DesuMaiden wrote:Copious. Abundance must be a shill. Anyone believing in cornucopian nonsense
I don't think he's a shill. But he's on the other end of the spectrum from the hardcore doomers and so his presence here is absolutely necessary as a check and balance against some of the tendency by some to think only in extremes. And when I say extremes, I mean mostly in terms of dropping a string of worthlessly doomy short-term predictions, which seem to always see some TEOTWAWKI event around every corner (usually tied to a geopolitical flare-up like in the middle-east).
DesuMaiden wrote:Both of these videos are backed up by scientific sources, so they aren't just some random nonsense someone pulled out of their ass. I do believe around 2020, the world economy will collapse because of peak oil.
The fact is that this place was ROCKING about 10 years ago because sites like The Oil Drum had predicted that oil had peaked and it gained enough mindshare that there was a significant chunk of people who had taken the red pill, so to speak. I was one of them. I took the quantity of online activity as an affirmation that there was something to this. And because of how the mind works, it's necessary for doom(TM) to be within a certain timeframe for one to raise the mental red flag. 5 years is a good figure, and by the end of it, I had pretty much affixed a 5 year countdown in my head when gas hit $4 a gallon in the summer of 2008, causing me to start to really make some shifts in my life-planning, shifts that I'm glad, in retrospect, I didn't make, because had I done so I'd be far worse off today than I am.
Being a filmmaker, I can make a video that can convince people of nearly anything. That's the nature of the medium. Like Obi-Wan's use of the force, it has a strong effect on the weak-minded. I know how this works well enough that I could probably start my own L Ron Hubbard style cult around whatever fiction I'd like to construct. Film is a very dangerous tool in the wrong hands.
Think twice before forming any conclusions about the future and always question the messenger. ALWAYS. The more wacky the source, the more the source may be just in it as a way of making a living, to grab their 15-minutes of fame, or grind their axe, the more suspect I'll be of the content of their essay. People rarely apply this degree of critical thought, and are quick to just cherry pick their experts to affirm whatever vision of the world they already prefer to see. So the #1 source of bias is us as individuals. Recognize it.
"If the oil price crosses above the Etp maximum oil price curve within the next month, I will leave the forum." --SumYunGai (9/21/2016)