americandream wrote:In the meantime, your denial is probably healthy for your sanity as I don't think that you are capable of handling the truth.
That's bullshit. I read all kinds of stuff on peak oil. I have for years. I used to take the whole Hubbertian analysis seriously until I started digging in to the details.
This has happened to others too. For example, we used to have a very conscientious member here by the name of FatherOfTwo who used to read and read and ask lots of questions and he dug in and really got into the weeds of peak oil. This was his last post:
Honestly I don't follow peakoil.com that much anymore (although I do pop in every now and then to the economic forum to read MrBill's very, very insightful posts) Here's why I don't follow it too much anymore, and why I would suggest doing a lot more reading before taking the "doomer's prep stage":
I started reading and researching peak oil in 2004 (as you can see by my join date and number of posts) It rattled me extensively as I was seriously uneducated about the topic at the time. I became a frequent visitor to this site and my appetite for energy related news and information became ravenous. I also became pretty depressed about the whole thing.
Over the years I have done a tremendous amount more reading and I've also attended the UofC's IEEE speaker sessions too. (I highly recommend those) With much more info under my belt and 4 years of reflection, I have a very different point of view now - and that is that we are headed for a gut wrenching adjustment, but doom due to peak oil is not on the horizon. This thread is not the place for me to extrapolate on my position.
In general I think blukatzen has good recommendations: living locally and sustainably is good regardless of what happens with Peak Oil. But as someone who has 4 years of this topic under his belt, I'd caution you to do more research before "prepping". peakoil.com is slanted hard towards the doomer side of things, and as with any topic it's best to get all the facts and a full sampling of viewpoints before betting the ranch on any one outcome.
I'm willing to discuss things further via PM but this thread isn't the place to continue any discussions on this matter.
Cheers and best of luck,
...and that's the thing with PeakOil.com; the people who dig in and read and discover that the Hubbertian analysis doesn't quite stand up -- they leave! And they don't come back! So the only people who stick around here are those that buy into the doom prophecy like the Second Coming or something.
And look, we always see the same paltry few posters submitting threads here. Compared to the supposed dire global seriousness of peak oil, the site sure isn't attracting very many new people... I mean, just look at this thread -- honestly, it's just the familiar few dozen names of the choir preaching to same.
I posted an excellent thread on a new book, "Oil Panic and the Global Collapse" by Stanford Earth Scientist Stephen Gorelick (which you can torrent for free). After reading that book, you'll see what FatherOfTwo (and people like me) mean when they say that there just isn't any sign of cataclysm on the horizon. Peak oil is a problem, sure. But the doomer perspective here is just way, way over the top.