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THE Cantarell Thread (merged)

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby DoomersUnite » Fri 05 Nov 2010, 22:50:01

Cid_Yama wrote:DoomerUnite, we cannot be responsible for your ignorance of the facts concerning the state of oil discovery over the last half century.


Or yours. Certainly the claims of "the supergiants are dying!" is the very basis for Jimmy Carter telling us we were going to run out by the end of the 80's. He even used the now famous "Saudi Arabia every 3 years" claims....which your argument appears to run dangerously close to. You deem it more valid now than then? I would agree. But your basis for this not being the same "boy who cried wolf" routine as Jimmy might be what? "Just go read the Peak Oil Bible and all shall be revealed"?

Cid_Yama wrote:You apparently choose not to educate yourself in this regard, so just spout nonsense that you would rather believe.

That doesn't change the facts.


Quite true. How many Saudi Arabia's were added to OPEC between Jimmys 1977 speech and nowadays? 5? 10? Certainly they must explain why we didn't run out in the late 80's.....oh...and thanks for avoiding even mentioning the reference provided. Can't have any debate involving the actual experts commenting on the topic, now can we? Whats a trillion barrels among friends, right? :lol:
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby DoomersUnite » Fri 05 Nov 2010, 22:59:01

pstarr wrote:
DoomersUnite wrote:You mean Simmons claiming the Saudi's were done...in 2004? The irony being, he was done before Ghawar was..who would have thought that? "Twightlight in Maine".
Irony? You see no irony in you denial? Are you that venal? You don't really believe that by referencing one person's odd remark, one isolated off-handed comment out of context in an unrelated circumstance, that you can besmirch a brilliant and brave independent thinker who happened to have the strength of his convictions, and the comfort of a successful life in investment banking.


You mean, Mr "METHANE IS TOXIC" Simmons who apparently never in his life ate beans? One odd remark? Bring on the nukes! Where's the casing! BP is going bankrupt! The leak is 7 miles away! Its 120K barrels! Lake of oil larger than Washington!

How many "odd remarks" does it require before "kingfish crackpot" is applied to the person in question?
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby DoomersUnite » Fri 05 Nov 2010, 23:05:40

pstarr wrote:I have one question for you? Actually two.

--Do you believe in Evolution?
--Do you believe in AGW?
--Are you the short?


Off topic. Start another thread and I'll consider engaging with the church jester.
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby Cid_Yama » Fri 05 Nov 2010, 23:14:19

DoomersUnite wrote:
Cid_Yama wrote:DoomerUnite, we cannot be responsible for your ignorance of the facts concerning the state of oil discovery over the last half century.


Or yours. Certainly the claims of "the supergiants are dying!" is the very basis for Jimmy Carter telling us we were going to run out by the end of the 80's. He even used the now famous "Saudi Arabia every 3 years" claims....which your argument appears to run dangerously close to. You deem it more valid now than then? I would agree. But your basis for this not being the same "boy who cried wolf" routine as Jimmy might be what? "Just go read the Peak Oil Bible and all shall be revealed"?

Cid_Yama wrote:You apparently choose not to educate yourself in this regard, so just spout nonsense that you would rather believe.

That doesn't change the facts.


Quite true. How many Saudi Arabia's were added to OPEC between Jimmys 1977 speech and nowadays? 5? 10? Certainly they must explain why we didn't run out in the late 80's.....oh...and thanks for avoiding even mentioning the reference provided. Can't have any debate involving the actual experts commenting on the topic, now can we? Whats a trillion barrels among friends, right? :lol:


Do you even realize you just demonstrated your ignorance and validated the assessment that you have choosen not to educate yourself and are just spouting the nonsense you would rather believe?
Last edited by Cid_Yama on Fri 05 Nov 2010, 23:18:59, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby DoomersUnite » Fri 05 Nov 2010, 23:40:30

Cid_Yama wrote:Do you even realize you just demonstrated your ignorance and validated the assessment that you have choosen not to educate yourself and are just spouting the nonsense you would rather believe?


Your avoidance of an actual reference refuting your statements on the topic is not a demonstration of my ignorance.
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby TheDude » Sat 06 Nov 2010, 01:03:55

DoomersUnite wrote:
Cid_Yama wrote:Do you even realize you just demonstrated your ignorance and validated the assessment that you have choosen not to educate yourself and are just spouting the nonsense you would rather believe?


Your avoidance of an actual reference refuting your statements on the topic is not a demonstration of my ignorance.


Welcome to the site, latest in a long line of slackjawed trolls.
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby DoomersUnite » Sat 06 Nov 2010, 01:43:42

TheDude wrote:Welcome to the site, latest in a long line of slackjawed trolls.


Cantarell, like all oilfields, has an existence which starts with first production, and ends with an economic limit. Some fields live longer than others. For example, East Texas is effectively dead except for some dribbles, but for some reason internet blogs get all a-twitter over Cantarell. Why not get excited over Prudhoe? Its been declining for decades now. Perhaps we'll have this same conversation years from now over the Macondo prospect? Tupi?

While Cantarells decline is certainly bad news for a country which uses it as a source of revenue, its easier for the USA to stop using as much crude as Mexico exports to us than it is for Mexico to replace the revenue stream. Same problem Chavez is having, even though he sits on the largest oilfield on the planet. The resource curse is fierce, and in this case, the results are likely to be much worse for Mexico than the US, or even the world.
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby TheAntiDoomer » Sat 06 Nov 2010, 03:40:21

TheDude wrote:
DoomersUnite wrote:
Cid_Yama wrote:Do you even realize you just demonstrated your ignorance and validated the assessment that you have choosen not to educate yourself and are just spouting the nonsense you would rather believe?


Your avoidance of an actual reference refuting your statements on the topic is not a demonstration of my ignorance.


Welcome to the site, latest in a long line of slackjawed trolls.


Of course dude, why have any opossing thoughts here when you could just have:

Image
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby Pops » Sat 06 Nov 2010, 08:27:39

Lets try to move ahead, on topic, without the name calling, this isn't a congressional election after all.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby Maddog78 » Sun 07 Nov 2010, 04:34:31

DoomersUnite wrote:
Cid_Yama wrote:DoomerUnite, we cannot be responsible for your ignorance of the facts concerning the state of oil discovery over the last half century.


Or yours. Certainly the claims of "the supergiants are dying!" is the very basis for Jimmy Carter telling us we were going to run out by the end of the 80's. He even used the now famous "Saudi Arabia every 3 years" claims....which your argument appears to run dangerously close to. You deem it more valid now than then? I would agree. But your basis for this not being the same "boy who cried wolf" routine as Jimmy might be what? "Just go read the Peak Oil Bible and all shall be revealed"?

Cid_Yama wrote:You apparently choose not to educate yourself in this regard, so just spout nonsense that you would rather believe.

That doesn't change the facts.


Quite true. How many Saudi Arabia's were added to OPEC between Jimmys 1977 speech and nowadays? 5? 10? Certainly they must explain why we didn't run out in the late 80's.....oh...and thanks for avoiding even mentioning the reference provided. Can't have any debate involving the actual experts commenting on the topic, now can we? Whats a trillion barrels among friends, right? :lol:


:-p :mrgreen:
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby Shar_Lamagne » Sun 07 Nov 2010, 06:21:19

How many Saudi Arabia's were added to OPEC between Jimmys 1977 speech and nowadays?


Zed, Zero, Zip, Nada. Ghawar was originally estimated at 170 billion barrels.

We haven't come even close.

You are fools. A man warns you of the danger enough ahead of time to allow you the time you need to mitigate the danger by developing alternate sources of energy and what do you do?

You bugger off. You do absolutely nothing over the intervening years.

Mankind is too stupid to survive. We have had enough examples of that on this website to make that perfectly clear.
We are not so much as disillusioned but illusion free – Miranda Devine - journalist
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Sun 07 Nov 2010, 06:46:22

Shar_Lamagne wrote:Mankind is too stupid to survive. We have had enough examples of that on this website to make that perfectly clear.

Save some drastic climate change mankind will survive but you might not like actual working setups facilitating that.

Return to feudal structures might be one of most timid forms of such new societal changes allowing survival.

Less palatable solutions down the line will include outright slavery, genocidal communistic regimes aka NK or Pol Pot's Cambodia, general anarchy aka Somalia and much more.
It may get bad enough that you will pray for an atomic war to finish it off...

Coming soon in the theater near you...
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby Shar_Lamagne » Sun 07 Nov 2010, 06:53:52

What an imbecilic response. Just more evidence of my original premise.
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Sun 07 Nov 2010, 07:01:02

Shar_Lamagne wrote:What an imbecilic response. Just more evidence of my original premise.

The only imbecilic comment was actually your "mankind is too stupid to survive".

In sufficiently long run all species are, so there is no revelation here at all and in short to medium term, well... it remains to be seen.
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby Shar_Lamagne » Sun 07 Nov 2010, 07:42:11

It is clear and obvious. You and your ilk did your best to suppress the voice of truth on the matter. Did what you could to halt any action to mitigate or prepare.

You will suffer the consequences. And hopefully that includes consequences after this life.

You are the poster child of mankind being too stupid to survive.
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby Xenophobe » Sun 07 Nov 2010, 10:39:32

Shar_Lamagne wrote:You are fools. A man warns you of the danger enough ahead of time to allow you the time you need to mitigate the danger by developing alternate sources of energy and what do you do?

You bugger off. You do absolutely nothing over the intervening years.


Incorrect on several counts. For starters, we have been warned about this danger in 3 different centuries now...your reasoning for why the warning in this century is more important than those ones might be...anything in particular....?

And second of course we did do things in the intervening years. The efficiency and availability of solar panels and windmill generated electricity for our EV's has skyrocketed. The transportation world has changed this very year and month, peak oil in 2005 having caused a complete reversal of the engineering design of the 2nd large car manufacturer in the world. That doesn't qualify as "absolutely nothing",it qualifies as game changing technology. And its roots go back into the past decade, where the prototype work was done by the same manufacturer. Same thing is happening with fuel cells.

How about direct injection hydrogen engines for big trucks?

http://www.greencarcongress.com/2010/11 ... .html#more

Fuel cell hybrid buses? Saw a similar working example myself this past week.

http://www.greencarcongress.com/2010/11 ... .html#more

Renewable jet fuels?

http://www.greencarcongress.com/2010/11 ... .html#more

The only people who are saying "nothing has been done" are those who limit their news watching to Doomer websites.

Take away Cantarell. PLEASE. And guess what'll happen? Why...exactly what is already happening...only FASTER.

Shar_Lamagne wrote:Mankind is too stupid to survive. We have had enough examples of that on this website to make that perfectly clear.


While I agree with you that your "mankind is to stupid to survive because of examples on this website" angle is perfectly accurate, I would suggest that this is a function of the website and doesn't have much to do with mankind in general. Hang out at websites not populated by modern Luddites and presto, the problem disappears.
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Re: Mexico Cantarell Oil Field Dead by End of 2010

Unread postby vision-master » Sun 07 Nov 2010, 11:04:47

How is this hydrogen produced?
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