Geological & Cosmological Event Watch Thread pt 2

[leal]

Have you read this interesting piece on Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog? It is about geomagnetic storms may knock out the power grid for a few years.

Manufacturers presently have a backlog of nearly 3 years for all EHV transformers (230 kV and above). The earliest delivery time presently quoted for a new order is early 2011.

[vision-master]

4.9 Aftershock Hits Italy; Death Toll Rises to 207; 1,000 Injured, Tens of Thousands Homeless

L'AQUILA, Italy - Premier Silvio Berlusconi said Tuesday that 207 people died in the powerful quake that devastated part of central Italy, and that 15 people remained missing.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/30083979/

[ReverseEngineer]

We had a 4.6 Earthquake up here last night. My friends told me it shook their house. I didn't feel it though, dead asleep at the time.

Reverse Engineer

[ReverseEngineer]

Two moderate earthquakes have hit eastern Afghanistan, killing at least 19 people and destroying dozens of homes, officials say.

BBC

Warming up for the Big One in LA. I miss Storm Bringer

Reverse Engineer

[stonecypher]

Have you read this interesting piece on Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog? It is about geomagnetic storms may knock out the power grid for a few years.

Manufacturers presently have a backlog of nearly 3 years for all EHV transformers (230 kV and above). The earliest delivery time presently quoted for a new order is early 2011.

Just started reading New Scientist and found this pretty scary article on the predicted solar storm to come:

http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg2 ... ?full=true

"The truly shocking finding is that this whole situation would not improve for months, maybe years: melted transformer hubs cannot be repaired, only replaced. 'From the surveys I've done, you might have a few spare transformers around, but installing a new one takes a well-trained crew a week or more,' says Kappenman. 'A major electrical utility might have one suitably trained crew, maybe two.'

Within a month, then, the handful of spare transformers would be used up. The rest will have to be built to order, something that can take up to 12 months."

So any remaining venture capitalists out there, listen up! Building spare transformers NOW will probably be a growth industry!

[StormBringer]

Warming up for the Big One in LA. I miss Storm Bringer

Ask And You Shall Recieve...........One of my nieghbors got a open network and when the wind is right i HAVE FREE NET...........lol And for the record I have missed the hek out of all of you....

[StormBringer]

R.E. sorry i missed the action in your nieghborhood hope everything is O.K. for you. I see the USGS map is very active even at old yeller so now that Im back, catch me up on whats going on?????

Storm

[dunewalker]

About time you posted! Just remember the admonishment to the left of the posting box:


"... message...may contain no more than 60000 characters."

Welcome back

[StormBringer]

NASA: Impact of Solar Flare


NASA's 132-page report, entitled Severe Space Weather Events — Understanding Societal and Economic Impacts, paints a pretty grim picture of the damage that could occur in the USA (and presumably elsewhere in the world) due to severe space weather:

According to the report, power grids may be more vulnerable than ever. The problem is interconnectedness. In recent years, utilities have joined grids together to allow long-distance transmission of low-cost power to areas of sudden demand. On a hot summer day in California, for instance, people in Los Angeles might be running their air conditioners on power routed from Oregon. It makes economic sense—but not necessarily geomagnetic sense. Interconnectedness makes the system susceptible to wide-ranging "cascade failures."

...He found more than 350 transformers at risk of permanent damage and 130 million people without power. The loss of electricity would ripple across the social infrastructure with "water distribution affected within several hours; perishable foods and medications lost in 12-24 hours; loss of heating/air conditioning, sewage disposal, phone service, fuel re-supply and so on."
The solution is a more sturdy electric infrastructure. Who knows if or when that will occur. Meanwhile the severe space weather could happen at any time, even tomorrow.

[StormBringer]

http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn17073-nearby-asteroid-found-orbiting-sun-backwards.htmlNew Asteroid Threat

Sorry Brain Fart been a while cant remember how to short link....Someone remind me please...

[StormBringer]

Morning everyone............LOL

[StormBringer]

Hey Old Yeller had some action on the 29th and all where directly on the uplift area of what is believed to be the new caldera.

MAG UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s LAT
deg LON
deg DEPTH
km LOCATION
MAP 1.0 2009/04/29 01:50:21 44.600 -110.671 4.8 35 km ( 22 mi) E of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 1.4 2009/04/29 01:36:59 44.603 -110.633 7.3 38 km ( 24 mi) E of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 1.1 2009/04/29 01:33:49 44.571 -110.673 1.2 36 km ( 22 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 1.5 2009/04/29 01:33:07 44.593 -110.667 4.7 36 km ( 22 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 1.1 2009/04/29 01:29:25 44.597 -110.638 7.0 38 km ( 23 mi) E of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 1.3 2009/04/29 01:29:04 44.549 -110.710 2.5 34 km ( 21 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 1.2 2009/04/29 01:26:12 44.593 -110.654 4.8 37 km ( 23 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 1.7 2009/04/29 01:23:16 44.591 -110.674 6.5 35 km ( 22 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 1.4 2009/04/29 01:20:23 44.599 -110.674 7.2 35 km ( 22 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 2.0 2009/04/29 01:17:22 44.531 -110.686 14.5 36 km ( 23 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 1.2 2009/04/29 01:17:11 44.592 -110.669 9.9 35 km ( 22 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 2.0 2009/04/29 01:15:40 44.592 -110.681 7.5 35 km ( 21 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 2.7 2009/04/29 01:14:33 44.536 -110.767 14.9 30 km ( 19 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 2.7 2009/04/29 01:13:23 44.593 -110.680 6.5 35 km ( 22 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 1.9 2009/04/29 01:12:56 44.590 -110.679 5.4 35 km ( 22 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 1.8 2009/04/29 01:12:20 44.593 -110.680 5.8 35 km ( 21 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 1.1 2009/04/29 01:09:28 44.599 -110.664 6.2 36 km ( 22 mi) E of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 1.3 2009/04/29 01:09:07 44.596 -110.698 0.0 33 km ( 21 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 1.3 2009/04/29 01:08:54 44.595 -110.674 6.3 35 km ( 22 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
MAP 1.6 2009/04/29 01:03:38 44.587 -110.692 0.1 34 km ( 21 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT

Storm

[StormBringer]

Submitted by Billy Hackett on Mon, 05/04/2009 - 05:23.
Mount Redoubt is showing increased signs of unrest. The volcano about 100 miles southwest of Anchorage continues to rumble and grumble, and yesterday produced an ash and steam plume that went 18,000 feet into the air. The Alaska Volcano Observatory says the day began with more continuous ash emissions. The significant ash plume occurred in the afternoon. The volcano has its last major explosion on April 4.

(Associated Press)

[mos6507]

Welcome back Stormbringer!

Thank You..........Back With A Vengence

Is this a sign that Yellowstone Caldera is heating up again?

[StormBringer]

Is this a sign that Yellowstone Caldera is heating up again?

Not really just interesting events as this point.................too early to tell..........

[stonecypher]

Maybe R.E. got caught in one of the Redoubt rockfalls...

http://www.ktuu.com/Global/story.asp?S=10295116

Welcome back, Storm!

[StormBringer]

Pole Shift - A Disaster Waiting to Happen?
An impending magnetic, or pole, reversal was one of the hot topics of
the 80's when the book "Pole Shift" by John White was a best seller
and it was thought that it might happen any time now.
As with most prophesies around the end of the twentieth century, the
sense of impending doom has lessened and the pole shift "warning" has
been downgraded to a pole shift "watch."
But this is one of those things that are very probably going to happen
at some point "soon" in the earth's history....it's just that mankind
has a very small view of the overall earth clock, and to the earth,
"soon" could mean anytime in the next 100,000 years, so don't hold
your breath. Scientists currently tell us that pole shifts occur, on
average, once every 500,000 years. The last pole shift was 780,000
years ago so we are overdue for one (just as we are overdue for a big
asteroid strike, and for a super volcano eruption....just hope they
don't all happen at once!)

The planet's geologic record has very clear evidence that pole shifts
have occurred many times in the past and there is no doubt that they
will occur again. ( The phenomenon referred to here as a "pole shift"
is not the shifting of the crust by thousands of miles, but rather,
changes in the magnetic field of the planet. Some unscrupulous writers
in the 70s and 80s tried to imply that the continents were going to
start sliding about like melting ice on a hot plate, but that's not
current scientific thinking.)

However, its not all good news. Until recently, it was thought that
pole shifts were a gradual process. But recent evidence from studying
the alignment of iron particles in lava flows found one case where the
Earth's magnetic field shifted 80 degrees in 13 days.

[StormBringer]

80 Deg. in 13 days would be eventful to say the least...........Any speculation on what might be the result of such a rapid switch??????

[alokin]

That would be huge nearly right angle and what the equator is now would be the north pole. That would mean the equator becomes cold and the poles hot..? Just my unscientific speculation.

[alokin]

New article about sunspot cycles:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090508/ap_on_sc/us_sci_space_weather
, maybe nothing new for you.
It's a bit confusing as they write:
Warning: Sunspot cycle beginning to rise

and later in the article they state that we are entering the lowest cycle.