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 Post subject: Re: "Life is about to get less fun, pretty quickly"
New postPosted: Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:18 pm 
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Expert
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Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:00 am
Posts: 6333
Location: New Jersey
Leanan wrote:
The link is working for me now. And well worth checking out. The comments are as interesting as the article.

I particularly liked Kyle's point, about the difficulty of finding enough new fields to make up for the depletion of more and more existing fields. It gets harder, not just because there are fewer to find, but because you have to make up more and more wells. The classic pyramid scheme problem. When 80% of the neighborhood is selling Amway, it's a lot harder to find customers.


If it follows the classic pyramid scheme unwinding, things will get progressively worse - at an accelerating rate - until the whole scheme completely falls apart. :(


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 Post subject: Re: "Life is about to get less fun, pretty quickly"
New postPosted: Fri Nov 18, 2005 7:25 pm 
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Fission
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Joined: Sun Aug 29, 2004 12:00 am
Posts: 2171
Flow wrote:
On a whole, worldwide production is still up. The countries in decline are totalling only a 1.8% decline on a whole so they are able to make up for the wells that are losing production. The countries that are not in decline only lose on average about 571,000 barrels of oil per day each year - TOTAL.


Flow, what's your source for this information?


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 Post subject: Re: "Life is about to get less fun, pretty quickly"
New postPosted: Sat Nov 19, 2005 6:30 pm 
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Intermediate Crude
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Joined: Fri Feb 25, 2005 1:00 am
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Quote:
demand destruction was the only way we were going to keep from having shortages.


Could someone tell me the difference betwen demand destruction and shortages? :P


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 Post subject: Re: "Life is about to get less fun, pretty quickly"
New postPosted: Sun Nov 20, 2005 3:36 am 
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Heavy Crude
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Joined: Sun Oct 02, 2005 12:00 am
Posts: 298
Location: North Wales , UK
I would guess demand destruction is caused by factors such as high prices. The end user experiences a "shortage" in a sense as they cant afford to buy what they waynt, but its not really a shortage as the commodity is there to buy, if they could afford it.

A shortage is when you could afford to buy the commodity , if only it was there to be had. You can have all the money in the world but if the commodity doesnt exist, you cant have it. A loaf of bread is a relatively cheap item well within the reach of most Russians pockets , yet at times the queues were long and the shelves were empty.

Paul


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