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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Simmons Interview
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Simmons Interview
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VMarcHart
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 23, 2008 1:23 pm    Post subject: Re: Simmons Interview Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Matt is a smart and succesful business man. He knows his audience and carefully doses his speeches. Matt is selling his technofix, and thus the interview turned into an infomercial; offshore wind farms, tidal power, liquid ammonia, name dropping, the works.

I'm not a hard core doomer, neither too bullish on a technofix. Paraphrasing our friend, for years I’ve had a cardinal rule and that rule is to be skeptical of the investor selling his technofix.
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MadScientist
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 23, 2008 1:43 pm    Post subject: Re: Simmons Interview Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

VMarcHart wrote:
Matt is a smart and succesful business man. He knows his audience and carefully doses his speeches. Matt is selling his technofix, and thus the interview turned into an infomercial; offshore wind farms, tidal power, liquid ammonia, name dropping, the works.

I'm not a hard core doomer, neither too bullish on a technofix. Paraphrasing our friend, for years I’ve had a cardinal rule and that rule is to be skeptical of the investor selling his technofix.



I agree that Matt is helping out some people who are working towards positive partial solutions. LOCAL people, in his area, working to provide electrical and possible other requirements to his area post peak. makes a lot of sense to me. building community resilience.

Where I disagree with you, respectfully, is that this is his intent or purpose now, that hes suddenly put the cart ahead of the horse and is simply peddling the latest "technofix" to the herd.

He's past preaching doom to the masses.

He's prepping his area for collapse.

That's pretty doomer imo.
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DantesPeak
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 23, 2008 2:08 pm    Post subject: Re: Simmons Interview Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

MadScientist wrote:

He's past preaching doom to the masses.

He's prepping his area for collapse.

That's pretty doomer imo.


I think so.

So for those with the means to do so, surviving with partial solutions in fringe areas appears to be the best way to go.

I appreciate his insight, because he is more familiar with the nuts and bolts of constructing conventional energy infrastructure more than almost any one else. Since he sees that being inadequate in the future, that doesn't leave us with much hope.
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VMarcHart
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 23, 2008 8:05 pm    Post subject: Re: Simmons Interview Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

MadScientist wrote:
He's prepping his area for collapse.
Is Maine going to build a Chinese Wall along its borders and emancipate itself from the US? I don't think so. Matt found a way to make lots of money and he's selling it. Yes, he's extremely smart, I envy his smarts, but I don't put him on a pedestal. He's not saving his area out of the good of his heart. He's motivated by money. The solution to PO, overshooting, etc is powerdown, not new technologies.
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idiom
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 23, 2008 8:26 pm    Post subject: Re: Simmons Interview Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I believe we shall soon see the philosophy that the idea is not to powerdown your country but to make the other poor bastard powerdown his.
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Revi
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 23, 2008 8:55 pm    Post subject: Re: Simmons Interview Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

VMarcHart wrote:
MadScientist wrote:
He's prepping his area for collapse.
Is Maine going to build a Chinese Wall along its borders and emancipate itself from the US? I don't think so. Matt found a way to make lots of money and he's selling it. Yes, he's extremely smart, I envy his smarts, but I don't put him on a pedestal. He's not saving his area out of the good of his heart. He's motivated by money. The solution to PO, overshooting, etc is powerdown, not new technologies.


That Chinese wall idea is a good one. We have the White Mountains and the Piscataqua river now, but the wall may make sense. Seriously, I think the out migration is way more than the migration in nowadays. The 80% of the state that uses heating oil is freaking out. We had 5 feet of snow on the ground last winter. People are getting out before next winter.

I think Matt is trying some things. The offshore wind farm may have troubles, unless it's near Portland. Then it will be in the perfect place to generate some power. The wind resource in the Gulf of Maine is very good. I don't know about the wave and geothermal stuff. They may violate his rule to invest in things that haven't been invented yet.

He is also planning an organic farm. I saw him at the screening of End of Suburbia. He advocates going back to a village economy. He has said that we are going to go from 85 mbpd to 65 by the year 2015. That's only 7 years away. 5% was enough to cause the energy crisis in the 70's. A drop of 25% will really cause havoc. He knows what's coming. I'm glad I live in Maine.

Maybe Matt Simmons can get us ready for what's coming. The governor seems to be peak oil aware in some respects. Maybe Matt's been talking to him.
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joeltrout
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 23, 2008 9:41 pm    Post subject: Re: Simmons Interview Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

He is an investment banker.

Need I say more.

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MadScientist
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 24, 2008 12:49 am    Post subject: Re: Simmons Interview Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

VMarcHart wrote:
MadScientist wrote:
He's prepping his area for collapse.
Is Maine going to build a Chinese Wall along its borders and emancipate itself from the US? I don't think so. Matt found a way to make lots of money and he's selling it. Yes, he's extremely smart, I envy his smarts, but I don't put him on a pedestal. He's not saving his area out of the good of his heart. He's motivated by money. The solution to PO, overshooting, etc is powerdown, not new technologies.


lets just take hydrogen for example.

Is hydrogen gonna save our "WAWKI"? no

Can hydrogen fuel my personal vehicle when i cant get gas
anymore but my windmill can create hydrogen from electrolysis?

can the biodiesel i press from homegrown rapeseed fuel my personal vehicle post peak?

can a windfarm help Maine stay electrically stable post peak?

F U C K saving the world. Its a lost cause. dam you for criticizing anyone who tries to save their own community,

GLOBALISM IS DEAD.
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VMarcHart
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 24, 2008 1:10 pm    Post subject: Re: Simmons Interview Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

MadScientist wrote:
dam you for criticizing anyone who tries to save their own community.
Matt Simons is not trying to save his community, much less you or me. Matt is doing it for money. Ask Matt if he's putting his personal wealth in those technologies with zero expectaction of financial returns.
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MadScientist
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 24, 2008 2:07 pm    Post subject: Re: Simmons Interview Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
="VMarcHart Matt Simons is not trying to save his community, much less you or me. Matt is doing it for money. Ask Matt if he's putting his personal wealth in those technologies with zero expectaction of financial returns.


Matt is on the "fast track". That means he is out of the ratrace with money for investment and can choose his investments based on his interest in them. That interest can be a lot more things than just financial return.

The best investments for a fast tracker with integrity are those that have multiple positive returns like financial, charitable, political, technological, etc.

the win-win-win.

The best investments for a fast tracker who only cares about financial return are those that have maximum financial returns at the expense of all other variables.

the I win - You lose

If Matt truly was just in it for the money, we would likely have never heard of him.
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VMarcHart
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 24, 2008 2:22 pm    Post subject: Re: Simmons Interview Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

MadScientist wrote:
I win - You lose.
Indeed. You're too smart for me. Good luck.
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JPL
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 24, 2008 3:12 pm    Post subject: Re: Simmons Interview Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Sorry all, just can't help meself...



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