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Study: US shale oil production to 1.9 million bpd in 2016

Discuss research and forecasts regarding hydrocarbon depletion.

Re: Study: US shale oil production to 1.9 million bpd in 201

Unread postby copious.abundance » Tue 10 Jan 2012, 19:17:21

ND oil production exceeds 500,000 barrels daily
BISMARCK, N.D. — North Dakota oil drillers have surpassed a milestone of half a million barrels of oil a day, the state's top oil regulator said Tuesday.

State Mineral Resources Director Lynn Helms said North Dakota now accounts for about 10 percent of total U.S. crude oil production, up from just 1 percent in 2007.

Ron Ness, president of the North Dakota Petroleum Council, which represents about 250 companies working in the oil patch in the western part of the state, called North Dakota's meteoric oil production growth incredible and said it's helping make the U.S. become less dependent on foreign oil.

[...]
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: Study: US shale oil production to 1.9 million bpd in 201

Unread postby ralfy » Thu 12 Jan 2012, 06:48:59

Essentially, 1.9 mbps in a world where energy demand has to grow by around 2 pct per annum to maintain economic growth.

And assuming that actual production is usually lower than what is technically recoverable....
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Re: Study: US shale oil production to 1.9 million bpd in 201

Unread postby copious.abundance » Wed 15 Feb 2012, 16:47:12

Looks like ppl in the Midwest will have the cheapest gas for the foreseeable future.

Bentek sez ...
BENTEK Energy, a leading energy markets information and analytics company, today announced the availability of the PADD 2 (Midwest) section of its Crude Awakening: Shale Boom Hits Oil Market Alert, which forecasts that Midwest crude oil supply will double during the 2011-16 period, growing nearly 808,000 b/d by 2016. BENTEK projects the production growth will include increases of 547,000 b/d in the Williston-ND, 97,000 b/d in the Anadarko and 131,000 b/d in the Utica (Appalachia-OH). Despite these massive supply gains and six currently announced Midwest refinery expansions, crude oil demand from regional refineries is projected to grow only 3% or 108,000 b/d during this time. Transportation projects such as the Seaway and Keystone XL pipelines are expected to provide only temporary relief to ongoing oversupply conditions. Consequently, regional oil prices are projected to remain deeply depressed.

[...]
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: Study: US shale oil production to 1.9 million bpd in 201

Unread postby TheAntiDoomer » Tue 21 Feb 2012, 13:55:06

Bakken Oil, Going to be Around For Awhile, as it Heads West

http://www.bigskybusiness.com/index.php ... heads-west

Production of energy is becoming so important to Montana’s economy that BBER is creating a new market segment, in its analysis, just for energy. It will pull somewhat the data from other market segments such as manufacturing and mining, but it is expected to give analysts a better idea of what is happening in Montana’s economic base.

While there will always be cycles to the oil and gas industry, Richmond told his Billings audience, but “the industry is going to be around for a whole lot longer.” And, he added, “There are a lot of reserves in the Bakken and certainly there are a lot of reserves in Montana.”

The development of the North Dakota Bakken has been dependent on technology changes that improved efficiencies, over how it was used when first applied in the Elm Coulee field in Montana. Those same technologies have returned to the Elm Coulee Field, bringing more effective completion techniques for infill and step out wells and the recovery of additional oil,” explained Richmond.

The technological advances have almost completely eliminated the risk of dry holes. Montana’s Elm Coulee Field currently has about 750 producing Bakken oil wells; during the process of development, only two dry holes were drilled. This “continuous resource” for the length and breadth of the Bakken formation is the reason for the success of the current play and the reason it is likely to continue as it moves westward.
"The human ability to innovate out of a jam is profound.That’s why Darwin will always be right, and Malthus will always be wrong.” -K.R. Sridhar


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Re: Study: US shale oil production to 1.9 million bpd in 201

Unread postby ralfy » Sat 25 Feb 2012, 05:01:02

None of these points are helpful if we are looking at around 4 mb/d for the next two decades but global demand going up by around 2 pct per annum coupled with a decrease in conventional sources. One of these factors alone will offset the increase from oil. The other.....
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Re: Study: US shale oil production to 1.9 million bpd in 201

Unread postby Serial_Worrier » Sat 25 Feb 2012, 05:07:09

ralfy wrote:None of these points are helpful if we are looking at around 4 mb/d for the next two decades but global demand going up by around 2 pct per annum coupled with a decrease in conventional sources. One of these factors alone will offset the increase from oil. The other.....


Global demand can't increase out of thin air. Economies will adjust to lower oil production.
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Re: Study: US shale oil production to 1.9 million bpd in 201

Unread postby ralfy » Sun 26 Feb 2012, 02:13:38

Serial_Worrier wrote:Global demand can't increase out of thin air. Economies will adjust to lower oil production.


I think you are referring to consumption.
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