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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Watching the Watchdogs

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Watching the Watchdogs

Unread postby dashster » Mon 17 Nov 2014, 00:02:49

http://integralpermaculture.wordpress.c ... y-outlook/
http://www.resilience.org/stories/2009- ... rojections

IEA 2005 forecast for 2030 oil demand: 120 million barrels/day.
IEA 2006 forecast for 2030 oil demand: 116 million barrels/day.
IEA 2007 forecast for 2030 oil demand: 116 million barrels/day.
IEA 2008 forecast for 2030 oil demand: 105 million barrels/day.
IEA 2009 forecast for 2030 oil demand: 105 million barrels/day.
IEA 2010 forecast for 2035 oil demand: 99 million barrels/day.
IEA 2011 forecast for 2035 oil demand: 99 million barrels/day.
IEA 2012 forecast for 2035 oil demand: 99 million barrels/day.
IEA 2013 forecast for 2035 oil demand: 101 million barrels/day.
IEA 2014 forecast for 2040 oil demand: 104 million barrels/day.

Note that the IEA allegedly forecasts demand, with an assumption that supply will meet demand.

IEA 2007 stated decline rate for producing fields: 3.7%
IEA 2008 stated decline rate for producing fields: 6.7%

Difference was explained by top guy who said that the 2007 figure was an assumption, the 2008 figure was from a major study.
dashster
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