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Page added on February 25, 2012

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Oil Disruption is Zooming and Global Panic Awaits

Public Policy

Oil is up to $110 and it is on a roll.

The last time oil went in this direction, it caused a slowing in the global economy that led to a global financial panic.

What’s causing it?  Peak oil, Chinese growth and lots of potential oil disruption.  Pretty much the same factors that caused it last time.

The pipeline disruption is a little different this time.


The headline player is Iran due to its nuclear program.  But Iran isn’t actually disrupting the production system, they are merely making threats.

If you unwind this a bit, it’s pretty clear that the countries actually sending shockwaves of fear through the markets are Israel and the US.  However, of the partners in this relationship, Israel is in the drivers seat.  They are calling the shots on the timing of an attack on Iran and they will take the world along for a ride.

The funny thing, to set this entire disruption event in motion, the Israeli attack on Iran doesn’t have to be that big.  It just needs to be public and able blow something up.

NOTE:  IF you start seeing people with strong connections to the Israeli government buying up oil futures contracts for the “Widows and Orphans fund”, start buying like crazy.


Nigeria’s MEND (Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta) is back for the first time since the 2009 amnesty-payoff.  The government recently decided to stop the big (although small $$ compared to the amount top gov’t and corporate players in the country are paying themselves) payments to MEND guerrillas and they have resumed operations.

They are making attacks again on foreign oil company pipelines.  Last time they were able to hit nearly 1 m barrels a day of disruption.  We’ll see if they can hit that level again.

Another factor is oil theft.  Bunkering on the pipelines of Shell and other foreign oil firms operating in the Delta is reaching a new level of dynamism.   The number of bunkering valves inserted into company pipelines is up to 4 a kilometer!  Lots of money is being made at the grass roots level.

Global Heart Attack

This is shaping up to be an amazingly violent global heart attack.  Another in a long line, with more yet to come.  Worse, everytime it happens, we get weaker and the global elites get stronger.   We still have the 16% unemployment due to the last one while the fortunes of the global 0.001% zoomed.

You should be looking for a long term solution.  Something that will allow you to get out of a global system in a flat spin.

What is that solution?  A Resilient Community. If you don’t know what that means, read something I wrote today called, “What is a Resilient Community?” These communities have the potential to provide you a much better quality of life in a decade than you have today, across nearly every measure.

So don’t wait. Start small.  Get smart.  Join our online community on by signing up for the free newsletter.   You might even be able to find other people there you would be interested in starting a community with.

Global Guerrillas

5 Comments on "Oil Disruption is Zooming and Global Panic Awaits"

  1. jaime on Sat, 25th Feb 2012 1:50 pm 

    people of the world,work with what is here,where you are. the times for goverments and control are almost gone to never come back .see it with you own eyes.

  2. Kenz300 on Sat, 25th Feb 2012 3:11 pm 

    Every country needs to develop a plan to balance population, energy, resources and jobs. We need to move to a more sustainable future.

  3. Anthony on Sat, 25th Feb 2012 4:05 pm 

    Fuck whoever wrote this article. Iran needs to be bombed into oblivion. Their “leader” is a psychopath who needs to be killed. To blame oil prices on Obama is…………………. quite true however….. He wants high oil. He is a socialist who needs to be euthanized.

  4. Lampert Scratch on Sat, 25th Feb 2012 11:14 pm 

    Yes, Anthony, Iranian prez Oldmandinnerjacket is a psycho, but his people are just people like you and me and don’t need to be ‘bombed to oblivion’. Obama and the rest of ’em on both sides of the aisle are fascist psychos and probly need bombed to oblivion too, but we’re just people tryin to live.

  5. BillT on Sun, 26th Feb 2012 2:25 am 

    Anthony, are you prepared to sacrifice YOUR family to a 3rd world war and poverty for the rest of their lives, IF they survive? Be careful what you ask for as it may just happen, but not the way you think. You obviously have no idea what you are talking about. Zero knowledge of how the world works. Learn and then come back and tell us you want World War 3.

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