bratticus wrote:
shortonsense wrote:
I didn't see him mention how cheap gasoline and cheap crude caused the credit crisis?
Cheap gasoline and crude didn't cause the crisis. Everything started to fall apart at $147/barrel plus Ike and Gustav. Cheap gas happened after that because the crippled economy was using less fossil fuels and the "supply cushion" of "spare capacity" re-formed and could be used to control the price. The $147/barrel was largely due to demand creeping up on supply which can also be viewed as spare capacity shrinking.
Housing peaked at the end of 2007. THAT's when things started to fall apart. The housing bubble was created by years of artificially cheap money and lax lending regulations. The housing bubble was greatly enabled by the huge derivatives market; banks no longer needed to carefully husband the quality of their mortgage loan portfolios when the mortgages were owned by everyone else.
But smart money could read the writing on the wall and began to exit at-risk investments, seeking safety in commodities, including crude oil, which in turn created an energy bubble.
If it were just supply/demand determining crude prices, prices would have remained fairly steady in a range of, probably, $50 - $80.