Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

The Fallacy of predicting production

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: The Fallacy of predicting production

Unread postby ralfy » Fri 02 Mar 2012, 10:00:53

Besides oil production, there's also oil production per capita, which peaked in 1979.
User avatar
ralfy
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 5600
Joined: Sat 28 Mar 2009, 11:36:38
Location: The Wasteland

Re: The Fallacy of predicting production

Unread postby babystrangeloop » Fri 02 Mar 2012, 10:47:35

AirlinePilot wrote:The reason Im pointing this out is simple. We continue to see people post here showing charts and graphs which Include reports and predictions from these "credible" agencies which support that global crude production is climbing. Total Liquids are, but barely.

Oh yes, "total liquids".

My dictionary defines "total liquids" as "we are hoping you do not understand energy density".

Energy Units and Conversions
by Dennis Silverman / U. C. Irvine, Physics and Astronomy


Crude Oil 5.6 million BTU/barrel

Natural gas liquids 4.2 million BTU/barrel

Approximate but good enough for this statement:

To combine those two liquids into a single count of barrels hides reductions in the available energy from liquid fuels.

I have yet to see a chart of "BTUs from total liquids over time". They probably exist in private and they probably look frightening.
babystrangeloop
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 638
Joined: Sat 25 Jun 2011, 04:34:57

Previous

Return to Peak Oil Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 185 guests

cron