Dezakin wrote:You're talking about two entirely different things, long term viability of the resource base, which I think we can agree is assured for any long term period, and short term supply.
neverending short term problems become long term.
Assured supplies are a forecast of the industry. And facing the many failed forecasts i started to pay attention to what is being said.
are the any production numbers available for 2007 to check up that forecast? For if short term forecasts all fail, who will believe a long term assumption?
We have over 1 million tons of depleted uranium stockpiles and surplus enrichment capacity
how many SWUs exactly out of 50 million we have got are surplus?
please link a document or a calculation.
, and strong price signals for opening new mines and expanding surplus capacity. Are you suggesting this just isn't going to happen? Do you really believe thats likely?
I am questioning the ability to forecast the transition from signals to action. Mind the 2007 production numbers. are they available?
if short term forecasts fail for a timeperiod long enough they also fail long term.
that has become my opinion after looking some numbers up for myself.
look, what i want is to just see the exact numbers. When somebody says: "We can mine whatever uranium we need from any ore you like", and then I see the numbers on existing *large* mines struggling to cough up just 300 ton more out of lean ores - what do you think I should believe then?