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Kunstler: Perturbations Anon

Public Policy

Happy Labor Day everybody. Forward from here, things get jiggy. The nation faces a pile-up of events as we turn the corner on summer and head into the spook-house of autumn.

This will be the week when the reeking after-effects of Harvey’s journey through Houston become super-vivid. It’s going to be hot-hot-hot there all week, perfect conditions for mold to creep through untold square-footage of soggy sheetrock and plenty of nutriment in the toxic gumbo of lingering standing water for mosquitoes and bacteria to breed like crazy. Bigger surprises will be waiting for some:

HOUSTON (CNN) — A Texas homeowner returned to his flood-marred home Friday in the aftermath of Hurricane Harvey to a shocking surprise: a 10-foot gator in his living room. Brian Foster made the discovery while assessing how badly the water had damaged his house near Lake Houston, north of Houston….

The news media are already calling Harvey the costliest storm in US history, with estimates running to $180 billion. But damage assessments are incomplete for highways, surface roads, bridges, railroad tracks, water and sewer systems, public buildings, dams (Addicks and Barker), natural gas terminals, and port facilities, not to mention homes and business structures. Texas is the nation’s number one cotton producer and the storm blew away many temporary cotton bale storage modules following a bumper harvest. Corn, soybeans, and cattle were also affected.

The Colonial Pipeline’s hookups to the refineries west of Lake Charles, Louisiana, won’t reopen fully until Tuesday at the earliest. The pipeline conveys 40 percent of the gasoline consumed from Atlanta to Washington, D.C. and extends up to the New York metro area. By next weekend Hurricane Irma looks like she’ll be slamming into the US Atlantic coast somewhere between Jacksonville and the Carolina Outer Banks as a category 3 or 4 event. There’s even talk today of possible cat 5. Will there be enough gasoline on hand for the folks at risk to evacuate? Stand by on that.

Much of western North America is burning up. British Columbia closed off its rivers to fisherman because 680 wildfires had broken out across the Canadian province this summer and 73 were still listed as “out-of-control” on Sunday. San Francisco set a record high temperature of 106 this past weekend. Down in Los Angeles, the county endured the largest wildfire in its history. The La Tuna Canyon blaze scorched 7,000 acres on the edge of Burbank. This morning it was at 30 percent containment after some Sunday rain showers.

Okay, that’s just the weather. You surely couldn’t fail to miss the weekend’s big news story out of North Korea: an underground hydrogen bomb test that set off a 6.3 magnitude earthquake felt across the border in China. Kim Jung-un was photographed with an alleged missile-ready weapon capable of inflicting an electro-magnetic pulse (EMP) attack on the USA (though in the photo the device looked sort of like a 1938 washing machine barely capable of laundering a load of dishtowels). In theory, such an EMP could fry every electrical device over a large US region, from George Foreman grills to your car’s ignition system to the whole electric grid. After that, nothing works and would take years to fix and there’s a fair chance that nothing would ever work again. Disturbing, huh?

The Sunday Cable News chat-fests were full of politicians and assorted experts saying there was “no good option” available to deal with the North Korean threat. I’m not so sure about that because why would our military reveal a workable option if they had one? Mr. Trump, our (ahem) president made the point explicitly a dozen times during the election campaign that it would be foolish to reveal our military plans in advance of any action. Perhaps he meant it. You’d also have to suppose that computer jocks in the US military / intel sub-basements of northern Virginia are working around the clock to find some way to turn Kim into a platter of smoldering bulgogi by wireless command — and we won’t hear about it until after he’s eaten by his former flunkies and lackeys.

Finally, there are the accumulating hazards kludging up the sputtering engine of the US economy. Houston’s travails will take the GDP down a notch to Q1 2018 and Irma might take it negative. The oft-referenced debt-ceiling problem remains unresolved, and now it appears to have entailed the sticky problem of Hurricane damage relief — and who knows if Houston will ever recover no matter how much money is thrown at it. Dragging out the debt ceiling issue would lead to a chain of government defaults on its obligations, problems for US Treasury paper in the bond markets, and pressure on the dollar.

There are few shelters from the financial storm. In an emergency, the Federal Reserve might take a U-turn back to QE mode. That “liquidity” (money created out of thin air) would rush in to further inflate the over-stuffed stock markets. But without a QE pump, the markets may have already suckered in the last remaining liquidity pools on the buy-side, leaving the sell-side an empty echo-chamber if and when the market mood changes. Gold and silver have already launched into a zoom cycle, finally defeating the years-long efforts by interested parties, shall we say, to squash them in the paper markets. Bitcoin has been zooming all summer. I’m not a fan of the crypto-currencies. They are figments of the server farms, and they’re reproducing wildly like digital yeasts, and in the end they are at the mercy of those computer servers and an electrical grid that is less reliable than even economists might imagine.

There’s always excitement in the quickeningly chill air of fall, back to school, back to work, and back to what passes for reality these in these late days of empire. Finally, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Special Counsel Robert Mueller stepped up with a surprisingly sudden bill of particulars in the quest to pry Mr. Trump out of the just-redecorated oval office. The Deep State longs for that fatal lever, but it would come at a time when so many other perturbations are shaking things loose, the satisfaction might not last long.


40 Comments on "Kunstler: Perturbations Anon"

  1. Darrell Cloud on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 7:30 am 

    I’m suffering a bit of end of the world fatigue. Sitting here in central Florida watching the projected path of Irma swing back and forth is tiresome. The storm pretty much like everything else Kunstler talks about is out of my control. We know it’s coming. We just don’t know where it is going to hit and how. We have made the normal preparations. I think I’ll go mow the yard.

  2. Sissyfuss on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 8:29 am 

    Kuntskis’ shaudenfreund grows exponentially with each missive. I fear the boys ecstasy of doom will overwhelm his ability to convey the predicaments unwinding. Life is good for the old Kunt.

  3. Cloggie on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 10:28 am 



    The lack of spelling abilities never seizes to amaze me.

  4. Davy on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 12:07 pm 

    clog, actually sissy is a great speller just maybe not in German.

  5. Davy on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 12:08 pm 

    “Monster” Irma Is Now The Strongest Atlantic Hurricane On Record, Florida Preps For “Catastrophic System”

    “Only three Category 5 hurricanes have hit the contiguous 48 U.S. states, Henson told Bloomberg. The Labor Day Hurricane of 1935 that devastated the Florida Keys, Hurricane Camille in 1969 and Hurricane Andrew that cut across Florida in 1992. Andrew was originally classified as a Category 4 storm only to be upgraded years later after further analysis. “It is obviously a rare breed,” Henson said. “We are in rare territory.” Update 2: While few are willing to admit it yet, according to meteorologist Ryan Maye, Hurricane Irma is still intensifying, with winds up to 155-knots (180 mph) and that extrapolating Saffir-Simpson scale, 158-knots would be Category 6.”

  6. joe on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 12:18 pm 

    Well for anyone here from Florida I hope you guys are ok and don’t get hit badly by this storm, if you have to face it try to get out. I will be praying for you guys. After Harvey America does not need this.

  7. Cloggie on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 12:18 pm 

    clog, actually sissy is a great speller just maybe not in German

    I’m just having a little fun with Siss.

    Give me a brake. 😉

  8. Davy on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 12:23 pm 

    “A War With North Korea Could Send Oil Prices Skyrocketing”

    “An open military conflict in Northern Asia would disrupt more than a third of global seaborne crude oil trade, Wood Mackenzie warned last week amid yet another escalation between North Korea, its neighbors, and the U.S. Such a conflict would cripple North Asia’s production and refining capacity, the consultancy said. Some 65 percent of Asia’s crude oil refining capacity is located in China, Japan, and South Korea, so the effects of an open war would be far-reaching and potentially long-lasting. The most pressing question, then, is how likely such an open conflict is.”

    “A recent analysis by SBS News’ Kelsey Munro looks into the two basic scenarios: accept a nuclear North Korea, or prevent it from becoming nuclear as soon as possible. Geopolitics experts seem to be split on which scenario is the more sensible one to follow. On the one hand, Munro notes, some researchers believe that accepting North Korea’s nuclear capability would prevent a war that would result in hundreds of thousands of casualties and disrupt the Asian economy. This would be a conventional war, since the chances of success for a tactical nuclear strike seem to be too slim to be comfortable with. On the other hand, acceptance of a nuclear Pyongyang will in all probability lead to other countries in the region going nuclear, ultimately pushing the world closer to a nuclear war as it would be that much harder to exercise any pressure on North Korea after it has solidified its second-strike capability.”

  9. Cloggie on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 12:30 pm 

    The new situation in Syria:

    The big question is: now that ISIS is almost gone, will Assad confront the Kurds? Or will he use them as a buffer with Turkey and will he let the Kurds use their independent territory in Syria and Iraq as a springboard for a new large Kurdish state, including SE-Turkey? In other words: “beer and popcorn time” for Assad?

  10. Cloggie on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 12:32 pm 

    Oops, wrong map.

  11. Theedrich on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 2:07 pm 

    Granted, North Korea is vicious.  But it takes two to tango.  Its partner in this dance is the U.S., against which the NorKs are protecting themselves by developing nukes.  In America itself, one hears only propaganda demonizing the North’s regime and its leader.  On Monday, 2017 September 4, the American UN ambassador, Nimrata “Nikki” Randhawa Haley (anchor baby of an Indian American Sikh family from Punjab, India), threatened the DPRK with war, even while claiming that “War is never something the United States wants.”  This is a typical lie in a tissue of mendacity that reaches back almost to the founding of the nation.  In fact, all of America’s wars have been voluntary, as any serious student can discover for himself or herself.  The nation is not, and never has been, Switzerland.

    The American elites constantly blather about “international law.”  It so happens that said “international law” has been largely designed, initiated and enforced by the U.S. with its determination to dominate the globe.  But the NorKs are not fools like the American mushroom populace and its groupthink media brainwashers.  The Russians have pointed out that the DPRK will eat grass rather than give up its nuclear weapons.  America’s “international law” is a farce, a hypocritical pretext used to justify crushing others.

    But it serves the interests of the DeepState to whip up war hysteria in order to divert the populace from the perversion of American culture and demography by the elites.  If the end were truly to calm passions and make peace, the U.S. would have provided the North what it asked for years ago:  light-water reactors to produce energy (and which cannot be used to make bombs).  It would also allow the current civilian trade between North Korean citizens and China to continue, since many of those citizens, traveling to China, come back with more personal wealth and ideas of freer culture than they had previously known, a process which has been slowly changing North Korea from within despite its tyrannical government.  The United States would also negotiate one-on-one with that government, and abandon its arrogant insistence on saving face by making unconditional demands.  And it would stop the insane military provocations of the North, muscle-flexing which makes good media copy, but increases the chances of disastrous miscalculations on both sides.

    It is said that the U.S. cyber warriors are working on electronic means to cause NorK missiles (especially ICBMs) to reverse course and, once launched, return to their launching areas and devastate them.  (This capability may have already been achieved.)  It is highly unlikely that the DPRK will, on its own, start a war.  However murderous its regime, it is not suicidal.  Moreover, its seems that the Chinese government has communicated through low-level sources that, if North Korea initiates a war, China will not intervene;  but if America and South Korea (the Republic of Korea, or ROK) attack first, it will.

    From this we can see that the policy of the United States is to provoke the DPRK into attacking first, the way Yankee demigod Franklin D. Roosevelt did by ensnaring the Japanese into attacking Pearl Harbor in 1941, so that he and his murderous entourage would have an excuse for entering WW II through a “back door.”  Washington could even pretend that Kim Jong Un had crossed some “red line” (i.e., by inventing a “Tonkin Gulf” incident) and attack pre-emptively.  This is a tried and true American trap for those the Yankee Empire wishes to destroy.

    Nonetheless, it is also possible that the North Korean regime will have learned the lessons of history, will refrain from any suicidal Pearl-Harbor-style attacks, and will let the U.S. simply stew in its own juice as The Empire slowly disintegrates.

  12. Dredd on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 2:24 pm 

    The bleep goes on.

  13. Apneaman on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 2:49 pm 

    Forget Korea: Irma is the Existential Threat to America

    “Before Harvey hit, FEMA was bankrupt, by any normal measure, it was holding $20 billion in debt that it has no possible way to repay. The fact that this debt is to the US government does not alter the fact that it is debt which, if not repaid, could ruin the deeply indebted creditor. Now, the governor of Texas says his state will need $120 billion to rebuild.

    So what happens now if, in addition to Houston and southeast Texas, we lose Miami and much of the Atlantic Coast? While continuing the endless wars in Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria, and maybe starting one with Korea? While cutting taxes for the rich and famous? And, let’s not forget, building the Wall.”

    It was denial and deniers who have always been the biggest threat to the US.

  14. Cloggie on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 2:54 pm 

    Perhaps North-Korea and not the South-China Sea is going to be the initiation point of a possible US-Chinese conflict.

  15. Sissyfuss on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 3:02 pm 

    Clogarella, I went with spell checks rendition even though mine apparently was correct.My father was an English teacher who had me reading Shakespeare at 3. D. H. Lawrence is my favorite literary figure whom I’m sure you find scatologicallly distasteful. Yourconcern for my grammatical impeccability is most heartening. Didn’t know you cared so much.

  16. Cloggie on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 3:02 pm 

    “Nikki Haley” knows who her masters are and what is expected from her:

    Nikki and the US foreign policy chieftain Richard Haass of the CFR. Nikki can do no wrong:

  17. Cloggie on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 3:05 pm 

    Yourconcern for my grammatical impeccability is most heartening. Didn’t know you cared so much.

    You corrected me once with seize/cease. I will never forget that humiliation for the rest of my life. I hate

  18. joe on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 4:20 pm 

    Cloggie, it would seem obvious that a deal has been struck between the Syrians and Kurds vis a vis independence however it’s a complex issue because the US has also backed the Kurds and have remained publicly silent on that issue but so has Syria. My guess is that the US will do the old Potomac 2 step and shaft the Kurds while Assad gasses them or whatever it is he does. The point is that Kurdish independence requires the break up of Turkey and so the politics simply moves closer to Europe not further away. Turkey, ever the sick man of Europe, must be forced into either a war with the Kurds or civil war between jihadis it has encouraged since the Bosnia war either way the issue of the power of extremists must be confronted or else they will take over and fighting isis will have been for nothing. Erdogan is not likely to help the US much in the politics ahead, he can be relied on however to be pragmatic and serve himself.

  19. Cloggie on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 4:22 pm 

    For the adherents of the “cancer monkey” world view:

  20. Cloggie on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 4:30 pm 

    Here a description of Assad-Kurdish (“Rojava”) relationship:

    Fighting between Assad and Kurds did happen, but was rare. They even cooperated sometimes against the Turks in Aleppo.

    Such Syrian government-YPG/SDF cooperation has been described by The Economist as a “tacit alliance”.

    The Kurds have said that they do not seek independence but want a Syrian federation, with high degree of Kurdish autonomy.

    Assad has stated that he wants every inch of former Syrian territory back, which btw does not exclude a federation.

  21. Anonymouse1 on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 5:31 pm 

    Cloggen-fraud, why dont you grab your walker, shuffle on on down the nearest Mossad, CIA, MI6 office, and sign up with the kurds? If the kurds dont shoot you first, you could bore the Syrian and Russian forces right off the battlefield.

    Greater Israel needs you cloggen-fraud, your ‘talents’ (cough) are being wasted here.

  22. Apneaman on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 5:34 pm 

    The BBC’s Climate Denialism: Coverage Of Hurricane Harvey And The South Asian Floods

    “The frailty of ‘civilisation’ and the attempts to cope with psychological changes in the human condition as a result of the catastrophe are laid bare. It is a frightening surreal vision of the human predicament by a master novelist. At one point, one of the characters is asked about his life before the apocalypse. He answers, ‘I’m afraid I remember nothing. The immediate past is of no interest to me.’

    Hurricane Harvey has provided a genuinely terrifying glimpse of a global Ballardian dystopia that may actually be humanity’s fate. And yet, even now, corporate media are suppressing the truth.”

    In the MSM, in this comment section, et al and out and about among the humans – the denial, wilful ignorance and escapism and fantasy is surreal.

  23. Apneaman on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 5:46 pm 

    Strongest Central Atlantic Hurricane on Record — Dangerous 185 MPH Irma Defies Intensity Projections

    “A storm that is drawing extra energy from an atmosphere and ocean warmed by climate change.”

    Yabut, climate always changes N stuff and hoaxes N stuff and…and …and……. MOMMY! I WANT MY MOMMY!!

  24. Cloggie on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 5:56 pm 

    Cloggen-fraud, why dont you grab your walker, shuffle on on down the nearest Mossad, CIA, MI6 office, and sign up with the kurds?

    Why don’t go to Afreaka where you belong and enlist with the Hutu’s.

  25. Cloggie on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 6:02 pm 

    Flying into Irma:

    Hurricane Irma: Residents prepare for ‘potentially catastrophic’ storm.

    Irma now cat-5.

  26. Makati1 on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 7:22 pm 

    “It is clear that BRICS, the EAEU and SCO are ultimately all best served to hasten the development of smooth and frequent trade between all member states of each body. This naturally leads one to understand that One Belt—One Road is both literally and geo-politically the link between the other three.

    While there are clear and present challenges to these lofty goals of enhanced commercial, geo-political and security relations, the financial, monetary and political mechanisms to minimise the problems and make the most of the immense potential of the projects are firmly in place.”

    The East is moving forward…while…

    ““Trump has been Trumped” by Putin: North Korean Delegation Arrives in Russia, Joined by South Korean President”

    “The April peace talks between Afghanistan, India, Pakistan, Russia and China seemed to have put an end to the persistent and dominant American presence in the country. In Washington, following fifteen years of war and a series of failures, many had come to the conclusion that the time had come for the United States to return home.” America can not win anything these days.

    The West is moving backward.

  27. Makati1 on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 7:31 pm 

    What is the definition of a “police state”?

    “Our freedoms—especially the Fourth Amendment—are being choked out by a prevailing view among government bureaucrats that they have the right to search, seize, strip, scan, shoot, spy on, probe, pat down, taser, and arrest any individual at any time and for the slightest provocation.

    Such is life in America today that Americans are being made to relinquish the most intimate details of who we are—our biological makeup, our genetic blueprints, and our biometrics (facial characteristics and structure, fingerprints, iris scans, etc.)—in order to clear the nearly insurmountable hurdle that increasingly defines life in the United States: we are now guilty until proven innocent.”

    Papers please! Or, maybe, “Bend over”? ^_^

  28. shortonoil on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 7:34 pm 

    The rumor among engineers who chat with other engineers (the real deep state people) is that he US has developed a new space based weapons system that they would like to test on someone. North Korean keeps coming up in the conversations. They are pretty tight lipped as to exactly how these new weapons work, but they have repeatedly referenced “tight beams”. Some type of a tactical neutron weapon was used in Iraq against its armored divisions. A tight beam neutron weapon would easily penetrate the atmosphere. We can only wonder if the Russians have them also. Probably?

  29. Makati1 on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 10:38 pm 

    Blow-back is a bitch:

    “…ISIS is now calling for sympathizers to poison the food in US supermarkets with cyanide, according to SITE.”

    “So if you want to control a people and contain their desire to replace the system which benefits you, with one that benefits them, then you need to feed them fear and the more of it and the more slippery and inscrutable it seems to them, the better.”

    “On August 26, the United States Air Force helicopters evacuated two European ISIS commanders along with their families from the settlement of Al-Treif, which is located to the north-west of Deir Ezzor.”

    ISIS is coming home…

  30. Makati1 on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 10:59 pm 

    Oil to gold?

    “It’s a strategic move swapping oil for gold, rather than for U.S. Treasuries, which can be printed out of thin air.” – Grant Williams

    “…the introduction of a gold-backed yuan oil futures contract is an important step toward removing the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. More significantly it reintroduces gold into the global monetary system.

    While the new gold-backed “petroyuan” will allow oil producers to sell oil for gold rather than Treasuries. Furthermore, it reduces the ability of the U.S. Government to impose its will on the rest of the world. It’s a strategic step toward not only ridding the world of its dependence on dollars, but also of reducing the ability of the U.S. to exert global economic and financially tyranny.” The dollar’s days are shrinking…

  31. MASTERMIND on Tue, 5th Sep 2017 11:53 pm 

    Makati1- Only the unloved hate the unloved and un-natural.

  32. Cloggie on Wed, 6th Sep 2017 2:44 am 

    “On August 26, the United States Air Force helicopters evacuated two European ISIS commanders along with their families from the settlement of Al-Treif, which is located to the north-west of Deir Ezzor.”

    ISIS in 2017 is still what the Taliban was during Soviet times in Afghanistan: State Department hired guns to achieve regime change in those countries not yet member of the US empire. If necessary they even buddy up with neo-Nazis in the Ukraine and set them up against the biggest price of them all: Russia. It will all be in vain.

    The entire scam that was the American Century…

    … will end from the moment on the remainder of the European-American population will seriously begin to revolt against their own dispossession:

    That moment isn’t very far away.

  33. Makati1 on Wed, 6th Sep 2017 4:06 am 

    MM, can I quote you on that? Such profound words of wisdom. NOT! Referring to yourself?

  34. Cloggie on Wed, 6th Sep 2017 5:09 am 

    Merkel in Nuremberg yesterday:

    Booes, tomatos.

    Twilight of the West/US empire.

    1989 2.0 is next.

    AfD leader Weidel mobbed from in studio yesterday-night and walks out [1:40] (probably staged).

  35. Cloggie on Wed, 6th Sep 2017 5:14 am 

    Merkel tomato-bombed. Unfortunately the tomato did not survive the attack. Merkel however was dressed… in red. 🙁

  36. Davy on Wed, 6th Sep 2017 5:20 am 

    “Makati1- Only the unloved hate the unloved and un-natural.”
    MM, good one! There is not one on this board who initiates unprovoked hate and discontent more. If you follow his comments everyone is an outright attack. They often do not even follow the thread. They are just an effort at a personal emotional agenda of hate from a lonely old man consumed with hate. Even if the US were so bad a normal person would not make it personal in the extreme. A normal person would say how can I make this better? A normal person would also ask how do I play a part in this?

  37. Cloggie on Wed, 6th Sep 2017 5:31 am 

    Turkey is now the first Islamocracy. It is not a one-man dictatorship but a one-party dictatorship. Secularism is dead. Erdogan will no doubt be reelected in 2019, after which he can rule until 2032. He is supported by 60-70% of the Turks living in Europe. This is good news for European Identitarians (like me), since this development will kill any notion of “living happy together multiculturally”.

    The question is, who will rule Europe: Europeans (after the end of the US empire) or the Sharia?

  38. Davy on Wed, 6th Sep 2017 5:58 am 

    “Chinese Scientists Warn North Korea’s Nuke Test Site At Risk Of Imploding, “Releasing Many Bad Things”

    “Wang Naiyan, the former chairman of the China Nuclear Society and senior researcher on China’s nuclear weapons programme, said that if Wen’s findings were reliable, there was a risk of a major environmental disaster. Another test might cause the whole mountain to cave in on itself, leaving only a hole from which radiation could escape and drift across the region, including China, he said. “We call it ‘taking the roof off’. If the mountain collapses and the hole is exposed, it will let out many bad things.” Sunday’s blast was followed by an earthquake eight minutes later, which China’s seismic authorities interpreted as a cave-in triggered by the explosion. Source: South China Morning Post”

    “If the results are accurate – which we now know they are judging by the satellite images – then there has already been a partial implosion of the mountain, though the radiation released during recent nuclear tests remains contained. At least we think it is still contained.”

    “With North Korea planning even more tests, China has reason to be worried. “The increasing size of North Korea’s nuclear bombs was also making ‘topping’ more likely,” Wang said. “A 100 kiloton bomb is a relatively large bomb. The North Korean government should stop the tests as they pose a huge threat not only to North Korea but to other countries, especially China,” he said.”

  39. Cloggie on Thu, 7th Sep 2017 4:33 pm 

    IS is back!

    In Libya.

    Currently there are two clubs competing for ownership of Libya, see map:

    This is an ideal situation for clubs like IS to infiltrate the country and play out the two clubs against each other, now that the war in Syria is virtually lost and IS needs a new springboard for their Caliphate dreams.

    IS won’t go away. If you suppress them here, they will pop up elsewhere. Time and demography are on their side.

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