Re: EIA's IPM confirms 2005 as peak production
Posted: Sat 15 Aug 2009, 13:08:33
The discussion is good for all of us. First, Europe and Japan has been on a oil diet for 40 years. The problem is that with all the massive investment in efficiency,high oil taxes, nuclear etc. they still need a huge quantity of imported oil for their societies. If it has taken Europe 40 years to reach this result, when should we start to do what Europe and Japan have done? Growth in oil producing countries some other countries is largely based on subsidizing domestic oil. So we have different parts of the world taking contradicting courses towards oil usage. Cheery picking is a universal sport in this type of environment, which is why I try to rely principally on world data for demand data as flawed as it probably is. Supply is the sum of parts that are easier to discuss on a regional basis.
Another part of this discussion should be "What is the implication if each side of the debate is wrong?" And in this regard, shouldn't a discussion about "minimizing maximum loss" be included under various scenarios.
Another part of this discussion should be "What is the implication if each side of the debate is wrong?" And in this regard, shouldn't a discussion about "minimizing maximum loss" be included under various scenarios.