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Nuclear War Is Inevitable Unless Cooler Heads Prevail

General Ideas

As the Syrian and Russian governments accuse the United States of trying to invent reasons to launch an attack in the Middle East, an international group of former military and diplomatic leaders is warning of an “unacceptably high” risk of global nuclear war if cooler heads don’t prevail.

In an 11-page report from the Nuclear Crisis Group (NCG) — a subcommittee of Global Zero, an organization that supports the total abolition of nuclear weapons — the former officials make recommendations to governments on ways to de-escalate tensions around the world.

“The Nuclear Crisis Group assesses that the risk of nuclear weapons use, intended or otherwise, is unacceptably high and that all states must take constructive steps to reduce these risks,” NCG asserted. NCG is a committee made up of individuals from 10 different countries, including Russia, China, and the United States.

NCG continued in its overview before getting to the specific recommendations. The group echoed the stance of its mother organization, Global Zero:

“The only way to eliminate fully the risks of nuclear weapons use is through their abolition. To achieve this, states with nuclear capabilities need, at a minimum, to reduce their reliance on nuclear weapons in their national defense plans, cease expansion of their nuclear arsenals, and reduce the number of weapons.”

On the deteriorating situation with North Korea, which NCG considers a primary concern, the group said a true de-escalation of tensions will take some time but that sanctions have clearly failed and that genuine diplomacy is the only avenue:

“To reduce immediate nuclear risks, the United States and North Korea should resume bilateral discussions immediately without preconditions.”

To get both sides to the table, the group suggested an immediate first step is for the U.S. to knock off the military aggression in the region. Specifically, NCG said the United States should “suspend flights of strategic bombers and visits by strategic submarines” and “refrain from provocative military actions that could escalate to nuclear conflict.”

On Russia, NCG again said diplomacy is the answer. The group recommended that the “United States, Russia and NATO states commit not to issue public threats of nuclear first use” and “rapidly launch US-Russia strategic stability talks focusing on potential dangers flowing from existing and potential nuclear deployments, doctrines and modernization programs.”

When it comes to China, NCG found that while its relationship with the U.S. is improving in some areas, true progress has been hindered by a “changing balance of forces” and a “deep-seated lack of trust.”

“China’s growth in power and influence comes into tension with America’s global power and status. If not wisely managed on both sides, an incident in the region runs the serious risk of escalation,” the group wrote in its report.

And if an incident does occur in the region, chances are good it will take place in the South China Sea, where China has built and begun militarizing artificial islands. On that front, NCG recommends that China cease such activity and that all state actors in the region — including the U.S. — should jointly agree to protect shipping lanes and air transit routes and come up with guidelines that would allow all to prosper from trade.

As for the nuclear states of India and Pakistan, NCG found the biggest threat comes from those countries’ lack of security features in their programs. In speaking to Politico about the NCG report, Global Zero co-founder and former nuclear missile officer Bruce Blair said those programs lack the sophistication of those of other nuclear states:

“They lack safety features and the risk they would detonate from an accident is uncomfortably high. They have not developed the safety features that the U.S. and Russia have.”

The report further recommends that all nuclear states adopt no-first-use policies, greatly improve methods of communication to reduce confusion among nations should a crisis erupt, and develop cybersecurity measures to guard against the hacking of nuclear operations.

14 Comments on "Nuclear War Is Inevitable Unless Cooler Heads Prevail"

  1. Sissyfuss on Tue, 4th Jul 2017 6:42 pm 

    The fat haircut is making President Trumpet nervouser as his missiles keep increasing in distance. Or maybe it’s a plot by all concerned to keep the MIC fully financed.

  2. Makati1 on Tue, 4th Jul 2017 7:37 pm 

    Sissy, it is ALL about $$$$$. The war industry need enemies and if there are none they create them. It is a trillion dollar business. And the U$ is all about “business”.

    Their newest weapon is ISIS. ISIS “just happened” to pop up in the Philippines after it’s new prez called Obama a bastard and turned to China and Russia for new ties and trade. It has now popped up along the key route of the new “Silk Road” China is building to circumnavigate any U$ blockages of it’s trade. War by any means. $$$$$

    Coincidence. Hell No! Deliberate. That is one of the reasons I (and billions more) will cheer the day the U$ falls. Maybe world peace would be possible if the FSofA was not able to support a world wide war of terror. Blow-back is going to be a wild, rabid, bitch when it hits the U$, and well deserved by its greedy, ignorant, slothful, serfs who did nothing to stop their war mongering government as long as the goodies flowed into their pockets.

  3. Sissyfuss on Tue, 4th Jul 2017 9:48 pm 

    Mak, I know the priorities are money and power for our current iteration of by the people but don’t blame all of us. Jefferson said spill some blood on a regular basis but none can get close to those who deserve it. So we end up spilling each others. The frustration is palpable but usually misdirected. Things are getting ready to blow.

  4. Makati1 on Tue, 4th Jul 2017 9:59 pm 

    “The Pentagon has thrown a cloak of secrecy over assessments of the safety and security of its nuclear weapons operations, a part of the military with a history of periodic inspection failures and lapses in morale.”

    The US has new weapons systems that are not able to do their claimed job and a nuke arsenal 30+ years old and may not even work. Sleep well in your beds tonight, the MIC has your back. LMAO

  5. Makati1 on Tue, 4th Jul 2017 10:02 pm 

    Sissy, last time I checked, the 325,000,000+ Americans easily out numbered the few thousand that need killing. Don’t tell me that change is not possible. It is just not wanted … yet. When they are forced to put down their I-toys and get their fat asses off of the couch, it will happen, but it will be too late. The U$ will be dead.

  6. Davy on Wed, 5th Jul 2017 12:02 am 

    makati, the harder you try the less effect you have. I respect a good anti-American. I also respect a tough opponent. I do not respect you because you are foolish and emotional. You have deeper motives and these motives are your personal motives. The worst enemy is the traitor because they must prove far more to garner loyalty. When you turn on your own you carry a filth that can never be washed away. In your case you are just a washed up old man but you think you special. In your mind you are special. That is why I don’t respect you.

  7. Makati1 on Wed, 5th Jul 2017 1:00 am 

    Davy, you are not an opponent. you are just another deluded America with a self righteous, exceptionalist attitude. Thinks he is knows everything about everything because he is a 1%er with delusions of importance.

    Emotional? From the Missouri Mule who reverts to name calling like a schoolyard bully, or is your memory so short that you do not recall the hundreds of times you have reverted to that action with me and many others here?

    Motives? Yep, and so do you. You cannot accept that you live in a worse country than I do. It would hurt your ego too much. I made my decision and,after 9+ years, I know it was the right one.

    Traitor? Because I see my country for what it is and refuse to promote its filth, immorality and methods? I don’t pretend patriotism for the U$. I no longer have any. I served my country for 11 years, Did you? I paid my taxes for about 50 years. I have the freedom and right to live where I chose, as do you. I owe no one. I no longer have to pay taxes to the Empire. I am just collecting the retirement that I was forced to pay into. And I will enjoy every cent of it, as long as it lasts.

    I don’t want your respect. It is worthless, considering the source. One of the true freedoms is to not give a damn about what others think. That comes from age and experience. I don’t have to prove myself to anyone. Those who know me respect me for myself, my intelligence and wisdom because I have proved it in the past. You will never experience that freedom it because you are too insecure to even consider it, or live long enough to have a real perspective on life.

    Buckle Up, Davy, the bumpy ride for Americans is just beginning.

  8. Makati1 on Wed, 5th Jul 2017 5:11 am 

    “Is it possible those showing disrespect to the flag just need to be educated about the symbolism? … purity, innocence, hardiness, valor, vigilance, perseverance, and justice. …

    Does a pure country run torture camps or turn a blind eye when its allies do? Does an innocent nation intentionally foster a civil war in which millions of civilians are killed or displaced for political and economic gain? Does a hardy country turn away those seeking help because it is too difficult? Does a valorous nation conduct a drone strike program in which 90% of those killed are “collateral damage”? Do vigilant citizens let the government run amok, or should they monitor government overreach the way the Founding Fathers intended? Does the country display the perseverance to forge ahead through danger and terror, or does it let the fear generated by a tiny minority of extremists control its foreign policy? Is there true justice when the nation has the largest inmate population on the planet and law enforcement kills an unarmed person 10% of the time they kill someone? …

    Vast quantities of Americans no longer respect the American flag because the ideas it is meant to symbolize are lost. If you started reading this in hopes of restoring respect for the flag, it’s probably your fault. Blind respect for the flag accompanied by apathy as the things it represents are destroyed has rendered the flag meaningless. …

    When the flag was first hoisted, the country didn’t live up to the symbolism. Genocide, slavery, and injustice followed it everywhere it went as the nation spread from sea to shining sea. …

    Your blind obedience to the state and the refusal to think about the symbolism of the flag disrespected it long before the first drop of gasoline touched it. You more than disrespected it, you killed it.”

    Nuff said.

  9. Davy on Wed, 5th Jul 2017 5:25 am 

    I know a bumpy ride is ahead. You are clueless one.

  10. Makati1 on Wed, 5th Jul 2017 5:52 am 

    If you know, then you are wasting your time on here. You should be building that bomb shelter, like in the 50s and 60s. LOL

  11. Davy on Wed, 5th Jul 2017 5:59 am 

    clueless, you might want to consider a super typhoon shelter on the fantasy farm. LOL

  12. onlooker on Wed, 5th Jul 2017 6:19 am 

    Vast quantities of Americans no longer respect the American flag because the ideas it is meant to symbolize are lost.—
    Unfortunately, Mak is right. Many good Americans still populate the US and some are waking up to the treason that our Govt and Corporations have committed upon the ideals this country was founded on. Too bad that the brainwashing and lure of the leisurely hedonistic lifestyle was so strong and effective that many of us were willfully or unwillfully negligent in trying to steer this country along a more wholesome and honorable path

  13. Makati1 on Wed, 5th Jul 2017 7:13 am 

    Onlooker, well stated. Yes, there are some good people left, most too old, too young or otherwise unable to do anything about the current situation even if they wanted to, but the majority who could are, as you described, busy living beyond their means because they have been brainwashed to believe that “stuff” is the road to happiness and they are willing to turn a blind eye to the destruction it causes in the rest of the world.

    If 10,000,000 marched on Washington, the government would take notice and do something about it. Better yet, everyone sell all their stocks and bonds (401ks and other retirement investments included) and take down the system that supports the current terrorist enabling government. But, I will not hold my breath. Nothing but a catastrophe will wake them up. I don’t think it will be long now.

  14. Davy on Wed, 5th Jul 2017 7:57 am 

    Vast quantities? Is that a good way to phase it? Lol. Circle jerk gang

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