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Page added on June 22, 2014

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The Next 20 Years Will Not Be Like the Last 20 Years

The Status Quo is not sustainable. Here are some resources on the many reasons why.

Coming to the understanding that the Status Quo is not sustainable is often a crooked path of overcoming programming, propaganda, denial and fear. My colleagues at peakprosperity.com (where I am a contributing writer) have summarized why the Status Quo is not sustainable in an engaging one-hour video program:

Why The Next 20 Years Will Be Completely Unlike The Last 20the ‘Accelerated’ Crash Course (56 minutes).

The program’s roots are in Chris Martenson’s original video presentation, The Crash Course, a series that went viral around the time of the Global Financial Meltdown. The entire series has been completely reworked, and this one-hour summary introduces the key dynamics in a way that is accessible to those to whom these concepts and realities are new.

This program is free. If you’ve been looking for one program that would help those who are new to the topics of unsustainability, this is it.

One of my jobs (to use the term loosely) is to curate the vast trove of information the global correspondents of this site submit to further my own education. Another is to attempt to keep track of new books and what’s being published in influential journals.

Here is a limited selection of recent books that speak to the topic The Next 20 Years Will Not Be Like the Last 20 Years–Here’s Why. This is by no means authoritative or complete–but it is an interesting taste of the significant work being published.

The Open-Source Everything Manifesto: Transparency, Truth, and Trust

Makers: The New Industrial Revolution

Why Don’t Students Like School: A Cognitive Scientist Answers Questions About How the Mind Works and What It Means for the Classroom

The Great Degeneration: How Institutions Decay and Economies Die

The Unwinding: An Inner History of the New America

Mass Flourishing: How Grassroots Innovation Created Jobs, Challenge, and Change

Smart Cities: Big Data, Civic Hackers, and the Quest for a New Utopia

Extortion: How Politicians Extract Your Money, Buy Votes, and Line Their Own Pockets

The Tyranny of Experts: Economists, Dictators, and the Forgotten Rights of the Poor

Fragile by Design: The Political Origins of Banking Crises and Scarce Credit

Dirty Wars: The World Is A Battlefield

Deep State: Inside the Government Secrecy Industry

You may also find my list of hundreds of Books/Films of interest.

Charles Hugh-Smith from Of TwoMinds blog



11 Comments on "The Next 20 Years Will Not Be Like the Last 20 Years"

  1. J-Gav on Sun, 22nd Jun 2014 11:02 am 

    I watched Martenson’s Crash Course when it first came out and, while it wasn’t my first or only source of such info, it confirmed a lot of things I was already becoming pretty convinced of.

    I still found the new ‘accelerated’ version worth watching as it’s more condensed and focused and serves as a good reminder on how ‘The 3 E s’ are interwined (Economy, energy, environment.)

  2. Perk Earl on Sun, 22nd Jun 2014 1:41 pm 

    Martenson’s video encapsulated says: We are on a 99.99% exponential money and debt creation curve requiring economic growth that is unsustainable due to diminishing net energy, but it’s not a message of doom and gloom?

    Because we can buy locally and grow our own vegetables? I think there’s a failure there to see the interconnectedness required to keep society functioning. Locally we can’t get a lot of things, so they are trucked in. How do we get those things post collapse? What happens when we need to replace the batteries for our solar system? How is not a message of doom and gloom when we all know that post collapse there is no way to feed seven+ billion people?

  3. J-Gav on Sun, 22nd Jun 2014 2:27 pm 

    Perk – When he says he’s not ‘doom and gloom,’ it’s for 3 reasons:

    1 – He can’t, not only because he’s got kids that wouldn’t go down too well with;

    2 – but also because he knows it would put off 90% of the public who would just tune out and go deeper into drugs, video games, whatever tickles them;

    3- He makes a living, at least partially, off keeping people concentrated on what CAN be done, not on what can’t.

    Do I hold that against him? Not really. He knows, and says it if you read between the lines a bit, that the odds are not particularly good for any kind of smooth transition.

  4. Davy, Hermann, MO on Sun, 22nd Jun 2014 3:27 pm 

    Gav, I know what you are saying because I am a doomer and prepper. I am open with my family and friends about it. I am on the mild side and I watch what I say, when I say it, and how forceful I say it. If you are in the game of influencing people timing is important. The delivery system is important so to speak. Most people don’t want to hear a message without hope and possibility. It is human nature and to fight that human nature is counterproductive. I feel my mission is to sell ice to an eskimo so to speak.

  5. peakyeast on Sun, 22nd Jun 2014 4:12 pm 

    What i like and notice about this condensed version of the crash course is that emphasis on the importance of oil (energy) has become much more visible.

  6. Tedman on Sun, 22nd Jun 2014 7:36 pm 

    I don’t tell people much other than I believe in peak oil and the possible outcomes….but I really don’t what the outcome is going to be and neither does anyone here. People who think they have it all figured out are full of sh**…..and trust me there is a lot of know it alls here….

  7. DMyers on Sun, 22nd Jun 2014 10:57 pm 

    Chris Martinsen has turned out to be the Prophet of the Exponential Function. His example of water drops in Yankee Stadium should move anyone to a sense of urgency. Remember, within one hour, one goes from a sense of normal security to drowning. The final crescendo really is overwhelmingly rapid.

    In other words, all fantasies about how you can suddenly adapt and be ready for anything will fall to the reality of collapse velocity without reprieve.

    Chris, you’ve made it clear. The last twenty will never be revived. When you use up everything now, there’s nothing left for later.

  8. Davy, Hermann, MO on Mon, 23rd Jun 2014 7:05 am 

    D, great concept “Collapse velocity” without reprieve. It reminds me of the velocity of money circulation. So in the same way as economic activity from increased currency circulation breeds economic activity we see chaos from collapsing complexity breeding more collapse.

  9. Juan Pueblo on Mon, 23rd Jun 2014 9:41 am 

    JGav & Davy, that’s the way I see what he does, too. I basically agree with all the comments above. This is a hard message to deliver to family and friends.
    I have watched the original Crash Course a few times as I’ ve used it as a tool to teach my family and friends about these issues. I will put this shorter version to good use.
    I am grateful to Chris Martenson for the work he has done.

  10. Jerry McManus on Mon, 23rd Jun 2014 9:46 am 

    The corollary to exponential growth is exponential depletion.

    If you drink a milkshake by doubling the straws with each sip, you only need to get to a glass half full before there is just one sip left.

    It may have taken 100 years to consume half the recoverable oil in the world, it will probably not take 20 years to burn the other half. Not at the rate we’re going.

  11. Tedman on Mon, 23rd Jun 2014 10:57 am 

    I heard this guy on Porter Stansbury podcast and he sounded just like Daniel Yergin….about oil…Stansbury was all geared up to rip into his doom and stuff and Martenson just agreed with him on everything….So I am not sure what he stands for…I live in a city of about 45,000 and I can’t leave my family so I am stocking up on Ammo and canned food…keeping my bike in good condition in case I have to ride out in the country and steal food….I am just glad I don’t live in the Ozarks anymore…..all hell is going to break loose there! More guns and ammo there per capita than anywhere else..but for the most part without oil I don’t see very many people surviving much of anything and who would really want to….Martenson’s video is professionally done but what is he really selling? I don’t think it will be a peace loving collapse— more like WW3…most preppers are delusional hoping everyone else will die off..while they sit and eat there food telling the sunset “I told them” “nobody listened to me”!!!

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