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Heat Waves 2017

Heat Waves 2017

Unread postby M_B_S » Mon 09 Jan 2017, 05:47:10

Heat Wave in Australia 45 C°

JANUARY 9, 20174:58PM

As scorching temperatures engulf NSW over the next few days, the danger of bushfires will increase across parts of the state.
The threat of fire will be at its greatest on Wednesday, when the mercury will hit 38C in Sydney and climb above 40C in other parts of the state.
"There will be a very high fire danger in the Hunter, Sydney, through the Riverina and Central Western Plains and through most of the state," Rural Fire Service Inspector Ben Shepherd said on Monday.
"West of the Great Divide there has been considerable grass growth, given that we came out of the third-wettest winter on record ... and that could act as tinder."

A heatwave is expected to intensify to severe or extreme levels past 45C this week around inland NSW...
****************

Yes 2017 will be warmer then 2016 on earth without volcano or astroid megaton impact.

+ 30 Gt CO2 and + XX Gt CH4

Have FUN driving YOUR SUV
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YWNWi-ZWL3c
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Re: Heat Waves 2017

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Mon 09 Jan 2017, 08:44:08

M_B_S wrote:Heat Wave in Australia 45 C°

JANUARY 9, 20174:58PM

As scorching temperatures engulf NSW over the next few days, the danger of bushfires will increase across parts of the state.
The threat of fire will be at its greatest on Wednesday, when the mercury will hit 38C in Sydney and climb above 40C in other parts of the state.
"There will be a very high fire danger in the Hunter, Sydney, through the Riverina and Central Western Plains and through most of the state," Rural Fire Service Inspector Ben Shepherd said on Monday.
"West of the Great Divide there has been considerable grass growth, given that we came out of the third-wettest winter on record ... and that could act as tinder."

A heatwave is expected to intensify to severe or extreme levels past 45C this week around inland NSW...
****************

Yes 2017 will be warmer then 2016 on earth without volcano or astroid megaton impact.

+ 30 Gt CO2 and + XX Gt CH4

Have FUN driving YOUR SUV
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YWNWi-ZWL3c
M_B_S

As It is 0 Deg. F here this morning I'm going to let my SUV sit and stay close to the fire.
Best of luck with your Southern wildfire season.
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Re: Heat Waves 2017

Unread postby M_B_S » Mon 16 Jan 2017, 08:26:54

Death prompts warning before Qld heatwave
JANUARY 16, 20174:59PM
Shae McDonald
http://www.news.com.au/national/breakin ... 0e35d5c8e9
People of all ages are being urged to stay cool during this week's heatwave after a 30-year-old Brisbane man died of heatstroke while out dirt bike riding.
Temperatures are tipped to climb as high as eight degrees above average as the second heatwave in as many weeks makes its way across much of the east coast of Australia.

The Bureau of Meteorology has issued a series of warnings for most of Queensland and NSW, as well as parts of South Australia and the Northern Territory.
Brisbane should reach a top of 35C on Wednesday, while temperatures in the west of the state could soar to 41C.
Sydney is also in forecast to reach 36C several days this week and as high as 43C in the northwest.

********************************
2016 was brutal but wait 2017 will be warmer....

https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2017/0 ... p-j12.html

>410ppm CO2

=> MAD MAX
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Re: Heat Waves 2017

Unread postby Tanada » Mon 16 Jan 2017, 10:57:27

How do the folks who post around here define 'Heat Wave'?

I ask for a simple reason, here in northwest Ohio we have had two weeks of on and off temperatures 20 degrees F above average accompanied by heavy rain that has washed away all the snow and caused minor flooding. However we have not come very close to setting new high temperature records. While it has been unusually warm it hasn't been unprecedentedly warm. To break record highs we would need to be 30-35 F above average daily highs and we have only flirted with that twice since December 1, 2016 and not at all in January 2017.
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Re: Heat Waves 2017

Unread postby kiwichick » Mon 16 Jan 2017, 15:31:49

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Re: Heat Waves 2017

Unread postby dohboi » Mon 16 Jan 2017, 17:24:37

We've had similar weather here in MN, T, and more predicted to come.

What I notice is that the night temps re staying near the day-time highs...a pretty clear fingerprint for GW.

Is that the pattern there, too?
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Re: Heat Waves 2017

Unread postby aspera » Mon 16 Jan 2017, 19:14:25

d and T: Here in SE Michigan we're having much the same weather. No record warmth, but no snow left, rain with flooding.

But I have noticed the same pattern: the night temperatures are not falling as much as is typical. The dew points have been a bit higher than normal (i.e., preventing night time fall off). Expect highs near 50 degrees F later in the week; rarely near a record but unusual for so many strings of higher-than-normal days.
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Re: Heat Waves 2017

Unread postby Tanada » Mon 16 Jan 2017, 23:01:08

dohboi wrote:We've had similar weather here in MN, T, and more predicted to come.

What I notice is that the night temps re staying near the day-time highs...a pretty clear fingerprint for GW.

Is that the pattern there, too?


You made me curious so I just looked back over the first two weeks of the year. Of the 15 days of posted temperatures three of them were unusually close together for day and night time temperatures, 6, 6 and 7 degree changes respectively. Of the remaining 12 days we have differences of 16, 13, 20, 9, 10, 13, 10, 15, 22, 28, 27, 12. Funny thing is that stretch with 9, 10, 13, 10 was a cold snap with teens during the day and single digits at night.

I would have to dig deep to confirm but IIRC the average difference between winter highs and lows is 20 F and if that is true then it is interesting only three days this month have had spreads larger than that and more have had narrower changes as would be predicted by accumulation of greenhouse gasses.

Whoops didn't have to dig after all Weather dot com has an average high/low graph right below the data set I was using. Average day/night difference in my location,
December 14 F,
January 15 F,
February 17 F,
March 19 F.

So upon review I guess my day/night spreads here have been average for this month. I can't speak for your location, but I guess things are boringly average here. Looking at the warm spell and the arctic blast in between I average out normal lol.
I should be able to change a diaper, plan an invasion, butcher a hog, design a building, write, balance accounts, build a wall, comfort the dying, take orders, give orders, cooperate, act alone, solve equations, pitch manure, program a computer, cook, fight efficiently, die gallantly. Specialization is for insects.
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Re: Heat Waves 2017

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Tue 17 Jan 2017, 08:03:40

Back in the day we had recording thermometers to record weather and concrete curing temperatures. The pen drew a line graph as the clock scrolled the paper tape under it. The daily lows and highs spread varied with the seasons and length of day as short winter days did not have as long to warm up the air like a high and long duration summer sun.
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Re: Heat Waves 2017

Unread postby aspera » Wed 18 Jan 2017, 15:38:24

Today's NOAA/NWS discussion for my area discussed the high temperatures and found nothing out of the ordinary (see text below, emphasis added). I sent them an email to ask if they could do the same discussion but on the night-time lows and dew points.

... None-the-less, the stretched out trough axis and plentiful gulf moisture lifting north into the Great Lakes region on Friday appears to be sufficient to generate rain showers, as 00z Euro indicating 850 mb dew pts around 7 C range, close to record climatology territory for mid January.

Previously mentioned strong jet/upper wave to lift up through the Plains over the weekend, maintaining the mild/deep layer southwest flow over southeast Michigan into Sunday morning, and good shot for Detroit to hit 50 degrees both Saturday and Sunday, as 925 mb temps reach or exceed 10 C per 00z EURO. We have already had 2 days (Jan 11-12) exceeding 50 degrees, which is the mean number days for the month of January. Looking further at climatology records, 5 days of 50+ for the January (which looks doable) is fairly rare, occurring about once out of every 10 years.

Source: http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1
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Re: Heat Waves 2017

Unread postby dohboi » Thu 19 Jan 2017, 01:52:23

Just got over my own personal 'heatwave'...oral thermometer temps pushing 104F (40C) for the last couple days. Sure glad that seems to be over. Now just left with the permanent cough that everyone around here seems to have this winter.

Is this stuff hitting where you all are living?
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