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Page added on March 25, 2012
Israel Committed to Attacking Iran in June
In an exclusive report, Jerusalem-based DEBKAfile reports that both Israel and the United States are on the same page in regard to launching an attack on Iran.
“American and Israeli intelligence evaluations of the state of Iran’s program are in accord – contrary to the impression gained from Obama administration officials,” DEBKA-Net-Weekly reported on March 22. “Both are of one mind on the imperative to paralyze that program even by force if Iran refuses to give up its pursuit of a nuclear weapon.”
On Friday, it was reported that the United States, European allies and Israel agree that Iran does not have a nuclear weapons program. “Tehran does not have a bomb, has not decided to build one, and is probably years away from having a deliverable nuclear warhead,” the National Post reported. Despite this evidence, the Israeli government has decided to attack Iran.
According to DEBKAfile, Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak said in a radio interview on Thursday that if Israel is resolved to attack Iran, it will have to do so within three months. In February, it was reported that Israel would carry out an attack in June and would use Saudi Arabia as its base.
DEBKAfile claims Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has convinced a majority of his Security and Diplomatic Cabinet of the urgency of an attack. “He is now backed by the two deputy prime ministers, the defense, foreign affairs, interior and finance ministers, while Intelligence Minister Dan Meridor and Minister without Portfolio Benny Begin are unconvinced. Netanyahu can therefore go ahead and safely put the military option to the vote in the cabinet for the first time,” DEBKAfile reports.
With this consensus, Barak sent IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz to Washington to meet Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Gen. Martin E. Dempsey. Gantz told Dempsey Israel would “be happy if the US halts Iran’s nuclear program in its tracks, no matter whether this is done by economic sanctions, an oil embargo, negotiations between Tehran and the world powers, or secret US-Iranian diplomacy.” The effort, however, would need to fit within the three month timeline.
Israeli officials then met “discretely” with leading members of Congress and told them about the three month timeline.
DEBKAfile states, however, that Israel “may have to part ways with the United States on the Iranian issue the first time in its short history” and attack Iran “before it is too late.”
Israel is now committed to an attack on Iran that will occur during the height of campaigning for the 2012 U.S. presidential election. The Republican national convention will be held on August 27-30 in Tampa, Florida, and the Democrat convention will be held on September 3-6 in Charlotte, North Carolina. If Israel attacks Iran in June, it will undoubtedly be the dominant issue during the convention and the election in November.
Republican candidates Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich have all expressed their support of an Israeli attack on Iran. Ron Paul is the only candidate who opposes an attack. A poll conducted earlier this month revealed that a majority of Republicans believe the U.S. will attack Iran this year.
Obama said on March 5 that the U.S. would always “have Israel’s back” but said there was still time for diplomacy.
10 Comments on "Israel Committed to Attacking Iran in June"
PrestonSturges on Sun, 25th Mar 2012 2:57 am
DEBKA being quoted by Infowars?
That’s like feeding the output of a random word generator to a goat, then trying to divine the future from the goat poop.
BillT on Sun, 25th Mar 2012 4:02 am
This just proves the insanity at the top. And some of the sites on the internet. Netanyaho is the one who wants to attack. Obama is trying to delay it as he knows his re-election chances will be over when gas hits $6 or $7 per gallon, IF it is not rationed outright by then. World War 3 is just waiting to happen and this could be the match on the fuse.
Graeme on Sun, 25th Mar 2012 8:29 am
http://mobile.nytimes.com/2012/03/25/opinion/sunday/kristof-the-false-debate-about-attacking-iran.xml?single=1
Arthur on Sun, 25th Mar 2012 9:18 am
Until the genocide, the Tutsu minority ruled Ruanda.
Until the civil war , the Serb minority ruled Yugoslavia.
Currently the Alawite minority rules Syria.
Until 2003 the 18% Sunni minority ruled Iraq.
Currently the jewish minority rules the US and hence the West. DEBKAfile just announced what the ruling minority has decided.
Arthur on Sun, 25th Mar 2012 11:02 am
The article says that Sunni-ruled Saudi-Arabia is going to be used as the launch-pad for the coming attack against Shia-Iran. The West attempts to divide-and-conquer here between the catholics and protestants of Islam, namely Sunni and Shia. It is interesting to note that the Israeli government is divided in itself, indicating that the risks here for the perps of WW3 in status nascendi are enormous. Preventing the nuclear ambitions of Iran are merely a pretext for what really is at stake here, the PNAC agenda, the Program for the New American Century, a euphemism for a global coup d’etat and by the Chosen which was initiated by 9/11, a CIA-Mossad coproduction. Kissinger once said: “control oil and you control nations”. Clean Break, that is the reordering of the Middle-East, is the practical implementation of the realization of the PNAC strategic objective. Capture the oil, capture the planet.
BillT on Sun, 25th Mar 2012 12:30 pm
Arthur, you seem to be on the right track. The question is, will China and Russia allow that to happen?
Arthur on Sun, 25th Mar 2012 1:07 pm
That is indeed the big question. China and Russia are certainly not looking for war. They prefer the status quo. As long as the West does not oil-starve China, maybe they can get away with the planned attack and regime change in Teheran for a more west-friendly government (like a Shah 2.0).
And I do not think that the US is looking for a direct war with China but instead hopes to get away with regime change in Teheran.
But a war might erupt regardless as a consequence of ‘peak-oil’, when China thinks that the West is reserving too much for itself.
And it is not certain at all if the US will win this war in the first place. Afterall, they lost from a determined third world nation like Vietnam. Iran has so many opportunities to disrupt the global economy by attacking tankers and oil-infrastructure in Saudi-Arabia and Iraq. And Iran has Shia allies in SA and Iraq. And then there is the Kurd factor, who might want to try to break away from Iraq. This will involve Turkey into a conflict and their hidden neo-Ottoman motives, as they know very well that a rejection by the EU is likely. In the end WW1 happened unexpectedly as a series of escalations, triggered by an unexpected event, the shooting of the Austrian archduke in Sarajewo. The Austrians wanted a short expedition against Serbia, the Germans certainly did not want war. And the British were laughing because they could use their French and Russian allies (who both did want war; France wanted Alsave-Lorraine back and the Tsar wanted access to the Seven Seas in the Mediterranian) against their main competitor Germany. A single bullit resulted in the largest slaughter in human history thus far.
Something similar could happen when the bombs start to fall on Iran: unintended escalation on a global scale.
Bor on Sun, 25th Mar 2012 3:16 pm
Nobody will attack Iran. All this talking is just a political lip service. Israel will never do it because of the very sever consequences. The Israel PM should look and talk tough but he perfectly understands that Israel relationships with US will be screwed for a very long time. He will not do it – it is just a talk. BTW. It is perfectly understood in Tehran.
Cam on Sun, 25th Mar 2012 3:42 pm
There is another possibility and concern, and it is supported by “Game Theory”. If Iran becomes totally convinced, one hundred percent, that they are going to be attacked, they may well decide to attack first. This can be the danger of an overly convincing bluff!
Arthur on Sun, 25th Mar 2012 5:45 pm
There is no advantage for Iran on the moral level to start a war. They will never start a war. Iran is going to be destroyed anyway and they know it. And if news media claim that they did start the war, make sure that false flag operations are ruled out as a possibility. The only hope for Iran is in asymmetric warfare, partisan actions, IEDs and most of all: sabotage of tankers and oil infrastructure in the hope that they can disrupt oilflow to Europe and the US and reach a stalemate position and involve China and/or Russia and maybe even Turkey.