ROCKMAN wrote:"...and can overall world continue roughly at the same output?" The US is a major food exporter. And what country is a major supplier of wheat to the EU? The Ukraine. And of the top 9 wheat exporting countries 7 are oil importers. And we all know how modern commercial agriculture is heavily dependent upon fossil fuels. As goes the fossil fuels so goes agricultural exports.
Alfred Tennyson wrote:We are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
pstarr wrote:"Morocco has about 400 years worth of phosphate at current rates, there is no immediate concern there."
Not if you apply Hubbert's calculus to the reserves.
or this, the so-called linearization:
It's the same issue with peak oil. Maybe not today or tomorrow, but the shortage is baked into the pie, and with a burgeoning population and depletions among other phosphorus reserves, this issue does suggest serious consideration . . . perhaps screaming yikes! would be appropriate lol
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