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Page added on November 29, 2011

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Israel Preparing Iran Attack?

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Aaron Kleinreports today multiple eyewitness accounts of the Israeli military moving large missiles into position outside of Jerusalem and in the West Bank.

According to Klein, the missile descriptions are consistent with the Jewish state’s mid-to-long range Jericho ballistic missiles and their movement would be considered unusual.

The movement was confirmed by a member of the Palestinian Authority security services. “He claimed to me that a large missile was stationed five days ago near Neve Yaacov, a Jewish neighborhood in northeast Jerusalem. That neighborhood is adjacent to several Palestinian-inhabited towns,” Klein writes.

“The PA security member, speaking on condition of anonymity, speculated the missiles were related to a possible Israeli offensive against Iran.  He commented that such missiles were offensive in nature, and usually not meant to serve as defensive posture.”

Israel Defense Forces would not confirm the information and referred Klein instead to Israel’s national police. Mickey Rosenfeld, the national police spokesperson, told Klein he had no information on any such movements.

Klein speculated that the missiles may have been repositioned as part of an exercise or a test. He said, however, that testing is almost always conducted at a military base and usually involves one missile fired from one location.

Another prospect is a possible NATO attack on neighboring Syria. If NATO engages in a military campaign against al-Assad in Syria, it may have ramifications for Israel, most notably the firing of rockets into Israel by Hezbollah in southern Lebanon.

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10 Comments on "Israel Preparing Iran Attack?"

  1. BillT on Tue, 29th Nov 2011 3:54 am 

    I hope your home is not heated with fuel oil…because if the fools in Israel actually attack Iran, the price of oil will go off the charts. It could very well touch off a regional war that could stop oil flow for years. Since about 17% of the world’s oil flows out of Gulf countries, that would cause a world wide depression when Iran closes the Straight of Hormuz by sinking a few tankers in the channel.

  2. gandolf on Tue, 29th Nov 2011 8:16 am 

    Thanks for your concern Bilt but we are just comming into Summer so it will be warm enogh.
    I would however be really annoyed if the aircon stops working.
    I mean imaging spening the night watching Australian Idol and being too hot to enjoy it.

  3. JohnRM on Tue, 29th Nov 2011 9:15 am 

    I think that a lot of people greatly overestimate how successful Iran would be in defense of itself. They have a pretty pathetic armed force and you have to believe that any attack on Iran would come with forethought paid toward preserving the flow of petroleum out of the Persian Gulf. I imagine that the initial airstrikes would destroy the vast majority of their command and control capability rendering them incapable of tracking targets at sea. Their naval capability is not very impressive, either.

  4. BillT on Tue, 29th Nov 2011 12:20 pm 

    JohnRM, would you bet YOUR life on that comment being true? What info are you reading about Iran’s military? The comics?
    “…Iran in January received a $750 million shipment of 29 Tor-M1 short-range, mobile surface-to-air missile systems from Russia to help guard Iranian nuclear facilities…
    …The Qadr-1 appeared to be an advanced variant of the Shahab-3. A former director of Israel’s Ballistic Missile Defense Organization, Uzi Rubin, noted that the Qadr missile “which appeared in the 2004 parade was then said to have a range of 2,000 kilometers.”

    If those and other reports are correct, the Qadr-1 is capable of striking Israel, southern Europe, and U.S. bases in the Middle East…”

    Then there is the 500,000 active duty military and the 600,000 reserves in a country the size of California. They have mined the Strait of Hormuz and have the Chinese and Russians for buddies.

  5. JohnRM on Tue, 29th Nov 2011 5:14 pm 

    The Russians and the Chinese won’t go to war with NATO over Iran. PERIOD.

    Iran indeed has a long-range missile called a Shahab-3 and when it doesn’t fail to reach altitude or track a target, it can travel a pretty significant distance. However, you still need to enter targets into their shitty command and control systems.

    In the Gulf War and the 2003 Iraq War, the first thing that the Allies did was to send in stealth F-117s (Gulf War) and B-2s (Iraq War) to take out every single command and control facility that could manage the war for Iraq’s military. These facilities were destroyed before the Iraqis even knew there was a war on. The same would most certainly be true of Iran.

    The Tor-M1 is a fine SAM system, but it won’t track B-2s or F-117s. They would be destroyed in the first or second round of strikes.

    The sea-mines would be the most troublesome aspect of the war, along with the one or two submarines that they can still put to sea. I do believe that we can deal with this problem well before strategic reserves are depleted.

  6. JohnRM on Tue, 29th Nov 2011 5:14 pm 

    Strategic reserves = petroleum reserves.

  7. FarQ3 on Tue, 29th Nov 2011 5:25 pm 

    The aquirement of Iran is tied into the the big plan to deprive China of oil so that the USA can keep supplying itself with cheap oil while there is still some available. The US with our (Australia’s) help (although small) is putting the screws on China. Every barrel increase in China’s oil consumption is another barrel the USA have to find elsewhere and both countries know that the status quo cannot be sustained. China has been looking to Iran for oil supplies but access to Iran has been made difficult by the annexure of Afganistan and political aggreement with Pakistan, there was once talk of an east asian oil pipeline. Please, my friends don’t be blindfolded, don’t let our children be roped into a war that nobody can really win. Oil will still continue to deplete no matter who gets it.

  8. Johny K. on Tue, 29th Nov 2011 7:19 pm 

    The Big Plan?
    The Big Plan is to get everyone involved in war, except Europe. Everyone else.

    The Very Big Guys are still the ones who live in Europe, the big eight families etc.

    If you think America or China will have any real power in this world – AT THE END OF ALL THIS – you are just plain stupid.

  9. James on Tue, 29th Nov 2011 9:08 pm 

    Iran is going to make sure that their oil wells become unusable for many years if they are attacked. Also, Israel isn’t going to get out of this unscathed. She is going to suffer a lot of damage to her infra-structure. The U.S., Russia, and China will have no choice but to become involved in a war here.

  10. JohnRM on Tue, 29th Nov 2011 11:06 pm 

    James, that is just plain wrong.

    There no possibility of the US, Russia, and China becoming involved in a war, against each other, over Iran. None! Russia is virtually incapable of projecting power, in the Middle East, as is China, and therefor the war would have to take place with either Iran as a proxy or against NATO, as in the case of Russia, and against the Pacific Allies, as in the case of China.

    In either event, the Chinese and US economies would suffer terribly, and so would the rest of the world. Neither country would risk that kind of confrontation, especially with nuclear weapons at their disposal. China is particularly ill-equipped to wage nuclear war.

    Even a proxy war, waged by Russia and China, against the US, is unlikely due to the ramifications of such an action.

    Of course, the US isn’t going to attack Iran, anyway. Neither is Israel.

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