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Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 90 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6  Next
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 Post subject: Re: Conservation, Doom, Madness
New postPosted: Sun Nov 06, 2005 6:04 pm 
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NeoMaster
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What the HELL is your problem ashurbanipal?

Just give the fuck up and die, see if I give a rat's ass.

God damn it to hell.

If you insist on staying so fucking ignorant, that's your choice.

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 Post subject: Re: Conservation, Doom, Madness
New postPosted: Sun Nov 06, 2005 6:11 pm 
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This thread is certainly living up to its title...

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Exporting oil is an act of treason"-- Heitor Manoel Pereira, president of AEPET in Brazil, January 06, 2006
come see me sometime... http://www.sonofchaos.blogspot.com/


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 Post subject: Re: Conservation, Doom, Madness
New postPosted: Sun Nov 06, 2005 6:19 pm 
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http://www.peakoil.com/post213335.html#213335

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 Post subject: Re: Conservation, Doom, Madness
New postPosted: Sun Nov 06, 2005 6:30 pm 
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Heavy Crude
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Very nice, thank you for the references!

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Exporting oil is an act of treason"-- Heitor Manoel Pereira, president of AEPET in Brazil, January 06, 2006
come see me sometime... http://www.sonofchaos.blogspot.com/


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 Post subject: Re: Conservation, Doom, Madness
New postPosted: Sun Nov 06, 2005 6:31 pm 
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Seadragon wrote:
Very nice, thank you for the references!


You're welcome. I hope they help.

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 Post subject: Re: Conservation, Doom, Madness
New postPosted: Sun Nov 06, 2005 6:51 pm 
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No, I'm too tired. I'm tired of being treated like a moron by ignorant people.

All of those questions have been covered at length in the books I listed in the link.

If people are unwilling to learn about their field of interest, I can't help them.

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 Post subject: Re: Conservation, Doom, Madness
New postPosted: Sun Nov 06, 2005 7:27 pm 
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holmes wrote:
Thus the human biomass.


Ah, so no shortage of fuel then.

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 Post subject: Re: Conservation, Doom, Madness
New postPosted: Sun Nov 06, 2005 8:10 pm 
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ashurbanipal wrote:
Sans fertilizers, pesticides, and water pumped via diesel engine pumps, the vast majority of Oklahoma (where I live) will become non-arable.


The U.S. is not going to run out of fertilizers and pesticides any time soon because both can be made with coal.

Fertilizer can also be made from hydrogen, generated by nuclear, solar, wind or hydro.

Water can be pumped with electricity generated by coal, nuclear, solar or wind.

Quote:
Let me ask you, Ludi, since you seem to be someone who grows food--where do you get your water for growing? Do you ever irrigate your crops from a municipal supply? Alternately, if you're near a body of water, do you think all farms are near enough water to make it without pumping water in?


They can (and often do) pump water with electricity.

Quote:
What would you do if there was a drought and you couldn't pump water in? Also, do you, or did you, use any machines driven by diesel or gasoline or something else derived from hydrocarbons to help with the food you grow? Are the tools you use hand made? If you have rain barrels or water reservoirs, are they made of plastic or metal? If metal, were they hand forged or milled? Do you grow heirloom or open-pollenated crops and save your seed year to year? How do you isolate your plants? Do you use plastic cages? What do you store your seed in? To ensure viability, do you put them in the icebox? Could you rebuild your refrigerator with materials you could find locally, in your fields? Could you do so without electricity? If you were to be transplanted to, say, Alberta Canada, would you be able to have the same growing season without some 6-mil plastic? Do you have any biological controls (like Praying Mantis egg cases, ladybugs, beneficial nematodes or bacteria or fungi) shipped to you to help your garden? What about bees? Have you ever? Have you ever cleared an overgrown plot by hand, without the use of any kind of machinery other than those driven by your own exertions or the exertions of animals? Have you raised those animals without the use of antibiotics, vaccinations, etc. which are usually prepared in labs powered by hydrocarbon generated electricity?


Peak oil means higher petroleum prices. It doesn't mean an instantaneous end to all energy. People need to prepare for higher prices, not an asteroid strike.

Quote:
These aren't idle questions, and if you can answer them all, I've got hundreds more.


Yah, and they're all just as dumb as the one's you've already given. Here's two clues for you:
a) Oil is not the only source of energy or feedstock
b) Peak oil is not going to cause a halt to all energy production.


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 Post subject: Re: Conservation, Doom, Madness
New postPosted: Sun Nov 06, 2005 8:10 pm 
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Quote:
What the HELL is your problem ashurbanipal?

Just give the fuck up and die, see if I give a rat's ass.

God damn it to hell.

If you insist on staying so fucking ignorant, that's your choice.


My problem is your problem. It's everyone's problem. I'm not giving up. I'm asking that the problem be understood. If you have no actual response to my post, then say so.

Perhaps I'm ignorant, anyway. You're not doing anything to enlighten me with such invective, however. I understand you posted some stuff intended to educate me. I had questions. You didn't answer them. All these are verifiable facts. I cannot speak for you. But if I am ever trying to offer a point of view, and someone asks me something for which I have no answer, in my heart, I know that I am the ignorant one.

Wisdom, it has been remarked, begins in questioning.


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 Post subject: Re: Conservation, Doom, Madness
New postPosted: Sun Nov 06, 2005 8:20 pm 
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Master
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ashurbanipal wrote:
Wisdom, it has been remarked, begins in questioning.


What? :roll:

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 Post subject: Re: Conservation, Doom, Madness
New postPosted: Sun Nov 06, 2005 8:26 pm 
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Robert Waldrop from Oklahoma City did a presentation called "Pathways to Local Food Systems" at the Community Solutions Peak Oil Conference recently. You can link to info about it here:

http://www.communitysolution.org/

I think it is a good idea to be active and planning and working with folks in your own area. There sure are no complete solutions or easy answers. We are likley to see a fair amount of suffering before we learn how to live sustainably.

We've spent much time assuming that nature has an inexhaustable supply of resources to draw from and that nature also is an infinite sink for our waste. We may or may not grow through to a deeper understanding of how we fit in.

But as far as doing our part, I think we can only "bloom where we are planted" and live as authentically as possible.

As for the technical farming and agriculture stuff, it seems best to seek out people in your bio-region and local community to work with.

-- Just my two cents worth.....

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 Post subject: Re: Conservation, Doom, Madness
New postPosted: Sun Nov 06, 2005 8:26 pm 
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Quote:
The U.S. is not going to run out of fertilizers and pesticides any time soon because both can be made with coal.


More energy intensively, but yes. This is correct. It won't be forever, and it's certainly not going to cover our fertilizer needs worldwide. I think urea has a better chance, actually. But, again, in the short term, you're right.

Quote:
Fertilizer can also be made from hydrogen, generated by nuclear, solar, wind or hydro.


As I understand the state of the technology so far, it's quite a bit more expensive to do so, and the process can't be scaled up quickly. Again, you're correct, but doing so would make food horribly expensive. Hey, maybe someone will come up with that proverbial invention that's going to save us, eh?

Quote:
Water can be pumped with electricity generated by coal, nuclear, solar or wind.


Converting our current systems, however, will take many billions--if not trillions--of dollars. Have you got that kind of change lying around? Does anyone?

Quote:
They can (and often do) pump water with electricity.


Do you have any good data?

Quote:
Peak oil means higher petroleum prices. It doesn't mean an instantaneous end to all energy. People need to prepare for higher prices, not an asteroid strike.


I don't mean to suggest that it will all happen instantaneously. But this kind of "change" will happen. We need to be prepared for that.

Quote:
Yah, and they're all just as dumb as the one's you've already given.


1) If they're so dumb, then you, Ludi, or one of the people who agree with you could answer them easily.
2) You haven't heard them anyway. The fact you assume they'd be dumb (or at least consistent with what I have already asked) leads me to wonder what other assumptions you make in the place of looking at facts.

Quote:
a) Oil is not the only source of energy or feedstock
b) Peak oil is not going to cause a halt to all energy production.


Of course not. Who said that? It's only something like 85% of all current energy and feedstock (my estimate, anyway). No worries, then.

Look, I'm not saying anyone should give up. But I'm afraid I see a lot of people not willing to face the full scope of the issue. We must do that first, and then we can work on solutions.


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 Post subject: Re: Conservation, Doom, Madness
New postPosted: Sun Nov 06, 2005 10:43 pm 
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ashurbanipal wrote:
It's only something like 85% of all current energy and feedstock (my estimate, anyway).


Oil accounts for about 35% of total world primary energy production. (From the DOE's Annual Energy Review, 2004).

Oil makes a 0% contribution as a fertilizer feedstock. Virtually all fertilizer is made, at the present time, from natural gas. According to Laherrere, NG will not be peaking globally until around 2030.
http://www.peakoil.net/JL/JeanL.html

Non-fuel use of petroleum (plastics, motor oils, lubricants) can be greatly mitigated by recycling. Motor oil, for example, does not wear out, and can be cleaned and recycled indefinitely.


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 Post subject: Re: Conservation, Doom, Madness
New postPosted: Sun Nov 06, 2005 11:11 pm 
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Byron100 wrote:
Quote:
Maybe lots of motivation, but few jobs due to conservation, deflation, and a lack of capital for investment with less than zero for a savings rate. We would have to borrow from the Chinese to fund the transition or hyperinflate the currency by printing it.


Can you tell me why we wouldn't find a way to "recapture" the vast amount of monies going into the oil sector? I mean, that money does have to go somewhere, right?

But oil money or no, I think printing dollars to pay for massive alternative energy projects will be the way to go...inflation be damned. Solves the peasky problem of all those danged mortgage and debt payments, too. Another thing that I see that the US might attempt doing is convincing other major economies (Japan, Europe) to inflate their currencies in lockstep with ours, creating some sort of "false equibrium" that could enable the transition off of fossil fuels even in the face of global economic contraction.



(Just trying to put an optimistic spin on things, is all :-D )


Another optimistic spin on printing dollars and devaluing further the currency is that we simply wont be able to afford imported goods. This could help reinforce local regional economies, reduce consumerism and reduce oil consumption. There are some positives associated with economic recession and the US dollar collapse in restructuring our economy more local and in perhaps allowing alternative value systems to consumerism to take hold.


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 Post subject: Re: Conservation, Doom, Madness
New postPosted: Mon Nov 07, 2005 2:10 am 
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ashurbanipal wrote:
"Doomers" are often called such because the scenarios they envision and argue as likely involve a massive die-off. Optimists want to eliminate such a possibility, but the question that presents itself is how it can be anything more than forestalled.

What both parties have in common is their ability to sense the the future.

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