Like the illusion of Wall Street, with its vast and powerful investment banks, now shuttered, China too is an illusion perpetuated by the Globalists that gave us the 15,000 mile Caesar salad, poisoned cat food and lead based paint on babies' pacifiers. Like the illusion that money would come from thin air to always push housing prices higher, China has spent a generation pursuing its illusion. Pursuing an unattainable dream to be like the West, while 6000 years of its carefully shepherded top soil blows into the sea.
Joined: Oct 15, 2004 Posts: 2256 Location: Arkansas
Posted: Thu Apr 05, 2007 10:34 am Post subject: Re: Non-Opec oil peak discussion
AFO,
It has been discussed. Oil and Gas Journal had several articles on it a few years ago. You may want to search them online to retrieve them. I did post them here at one time, but don't rememeber the forum - you might try the Opec peak production forum under "depletion." You may also try the Saudi Production thread.
However, from memory, the two articles in the O&G Journal both said the "cross-over" event would be anywhere from 2007 - 2012, most likely about 2009. Cross-over being that time when Opec production exceeds non-opec production.
If the non-OPEC peak is not until 2008, then how does it make sense that so many believe we are already past the global peak? If non-OPEC hasn't peaked, and OPEC hasn't peaked, then the world hasn't peaked. Right?
The concensus among the posts that I have read on peakoil.com seems to be that non-OPEC will peak prior to OPEC.
I might just have to look up production figures to figure this thing out now.
Opec versus non-opec is an artificial distinction. You could also calculate Non-Opec/Non FSU production in which case peak is probably yesterday. _________________ Biofuels: The "What else we got to burn?" answer to peak oil.
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