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Peakoil.com :: View topic - It Looks as though IT HAS BEGUN!
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It Looks as though IT HAS BEGUN!

 
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RonMN
Fission
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Joined: Mar 18, 2005
Posts: 2691
Location: Minnesota

PostPosted: Mon May 30, 2005 11:48 am    Post subject: It Looks as though IT HAS BEGUN! Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I just went grocery shopping. Just a normal run, no stocking up, no expensive cleaners/detergents...just the basic items. And what normally costs me about $70-$80 just rung up to $139.00

This is an increase of almost 100%

At home, I went thru the bill to see if i had bought anything stupidly expensive & there was nothing over 7 dollars...that means that EVERYTHING has gone up.

I know we've been expecting this...but it's a shock when reality bites into your check book!

It no longer matters that 98% of people don't have a clue about PO...with these rising prices...they have to know SOMETHING is up!
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Jack
Dark Lord
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Joined: Aug 11, 2004
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PostPosted: Mon May 30, 2005 12:00 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

They're still fairly inert - I am reminded of a scene where the official spokesman announces that the chocolate ration has been increased from 20 grams per month to 10 grams (Yep, I wrote that as intended), and the crowd cheers.

But yes, the prices are starting to ripple through the system. If oil goes up as we expect it to, the tourism industry will be in big trouble, which will generate unemployment at the lower income levels, even as prices go up. And that will start creating awareness.
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smiley
Fission
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Joined: Apr 16, 2004
Posts: 2146
Location: Europe

PostPosted: Mon May 30, 2005 4:28 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
But yes, the prices are starting to ripple through the system. If oil goes up as we expect it to, the tourism industry will be in big trouble, which will generate unemployment at the lower income levels, even as prices go up. And that will start creating awareness.


I'm not sure whether people are able to make the connection between rising prices and oil. They will probably start-off blaming politics.

That is what is happening here. People blame the current administration for the high fuel prices. The opposition is encouraging these kind of protests and are saying that they can do a better job and will do so when elected. The current administration is trying to save their ass by blaming Asia.

So it might take a while before people realize what is going on.
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linlithgowoil
Intermediate Crude
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Joined: Dec 20, 2004
Posts: 890
Location: Scotland

PostPosted: Tue May 31, 2005 5:36 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

my food bills are shooting up quickly. it cost me £92 for a 2 week food shop, which used to cost about £70 just 2 months ago. looks like its true - the prices only start to really go up after a year or so of consistently high oil prices. I cant afford to go on this way really - defaulting on my debt is going to have to happen soon.
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heyhoser
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Joined: Apr 17, 2005
Posts: 236
Location: Czech Republic

PostPosted: Tue May 31, 2005 5:50 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
Table A. Percent changes in CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U)
Seasonally adjusted Un-
Compound adjusted
Expenditure Changes from preceding month annual rate 12-mos.
Category 2004 2005 3-mos. ended ended
Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. Apr. '05 Apr. '05
All Items .6 .3 .0 .1 .4 .6 .5 6.2 3.5
Food and beverages .5 .3 .0 .1 .1 .2 .6 3.6 3.1

Special Indexes
Energy 4.0 1.0 -1.3 -1.1 2.0 4.0 4.5 51.2 17.1
Food .6 .3 .0 .1 .1 .2 .7 3.7 3.1
All Items less
food and energy .2 .2 .2 .2 .3 .4 .0 2.6 2.2


Consumer Price Index Summary

It's Monday morning here, so I'm not really computing all the numbers yet, but here's some figures for Consumer Prices Index over the last couple of months. God. I need orange juice.
Hmm, all those numbers running together, just check out the link.
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Raxozanne
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Joined: Feb 24, 2005
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PostPosted: Tue May 31, 2005 7:29 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

linlithgowoil wrote:
my food bills are shooting up quickly. it cost me £92 for a 2 week food shop, which used to cost about £70 just 2 months ago. looks like its true - the prices only start to really go up after a year or so of consistently high oil prices. I cant afford to go on this way really - defaulting on my debt is going to have to happen soon.


That's funny because the prices are the same in the Midlands for a long time now. I think it's just a regional thing, prices will probably go back down again in a couple of weeks.
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Kingcoal
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Joined: Sep 29, 2004
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PostPosted: Tue May 31, 2005 8:18 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Ever since the price collapse in the mid eighties, people tend to believe that these times of high oil prices are spikes and wait for it to drop. When it doesn't, they blame the oil companies, Arabs, etc.

To some extent they are correct. Every president since Carter has tapped the SOR to kill speculation and bring down prices. Bush has a lot of sympathy for the oil industry. He started and bankrupted two oil companies himself. I think he just wants to let the market decide the price and if there are winners (oil companies) and losers (average citizens), then so be it. What the hell, he can't be re-elected... or can he?

In a lot of ways I agree with Bush's strategy. Might as well get the economy used to high oil prices gradually, allowing changes to occur in an orderly fashion. There seems to be consensus in Washington that there are a lot of imbalances that need to be corrected. America consumes too much and produces too little. Much of the rest of the world produces too much and consumes too little. The cheap dollar and lack of action against oil speculation seem to be deliberate. So far China isn't cooperating, however. Everything in the USA is getting more expensive except Chinese goods. Microwave ovens, TVs, you name it, it's all cheaper than ever. It's just like the late seventies, early eighties all over again. Only this time it’s China in place of Japan.

All this economic correction hits low income people the hardest however. They have no real buffer against the rising prices and their jobs are the first to go. I predict a Democrat in the Whitehouse next time around.
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NEOPO
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Joined: May 15, 2005
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PostPosted: Tue May 31, 2005 9:40 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I predict that the SHTF before the next election.

A "crisis" will occur but as always they will spin it as they wish.

"Due to unusual circumstances and the energy crisis - Mr bush will remain as president until we can get things under control"
And of course they will covertly seek to maintain the "crisis" and things will never again be "under control".

Ahhh yes the first 4-5 term president - nice Surprised
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heyhoser
Heavy Crude
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Joined: Apr 17, 2005
Posts: 236
Location: Czech Republic

PostPosted: Tue May 31, 2005 9:48 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

NEOPO wrote:

"Due to unusual circumstances and the energy crisis - Mr bush will remain as president until we can get things under control"
And of course they will covertly seek to maintain the "crisis" and things will never again be "under control".

Ahhh yes the first 4-5 term president - nice Surprised


My fellow Americans. As ya'll know, Islamic terrorists have sabotaged the pipelines that provide this great country with the oil we desperately need in order to preserve our freedoms and our democracy and to spread the bells of liberty around the world. These terrorists acts have struck us hard. Therefore, in order to keep the freedoms in this country that make America so great, I have declared marshal law and suspended all upcoming elections and arrested Sen. Hillary Clinton for her support of terrorists...yada yada yada
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Ludi
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Joined: Dec 27, 2004
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PostPosted: Tue May 31, 2005 6:52 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Kingcoal wrote:
I predict a Democrat in the Whitehouse next time around.


According to polls it's a good bet it'll be Hilary if she runs. But this is part of the evil mater plan of the neo-cons. During the next Democratic watch, the crap will hit the fan. Blame goes to Demos, Repubs get elected in again easily, and then just keep control indefinitely as the country collapses into feudalism.

Feeling bleak today...

Sad
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threadbear
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Joined: Jan 22, 2005
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PostPosted: Tue May 31, 2005 7:56 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Kingcoal wrote:

. There seems to be consensus in Washington that there are a lot of imbalances that need to be corrected. .


The first imbalance that needs to be corrected are the neo-conservatives.
You basically just don't get it, KCoal.
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ehv_nl
Tar Sands
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Joined: Aug 15, 2004
Posts: 35

PostPosted: Fri Jun 03, 2005 12:24 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
Much of the rest of the world produces too much and consumes too little.


Am I being told to consume more here? That's laughable!
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Waterthrush
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Jun 03, 2005
Posts: 217
Location: New Jersey

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2005 4:07 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Yesterday I came home from various errands to find there was no power. While I was pretty sure that Peak Oil had not hit while I was out, it did get me thinking about immediate summer, and the warning we've all had about brownouts and such. I am asking myself about how I would deal with voluntary/involuntary cuts in power, what needs to be replaced/added to my emergency box, etc.

I think Peak Oil has begun, since I think it will be a longer, slower event than some others here do. I had a rather long morning trip to make in the car today, and I filled the tank at a gas station I use when I am in its vicinity due to its good prices. Upon my return, the price had jumped .02/gallon, which isn't remarkable, except that it is on a Sunday.

The next six months should tell.
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