KaiserJeep wrote:AdamB, I like your enthusiasm, and I personally am a fan of EVs. But in the US we bought 159,139 EVs in 2016, out of 17,550,000 total vehicles.
An amazingly large number in such a short period of time since peak oil way back when brought our need to stop wasting liquid fuels in our cars, I agree. Remember when folks claimed that peak oil itself would stop these kinds of solutions, and then it didn't, and now there are 159K buying EVs!!
Unfortunately, peak oil also caused an expected production response, although I think that doubling US oil production was far more of response than most expected, and that supply response was enough to screw up global oil prices to the point where most folks are quite happy with real gasoline prices in the States getting back to early 1970's levels. And then rush out and buy those SUVs.
But even I see the sense in it, been discussing with the wife the fleet composition, and it might be something like a Bolt for all normal duties, and then a nice Expedition to do traveling outside the Bolt's radius. Although that seems a bit overkill for the half dozen times a year it might be needed. But still, based on what industry has managed to go, and is currently doing even at the $50/bbl level, we might be looking at these low fuel prices for a long time. Let's here it for the rapacious free market of the oil bizness!
Kaiser Jeep wrote:
That is in fact up 37% over EV sales in 2015, but still only a 0.9% market share. This is simply not enough to make a dent in oil use, the demand for oil is still increasing.
The demand for oil is certainly still increasing. But it isn't for me, it has gotten so bad around my home that we don't even know the price of gasoline is except maybe once or twice a year, either when road tripping or needing to fill the lawnmower. I suppose with spring coming I'll need to go back out again sometime in the next couple months and see what gasoline prices are like.
But that world consuming more? Folks far more energy intelligent than us peaker types are looking at growth in consumption, and efficiency, and structural changes in consumption, and they are seeing peak demand, not peak oil. Of course, they are actual experts (we only have one expert of that caliber who stops in, Mike Lynch) but his peers are latching onto peak demand. She might be biased, she drives an EV like the wife's, but that just means that smart women think alike.
http://www.resilience.org/stories/2015- ... -excerpts/