interesting.

    I did luck out and get a US customs officer that goes to the Philippines and loves it. We compared San Miguel and Bud and I actually enjoyed my check-in at JFK.

  11. Makati1 on Tue, 29th Apr 2014 11:08 pm 

    BTW: Chain Generic Drugstores are as prevalent as the chain regular drug stores in the Ps. You can buy generics at 1/2 to 1/3, or less, cost of the brand names and they are equal in effect.

  12. Kenz300 on Thu, 1st May 2014 11:46 am 

    Too many people and too few resources.

    Birth Control Pictures: Types, Side Effects, Costs, & Effectiveness

    http://www.webmd.com/sex/birth-control/ss/slideshow-birth-control-options?ecd=wnl_day_050114&ctr=wnl-day-050114_ld-stry_2&mb=dtfWIHfXZxtqE9pudELmLeHnVev1imbCq%2f0xB3s74mA%3d

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