Schmuto wrote:Why do people feed this guy?
Tried to teach him to fish, no luck.
USGS didn't focus on Turkmenistan I think, here is a mention: USGS Projects in Afghanistan
Petroleum Geology and Resources of the Amu-Darya Basin, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Afghanistan, and Iran
Since the first oil field was discovered in Afghanistan in 1959, more than 150 million barrels of oil (mmbo) reserves and more than 4,500 billion cubic feet of gas (bcfg) reserves have been identified, using Soviet methodologies and technologies, in 29 fields in the Afghan portion of the Amu Darya and Afghan-Tajik basins (fig. 3). Only a very small portion of this reported resource base has been exploited.
A single total petroleum system is identified in the Amu-Darya basin. The system is primarily gas prone. Discovered gas reserves are listed by Petroconsultants (1996) at about 230 trillion cubic feet, but recent discoveries and recent reserve estimates in older fields should increase this number by 40 to 50 trillion cubic feet. Reserves of liquid hydrocarbons (oil and condensate) are comparatively small, less than 2 billion barrels.
So my take is that 311.85 - 1.75 trillion barrels is more likely someone possessed by the spirit of Saparmurat Niyazov.
First of all, that basin isn't the entire nation. Second, USGS assessments are hardly gospel, as they themselves would admit to you. The Bakken assessment which came out last year, for example, showed a 25-fold
increase in the amount of technically-recoverable oil compared to their 1995 assessment. Another example would be the Santos Basin, which the USGS several years ago estimated a mean of 23 billion barrels
of oil. It's now looking closer to 100 billion barrels
. And maybe more. Over time, USGS assessments tend to be conservative.
Did you even read that article? It was an accidental blast, not an act of terrorists.