ROCKMAN wrote:"In any event it was the shale impact that has largely changed the view of peak...". Hopefully at a minimum more folks understand the relatively unimportance of the date of global PO.
Those are the folks saying it happened a decade ago Rockman. But those of us who see the prices at the pump understand, it was so unimportant, that real gasoline prices in my neighborhood are back to what they were in early 1970's. Unimportant indeed.
Rockman wrote:And additionally realize that on that date oil might be selling for $100/bbl or $30/bbl.
No, they don't realize that. When oil cracked $40/bbl a decade or so back people were crapping in their pants over what was claimed to be peak oil pricing signals. Peak oil wasn't supposed to be about low prices Rock, ever. That claim only came about when it happened a decade ago, and people suffered from a near meltdown of cognitive dissonance when prices went down from oversupply.
Rockman wrote:IOW moving further away from the bumper stick mentality of such a complex dynamic.
It isn't complex, to them, Rockman. Just slap a bell shaped on..anything...and then read doomer porn from the usual suspects while denying whatever reality presents itself when the expected happens...you didn't do it right. How many times has this pattern repeated itself? Peak oil was once cool...it caused grown men to bravely state how brave they were, preparing for their role in the
fun horrors to come!
THE FIRE HAS BEGUN!!!!
(otherwise known as the supply response to price resulting in glut, and people of low tolerance for being laughed at taking the easy way out)
http://www.fromthewilderness.com/free/w ... corp.shtml
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."
Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"