Peak Oil News

 

  Login or Register
 
Menu
 News
 Search
 Topics
 Stories Archive
 Submit News
 Discussions
 Code of Conduct
 Forums
 Forums Search
 Last 24 Hours
 PO 24hrs
 Peak Blog
 Resources
 About Us
 Downloads
 Web Links
 PeakWiki
 PeakPortal
 Focus Search
 Peak TV
 Peak Oil Boston
 Members
 Your Account
 Members List
 Ignore List
 JOIN!
 Private Messages
 
Light Sweet Crude Oil
 
google
 
PeakSpeak
NICKNAME

Download TeamSpeak
What is PeakSpeak?
Peak Oil on IRC
 
Member Quotes
Meanwhile, keep watching for shortage reports, because we should start seeing some sneak in this week, if our doom-o-meter is calibrated correctly.

pup55

Suggest Quote

 
Photo Album
Submit Photo
Peakoil.com is You!


member photos
 
ICM
Cisco & Net App Training
 
Peak Oil News: Forums

Peakoil.com :: View topic - The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread
 Forum FAQForum FAQ   SearchSearch   UsergroupsUsergroups   ProfileProfile   Log in to check your private messagesLog in to check your private messages   Log inLog in 

The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread
Goto page 1, 2, 3, 4  Next
 
Post new topic   Reply to topic   Printer-friendly version    Peakoil.com Forum Index -> Planning For The Future
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
mmasters
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Apr 16, 2006
Posts: 1881
Location: Mid-Atlantic

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2006 4:28 pm    Post subject: The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I think there's quite a lot of people on the board that aren't living in the best places and are thinking of relocation so best we all gang up and hash it out.

So on that note:

Where are the best places to relocate in the US for the future (all things considered)?

Here is the general criteria I can think of to base a decision off of. This criteria can of course be debated and furthered but the end goal is to deduce places that are relative best fits.

Location Criteria:

1) Locality of Natural Resources: Water, Agriculture, Livestock.

2) Someplace where the weather is not a big issue. No hurricanes, freezing winters, 120 degree summers, etc...

3) Not near any "mega" cities/suburbias: NYC, LA, etc...

4) Away from military bases.

5) People are educated or somewhat educated.

6) Not out in the middle of nowhere or a completely rural area.

____________________________________________________

Personally, I currently live in New York City.

I really don't think this isn't going to be the best place to live post peak.

The infrastructure of the city requires a massive amount of energy to keep in motion, dependency on material goods is high, everything is imported and the population is huge. Even basic resources here are at a premium relative to most other places.

Although in the short-term it isn't a bad place to be considering the lack of need for a car, however given enough time the rising cost of goods here will outweigh this I am sure.

So anyways a few years down the road I'm going to have to get out.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
bonjaski
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Feb 07, 2006
Posts: 135

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2006 4:55 pm    Post subject: Re: The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

The infrastructure of the city requires a massive amount of energy to keep in motion, dependency on material goods is high, everything is imported and the population is huge. Even basic resources here are at a premium relative to most other places.


hm no, i don't think so

since lquid fuel is our main problem,
i think its better to live in a megacity

you still will have all your comfort,

transport of food to the city could be optimized

there is no need for cars in a megacity, at least not here in Europe, so no need for liquid fuel;

and also transport from one mega city to an other megacity could be optimized;

i think the main problem of USA are all those spread little cities that demand travelling over long distances;

and what is a megacity? over 1-200.000 citizens?
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
pstarr
Expert
Expert


Joined: Sep 27, 2004
Posts: 7086
Location: Behind the Redwood Curtain

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2006 4:56 pm    Post subject: Re: The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I have said this several times on these boards: there is no "best" place to be post-peak. This is not a Fortune Magazine "Best Places" competition. An area that seems okay might on inspection turn out all wrong. And a place you wouldn't consider surprise you.

You must understand an essential consequence of oil depletion: Localization of agriculture, resources, production, nutrient and energy cycling, economy, consequence, and chaos will change the rules completely. We will see a spacial miniaturization of cause and effect. Entire regions will fragment and local climate, topography, demographics, and especially transportion systems become paramount.

In another words, local community characteristics become important. I would not want to be in the Bronx, Queens, Brooklyn or anywhere on Long Island. On the other hand Manattan is wealthy and defensible (connected to the poor areas of the city by only a half dozen bridges and several tunnels) And it is connected by major rail lines and barge (very cheap forms of transportation) to the breadbaskets of the United States.

The same goes for suburban areas: some are good, some are bad all over the US. Those folks who have open arable land, year-round water, proximitry to public transportation systems, and public services and security will be better of than those stuck exurban vacations communities, ranchettes, farmettes, etc. with no one around to help, no public transportation, no local agriculture community.

The best off: Small towns in rural, rich agriculture areas (not dry prairies states) near railroad or navigatable water ways, and within striking distance of big cities for industrial supplies.
_________________
director ree rah rip ram. sunofabitch godamn. hidey didey christ almighty. rah rah crap wav
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
MattSavinar
Elite
Elite


Joined: May 09, 2004
Posts: 1990

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2006 4:59 pm    Post subject: Re: The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

mmasters wrote:
I think there's quite a lot of people on the board that aren't living in the best places and are thinking of relocation so best we all gang up and hash it out.

So on that note:

Where are the best places to relocate in the US for the future (all things considered)?

Here is the general criteria I can think of to base a decision off of. This criteria can of course be debated and furthered but the end goal is to deduce places that are relative best fits.

Location Criteria:

1) Locality of Natural Resources: Water, Agriculture, Livestock.

2) Someplace where the weather is not a big issue. No hurricanes, freezing winters, 120 degree summers, etc...

3) Not near any "mega" cities/suburbias: NYC, LA, etc...

4) Away from military bases.

5) People are educated or somewhat educated.

6) Not out in the middle of nowhere or a completely rural area.

____________________________________________________

Personally, I currently live in New York City.

I really don't think this isn't going to be the best place to live post peak.

The infrastructure of the city requires a massive amount of energy to keep in motion, dependency on material goods is high, everything is imported and the population is huge. Even basic resources here are at a premium relative to most other places.

Although in the short-term it isn't a bad place to be considering the lack of need for a car, however given enough time the rising cost of goods here will outweigh this I am sure.

So anyways a few years down the road I'm going to have to get out.


A good resource for comparing places for some (but not all) of these criteria is http://www.bestplaces.net You can plug in pretty much any town and get all sorts of useful information on cost-of-living, climate, crime, etc.

(Note: I do sell their book on my site so it's in my financial interest to recommend them.)

Best,

Matt
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
MattSavinar
Elite
Elite


Joined: May 09, 2004
Posts: 1990

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2006 5:04 pm    Post subject: Re: The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

pstarr wrote:
I
The best off: Small towns in rural, rich agriculture areas (not dry prairies states) near railroad or navigatable water ways, and within striking distance of big cities for industrial supplies.


My opinion on these matters fluctutates quite a bit but for now it seems to me this would be the "best." Cities are likely to remain centers of economic activity for quite some time even when there is less oveall activity. So the US Post Office, for example, is more likely to close down an office in Willits (which is rural) than in San Francisco. Same thing for institutions like Greyhound. Thus being somewhat close to the cities may allow you to still get whatever fossil fuel goodies are still flowing around.

At the same time, I don't know if I'd feel comfortable being right smack in the middle of the cities 24/7/

Best,

Matt
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
pstarr
Expert
Expert


Joined: Sep 27, 2004
Posts: 7086
Location: Behind the Redwood Curtain

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2006 5:17 pm    Post subject: Re: The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

MattSavinar wrote:
So the US Post Office, for example, is more likely to close down an office in Willits (which is rural)
yeah. But who need news when you're stoned all the time?
_________________
director ree rah rip ram. sunofabitch godamn. hidey didey christ almighty. rah rah crap wav
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
coyote
News Editor
News Editor


Joined: Oct 23, 2005
Posts: 1713
Location: East of Eden

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2006 5:39 pm    Post subject: Re: The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I think I'm probably in one of the very worst places right now: San Diego county. Absolute water trap, low culture, ridiculous sprawl, no public transportation to speak of. Oh, there's the trolley that goes down the coast but that's about it.

I think one of the biggest factors is: where are there people you know, and can rely on? My first choice is the Pacific Northwest (no surprise there), but I'm also seriously considering Nashville, because I have a lot of good family there, and land is considerably more affordable than it is here on the Pacific. Nice town.
_________________
"If a path to the better there be, it begins with a full look at the worst." — Thomas Hardy
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
pstarr
Expert
Expert


Joined: Sep 27, 2004
Posts: 7086
Location: Behind the Redwood Curtain

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2006 5:53 pm    Post subject: Re: The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I don't know. Anywhere in coastal Calif. is pleasant and near the Central Valley for an endless supply of food and water. Why are you picking on San Diego? For a postpeak crap hole consider Las Vegas, Houston, or Miami. Most of the buildings in these cities will be uninhabitable without cheap airconditioning. For that matter consider Detroit or Houston or LA or Boston or all of Long Island Shocked
_________________
director ree rah rip ram. sunofabitch godamn. hidey didey christ almighty. rah rah crap wav
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
coyote
News Editor
News Editor


Joined: Oct 23, 2005
Posts: 1713
Location: East of Eden

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2006 6:45 pm    Post subject: Re: The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

pstarr wrote:
Why are you picking on San Diego?

Well, I've been living here for about 8 years, and I just don't think it's going to do very well. Awareness is pretty low, real estate prices are at giddy heights (over $600,000 median), endless strip malls attached to freeways, endless sprawl, you have to drive everywhere -- and people have already forgotten that our reservoirs were almost empty a few years ago, and likely will be again. We are in an arid area, and if the water goes -- or even just the ability to distribute it cheaply -- this area's in trouble. Las Vegas -- well, I agree with you about their air conditioning, but they're apparently extremely good about recycling their water.

At the very least, the severe real estate imbalance and lack of public transportation should lead to an economic implosion. But I think water will be a serious issue here too.

Edit: Los Angeles: couldn't agree more. They're really screwed.
_________________
"If a path to the better there be, it begins with a full look at the worst." — Thomas Hardy
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
mmasters
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Apr 16, 2006
Posts: 1881
Location: Mid-Atlantic

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2006 7:10 pm    Post subject: Re: The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

pstarr wrote:
I have said this several times on these boards: there is no "best" place to be post-peak. This is not a Fortune Magazine "Best Places" competition. An area that seems okay might on inspection turn out all wrong. And a place you wouldn't consider surprise you.

You must understand an essential consequence of oil depletion: Localization of agriculture, resources, production, nutrient and energy cycling, economy, consequence, and chaos will change the rules completely. We will see a spacial miniaturization of cause and effect. Entire regions will fragment and local climate, topography, demographics, and especially transportion systems become paramount.

In another words, local community characteristics become important. I would not want to be in the Bronx, Queens, Brooklyn or anywhere on Long Island. On the other hand Manattan is wealthy and defensible (connected to the poor areas of the city by only a half dozen bridges and several tunnels) And it is connected by major rail lines and barge (very cheap forms of transportation) to the breadbaskets of the United States.

The same goes for suburban areas: some are good, some are bad all over the US. Those folks who have open arable land, year-round water, proximitry to public transportation systems, and public services and security will be better of than those stuck exurban vacations communities, ranchettes, farmettes, etc. with no one around to help, no public transportation, no local agriculture community.

The best off: Small towns in rural, rich agriculture areas (not dry prairies states) near railroad or navigatable water ways, and within striking distance of big cities for industrial supplies.


That's true about manhattan, it has its roots in some relatively cheap transportation. And, in its current form it can not be supported, it will have to go back to it's roots. What I'm saying though is the city itself is one of the worlds most extreme products of cheap oil. The maintainance required to keep it running smooth takes enormous amounts of energy. Long term l see it certainly turning into a total relic of what it is now, with crime rampent. I don't see it as a particularly "nice" place to live long-term.

I've kind of been coming to the conclusion of mid-size towns with the qualities you described as they were some of the best places to live pre-oil and all the way back to the earliest empires. However I don't think rural small town is necessarily the best though unless you're being conservative. It may but I don't think it will go as local as you're saying unless it all falls apart. I think it will go more semi-regional. Even before the days of oil it was semi-regional. Completely local is a bit mad-max isn't it?


Last edited by mmasters on Sun Apr 16, 2006 7:30 pm; edited 1 time in total
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
LadyRuby
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Jun 13, 2005
Posts: 1206
Location: Western US

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2006 7:25 pm    Post subject: Re: The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

MattSavinar wrote:
(Note: I do sell their book on my site so it's in my financial interest to recommend them.)

Best,

Matt


Wow, I appreciate that kind of honesty!
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
mmasters
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Apr 16, 2006
Posts: 1881
Location: Mid-Atlantic

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2006 7:26 pm    Post subject: Re: The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

coyote wrote:
I think I'm probably in one of the very worst places right now: San Diego county. Absolute water trap, low culture, ridiculous sprawl, no public transportation to speak of. Oh, there's the trolley that goes down the coast but that's about it.

I think one of the biggest factors is: where are there people you know, and can rely on? My first choice is the Pacific Northwest (no surprise there), but I'm also seriously considering Nashville, because I have a lot of good family there, and land is considerably more affordable than it is here on the Pacific. Nice town.


Pacific northwest looks pretty good. I've been thinking some of the smaller/medium size cities around portland oregon like salem. Although I've never really explored that area in person, so perhaps it ain't all I'm thinking it is. I know mike ruppert lives somewhere in southern oregon, medford I think, so perhaps that's a good spot at but I think his conclusions can be a little extreme.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
LadyRuby
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Jun 13, 2005
Posts: 1206
Location: Western US

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2006 7:27 pm    Post subject: Re: The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

mmasters wrote:
Pacific northwest looks pretty good. I've been thinking some of the smaller/medium size cities around portland oregon like salem. Although I've never really explored that area in person, so perhaps it ain't all I'm thinking it is. I know mike ruppert lives somewhere in southern oregon, medford I think, so perhaps that's a good spot at but I think his conclusions can be a little extreme.


I think you're onto something. In western oregon you could get by without heat or air conditioning, and Oregon gets a lot of electricity from hydroelectric.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
coyote
News Editor
News Editor


Joined: Oct 23, 2005
Posts: 1713
Location: East of Eden

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2006 7:38 pm    Post subject: Re: The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

mmasters wrote:
I know mike ruppert lives somewhere in southern oregon, medford I think...

The Medford area is precisely one of the spots I've got my eye on -- Ashland in particular. Wonderful little town, good culture (great Shakespeare festival!), surrounded by wilderness, a few miles away from Medford, which is a larger city -- and still near California, the state in which I grew up.

I've also looked at places on the Oregon coast; the Eureka area (Arcadia [edit: Arcata] in particular) on the California coast; and the Redding area, by Mount Shasta. The wine country of California is gorgeous, but likely to be economically impacted by climate change. But if I could afford it I'd do the Santa Cruz mountains, in a heartbeat. In a perfect world where I win the lottery tomorrow (even though I don't play), that would probably be my first choice.
_________________
"If a path to the better there be, it begins with a full look at the worst." — Thomas Hardy


Last edited by coyote on Sun Apr 16, 2006 11:18 pm; edited 1 time in total
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
thuja
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Oct 15, 2005
Posts: 1479
Location: Portland, Oregon

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2006 8:12 pm    Post subject: Re: The BEST Post-Peak U.S. Locations Thread Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Being an Oregonian I can say that Ashland is a beautiful place...but the prices are incredibly high for housing and there are serious water shortage problems looming. Once you get south of Eugene, you've got more drout and H20 shortage problems to contend with. Shasta area is great- the prices for homes are less and you have timber and more water; but man its far away from anything and what do you do for a living? Especially when the economy really tanks.

Here's a few of my top picks--- Eugene, Astoria, Hood River, Olympia, Bellingham, Port Angeles and parts of the Willamette Valley- Woodburn, Salem, etc. These are all moderately sized towns that have sufficient rainfall, timber for building and heat, hydroelectric power and a generally liberal outlook and good homegrown pot that makes people a little more mellow and community oriented around these parts.

So Peak Oil Californians with equity-- Sell up and buy a nice home for 2-300,000 in any of those towns. Downsize, cut the credit cards and grow some veg in that backyard. Life is good here. But don't tell your friends about it...lol
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail
Display posts from previous:   
Post new topic   Reply to topic   Printer-friendly version    Peakoil.com Forum Index -> Planning For The Future All times are GMT - 6 Hours
Goto page 1, 2, 3, 4  Next
Page 1 of 4

 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum

Atom News FeedRSS 1.0 News FeedRSS 2.0 News FeedRSS Forums Feed